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VIA's Week 5 Wagers
YTD: 27-22 +2.8u
I don't see too many juicy lines this week, but I've made good money on totals so far this year. Up to now, I have 3 bets placed.
Michigan State +7 @ Wisconsin
I don't understand this line. Michigan State has played better football than Iowa, who took Wisconsin to the brink, and probably should have won. MSU has already been to a hostile stadium in South Bend (though against a bad team). Both teams will run the ball and grind the clock out. MSU ranks 33rd against the run, 35th against the pass, and 17th in total yardage defense. In fact, MSU's defense ranks better than the Badgers' defense in almost every category, with a big time advantage in pass defense. I'll take a long look at the under, as well.
Indiana +11.5 @ Iowa
I think Indiana honestly could win this game outright. I like Illinois a lot, so I feel like the Hoosiers loss wasn't that big of a deal. This could be a revenge game for the Hawkeyes, though, as they lost at home to Indiana by 3 last year. Indiana ranks 55th in rushing defense and 68th in passing defense, but Iowa doesn't have the offense to take advantage, as they rank in the bottom 10 teams in total offense! Keep in mind that Iowa has tons of injuries and suspensions to key players as well.
UTEP +2 @ SMU
Eh? This SMU team allows 362 passing yards per game and actually ranks 164th in the country behind many 1-AA teams. Granted, the UTEP offense isn't very good, but their defense (while also bad) is better all around than SMU's. Plus, Mike Price is a better coach Phil Bennett. UTEP also kept it close at New Mexico State, a place much harder to play at than SMU, and covered at Texas Tech. While UTEP won't blow SMU out, I think they should win outright.
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Originally Posted by VolinArizona
