1. #1
    forex
    forex's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-07
    Posts: 679

    Memphis Vs. Marshall

    I am taking memphis all the way. It's going to be an emotional game and they will dominate. They will easily cover -2.5. Also at home they will kick marshalls ass back to the stone age. The last time memphis played at home against marshall it was 26-3 win.

  2. #2
    prop
    prop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-07
    Posts: 1,073
    Betpoints: 2002

    To many factory pointing Marshal, only a couple pointing Memphis

    My write up in other thread

  3. #3
    fearless
    fearless's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-06
    Posts: 4,950

    Dr. Bob has apparently picked Marshall:

    Tuesday, October 2
    Marshall 35 MEMPHIS (-2 ½) 33
    Marshall has yet to win a game but the Thundering Herd have a good chance of breaking their maiden against a bad Memphis team whose only win was against a horrible Jacksonville State team (Division 1AA). Marshall has a very good offensive team, as quarterback Bernie Morris has averaged 7.4 yards per pass play (against teams that would combine to allow 5.9 yppp to an average quarterback) and has led his offense to an average of 6.1 yards per play (when he’s under center) versus a schedule of teams that would allow just 5.2 yppl to an average attack. Memphis defends the run well but the Tigers are horrible against the pass (6.9 yppp allowed to teams that would average only 5.0 yppp against an average defensive team) and Marshall is certainly likely to take advantage of that weakness given that the Herd average 42 pass plays per game. The Memphis offense is 0.3 yppl worse than average but the Tigers should move the ball pretty well against a Marshall defense that is 0.7 yppl worse than average. Overall, Marshall is a much better team from a yards per play perspective and the Herd also have better special teams, but Memphis applies to a 230-125-5 ATS statistical indicator and Marshall is just 1-11 ATS on the road when not getting at least 28 points under head coach Mark Snyder, including 0-2 ATS this season. I’ll still lean with Marshall despite the technical factors favoring Memphis.

  4. #4
    prop
    prop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-07
    Posts: 1,073
    Betpoints: 2002

    Yeah I think he is spot on.
    I had it slightly lower scoring though but close enough. I had it at Marshal 31 Memphis 30

    I'm surprised no mention to the issue that Marshal has a real kicker and Memphis does not. and also the fact that Memphis is playing their 3rd game in 10 days, has not practiced and is already a poorly conditioned team.

    The home field advantage is for real in this game. other than that (and an edge in turnover differential) Marshal is clearly the superior team.

  5. #5
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    Dr Bob is ussaully wrong

  6. #6
    BatemanPatrickl
    JayVegas420 Contest Winner
    BatemanPatrickl's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-07
    Posts: 18,772
    Betpoints: 129

    Quote Originally Posted by MJFtheGenius View Post
    Dr Bob is ussaully wrong
    Well fade him and see what happens

  7. #7
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    Well he has to be right sometime, so I may ride with him tonight

  8. #8
    BatemanPatrickl
    JayVegas420 Contest Winner
    BatemanPatrickl's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-07
    Posts: 18,772
    Betpoints: 129

    I said this when the Steelers blew out the Bills after their tight end was hurt. Off field distractions can factor into a game in a big way. These are still kids playing and I don't think they will come to play tonight. Memphis will come out flat.

  9. #9
    EJandV
    EJandV's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-07
    Posts: 1,491

    VaTech sure came out flat in their first big home game against ecu after all the hype , all the killings .......I had them thinking it would be ez money . Result was not even close to ever being good .
    They were lucky to even win su .

    Why ? sorry qb , maybe too much emotion , drained .

  10. #10
    EJandV
    EJandV's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-07
    Posts: 1,491

    I also had MiaFla last year in their first game after one of their players was murdered (was Bowl game) . That was also no good . May he rest in peace .

  11. #11
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    I'm convinced, Marshall!!!

  12. #12
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I will go with Dr Bob here

  13. #13
    pico
    USC ml
    pico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-07
    Posts: 27,321
    Betpoints: 1634

    all of the sudden, everyone is jumping on dr bob bandwagon

  14. #14
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    no way Dr Bob is doesnt know what he is talking about anymore, this is my own pick.

  15. #15
    louisvillekid
    slummin it
    louisvillekid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-07
    Posts: 9,255
    Betpoints: 3822

    i don't care about bobs write-up, i already capped marshall as the play, marshall has the better air attack, yes, marshall can't stop the run, but i see the air attack and special teams getting it done, and memphis playing their 3rd game in less than 2 weeks, they fell apart in the second half against ark st. last week.

  16. #16
    azgrande18
    azgrande18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-07-07
    Posts: 204

    I think Marshall is the pick.

  17. #17
    pico
    USC ml
    pico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-07
    Posts: 27,321
    Betpoints: 1634

    i think it would be wise to take marshall +3.5? i hate to see a push

  18. #18
    Tchocky
    Tchocky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-06
    Posts: 2,371
    Betpoints: 1086

    I have never seen either of these teams play. Is this the same Marshall team from the movie?

    "Win Your Bets NY" is recommending Marshall +3

  19. #19
    BatemanPatrickl
    JayVegas420 Contest Winner
    BatemanPatrickl's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-07
    Posts: 18,772
    Betpoints: 129

    Quote Originally Posted by Tchocky View Post
    I have never seen either of these teams play. Is this the same Marshall team from the movie?

    "Win Your Bets NY" is recommending Marshall +3
    Same Marshall; see Randy Moss and Chad Pennington.

  20. #20
    Sclass600
    Sclass600's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-07
    Posts: 117
    Betpoints: 379

    I sure hope that Marshall covers though I should have just took the Moneyline

  21. #21
    louisvillekid
    slummin it
    louisvillekid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-07
    Posts: 9,255
    Betpoints: 3822

    Quote Originally Posted by BatemanPatrickl View Post
    Same Marshall; see Randy Moss and Chad Pennington.
    yep same Marshall as Bateman said, Marshall has put qiute a few guys in the pros in the past 10 years.
    anyone remember last season was like the 30th anniversary of that crash, and there was going to be this big rememberance ceremony when they played ECU. i remember reading an article in the paper that Marshall's plane had trouble in the air and they had to divert and land somewhere else. that had to be some spooky shit for those players and coaches. thankfully there wasn't a wreck on the anniversary.

  22. #22
    WestsidePete
    WestsidePete's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 8,049

    Quote Originally Posted by BatemanPatrickl View Post
    I said this when the Steelers blew out the Bills after their tight end was hurt. Off field distractions can factor into a game in a big way. These are still kids playing and I don't think they will come to play tonight. Memphis will come out flat.
    I'm going w/Marshall the teaser with Marshall +10 and under 66.5
    Marshall +4.5 ..bought 1.5 pts....

  23. #23
    louis
    louis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-23-06
    Posts: 763
    Betpoints: 431

    If you are talking about the player who was murdered on the Memphis team, I don't believe this helps a team. I think it hurts a team, because they are in mourning and not concentrating on the game. The edge goes to Marshall here. This is something that very well may not be factored into the line because a lot of people are not aware of this. Take Marshall.

  24. #24
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    Dr Bob is wrong again

  25. #25
    pico
    USC ml
    pico's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-07
    Posts: 27,321
    Betpoints: 1634

    Quote Originally Posted by MJFtheGenius View Post
    Dr Bob is wrong again
    dr bob pushes

  26. #26
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    You dont pay someone for picks to push.

  27. #27
    MJFtheGenius
    MODERATOR
    MJFtheGenius's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-07
    Posts: 7,257
    Betpoints: 1176

    Quote Originally Posted by picoman View Post
    dr bob pushes
    No he didnt, he took Marshall +2.5

  28. #28
    onlooker
    I'm still watching...
    onlooker's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 36,572
    Betpoints: 4579

    I was getting pissed off that Memphis was passing with 5 minutes to play in the game. I had the UNDER in that one and it was feeling like OT was going to happen.

  29. #29
    louis
    louis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-23-06
    Posts: 763
    Betpoints: 431

    teasing under and dog

    I do not understand teasing the dog and under in this game as mentioned by poster above. If you like the dog and under I would bet each seperately.

    If you tease the two, the house is only going to give you -110 or whatever which is a huge vig that more than washes away any correlation between under and dog in this case.
    Last edited by louis; 10-03-07 at 01:50 AM.

  30. #30
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Dr Bob is a loser like the rest

    He is on a hige losing streak also

    I should of faded him

Top