[nep1293]

Last Weeks Record
Official Picks (13-9 , 59.09%%)
All Over 50% Picks (24-24 , 50.00%)


Yearly Record
Official Picks (55-42-1 , 56.71%)
All Over 50% Picks (97-93-2 , 51.05%)


Here is the breakdown by percent:
50% (7-15)
51% (11-13)
52% (9-15)
53% (9-4-1)
54% (10-10)
55% (7-5)
56% (8-4)
57% (9-8)
58% (10-4)
59% (7-3)
60% (6-4-1)
61% (4-4)
62% (0-1)
63% (0-2)
64% (0-1)

The middle of the chart is real solid. Still have the losses coming from the top and bottom percents. As long as those 55%-60% picks keep hitting it should be a good season.

I am not counting Tulane as an official pick even though they are above 55%. There aren't too many games to use the history from so I am tossing that game away.

[nep1293]

WEEK 5 PICKS
Southern Mississippi (+11.5) @ Boise St ..... 51.67%
Memphis (+4) @ Arkansas St ..... 58.91%
West Virginia (-7) @ South Florida ..... 54.60%
Duke @ Miami, FL (-23.5) ..... 59.62%
North Carolina (+17.5) @ Virginia Tech ..... 51.66%
Akron @ Connecticut (-13) ..... 55.50%
Indiana @ Iowa (-13.5) .....55.50%
Mississippi St @ South Carolina (-15) ..... 55.89%
Temple (+8) @ Army ..... 50.81%
Air Force @ Navy (-3) .... 52.19%
Buffalo (+16.5) @ Ball St ..... 51.60%
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan (-3) ..... 52.19%
Michigan (-16.5) @ Northwestern ..... 54.04%
Syracuse (-2.5) @ Miami, OH ..... 50.56%
Utah St @ Utah (-21) ..... 58.13%
California (+3.5) @ Oregon ..... 60.90%
Mississippi @ Georgia (-15) ..... 55.89%
Auburn (+17.5) @ Florida ..... 51.66%
UCLA (+2) @ Oregon St ..... 50.42%
Penn St @ Illinois (+3.5) ..... 51.18%
Michigan St @ Wisconsin (-7.5) ..... 59.51%
Iowa St @ Nebraska (-22.5) ..... 59.55%
Kansas St @ Texas (-15) ..... 55.89%
UNLV @ Nevada (-6) ..... 57.86%
UTEP @ SMU (-1.5) ..... 51.47%
Hawaii (-27) @ Idaho ..... 61.51%
LSU @ Tulane (+40) ..... 55.32%
Colorado St @ TCU (-12.5) ..... 51.33%
Eastern Michigan @ Vanderbilt (-20) ..... 56.66%
Western Michigan (-2) @ Toledo ..... 50.56%
Kent St (+2) @ Ohio ..... 50.42%
Oklahoma @ Colorado (+22.5) ..... 57.71%
Baylor (+17) @ Texas A&M ..... 51.66%
Pittsburgh @ Virginia (-6.5) ..... 57.86%
East Carolina (+9.5) @ Houston ..... 50.58%
UAB @ Tulsa (-18) ..... 51.00%
Louisville (-9) @ NC St ..... 52.72%
Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) ..... 57.58%
Maryland @ Rutgers (-13) ..... 55.50%
Ohio St @ Minnesota (+21.5) ..... 57.61%
USC @ Washington (+20.5) ..... 57.00%
Notre Dame @ Purdue (-21.5) ..... 58.13%
BYU @ New Mexico (+7.5) ..... 57.00%
Washington St @ Arizona (-1.5) ..... 51.47%
Arizona St @ Stanford (+15) ..... 53.41%
Louisiana Tech @ Fresno St (-12.5) ..... 51.33%
Cincinnati @ San Diego St (+14) ..... 53.20%
Louisiana-Lafayette @ UCF (-21.5) ..... 58.13%
Florida International @ MTSU (-12.5) ..... 51.33%
Florida Atlantic @ Kentucky (-23.5) ..... 59.62%
North Texas @ Arkansas (-36) ..... 57.67%
Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy (-12.5) ..... 51.33%

[austintx05]

gl

[txraddoc]

Quick question. For the games which are not an official pick, who gets the edge? I'm interested in the WV-South Florida game.

Thanks!

[VolinArizona]

Quick question. For the games which are not an official pick, who gets the edge? I'm interested in the WV-South Florida game.

Thanks!

It's in the chart, West Virginia -7 54.60%

[nep1293]

It's in the chart, West Virginia -7 54.60%

Way to read the chart!


Any team with the points listed next to them is the pick the chart favors, no matter how small the advantage is.

I actually like South Florida in this game, I don't know whether I'll bet it or not though.

[taurus]

Just caught up with this.
VERY interesting, particularly as I play a lot of games.
Thanks for posting
I'll be tracking and maybe do a little coatailing
Best of luck..

[swifty]

Quick question. For the games which are not an official pick, who gets the edge? I'm interested in the WV-South Florida game.

Thanks!

SF will win over 10 points

[swifty]

Last Weeks Record
Official Picks (12-10 , 54.54%)
All Over 50% Picks (23-25 , 47.92%)


Yearly Record
Official Picks (54-43-1 , 55.67%)
All Over 50% Picks (96-94-2 , 50.53%)


Here is the breakdown by percent:
50% (7-15)
51% (11-13)
52% (9-15)
53% (9-4-1)
54% (10-10)
55% (7-5)
56% (8-4)
57% (9-8)
58% (10-4)
59% (7-3)
60% (6-4-1)
61% (3-5)
62% (0-1)
63% (0-2)
64% (0-1)

The middle of the chart is real solid. Still have the losses coming from the top and bottom percents. As long as those 55%-60% picks keep hitting it should be a good season.

I am not counting Tulane as an official pick even though they are above 55%. There aren't too many games to use the history from so I am tossing that game away.

58% (10-4)
59% (7-3)

I would play all games at 58% to 59% and win 50% of those games or alittle higher?? what would you rank 75% on most wins?

[txraddoc]

Way to read the chart!


Any team with the points listed next to them is the pick the chart favors, no matter how small the advantage is.

I actually like South Florida in this game, I don't know whether I'll bet it or not though.

Duh!! I should've figured that out. Thanks for the heads up.

[txraddoc]

Way to read the chart!


Any team with the points listed next to them is the pick the chart favors, no matter how small the advantage is.

I actually like South Florida in this game, I don't know whether I'll bet it or not though.

I feel the same way. Winpicks likes SF as well but the trends favor WV slightly. GL if you bet!

[BuddyBear]

58% (10-4)
59% (7-3)

I would play all games at 58% to 59% and win 50% of those games or alittle higher?? what would you rank 75% on most wins?

Too small a sample size to infer anything......

[nep1293]

BuddyBear is right. That is too small of a sample size. The problem with that strategy is that games that were 61% and above have been losing, so if that continues they will play their way into 58 and 59% picks. So then you'd be stuck with picks that have been losing on the year. That is why I'm hesitant to go below the 55% mark even though 53 % and up would have netted slightly more profit on the year.

Some of the things I have noticed are the following.

Recommended picks (+20 to +29.5) have gone 8-1 this year.
Recommended picks (-20 to -29.5) have gone 15-6.

These games seem to be where the chunk of the profit has been.

[EBone]

nep,

What does the chart have to say about Bama/Fla State? I do not see that game in your listing for this week. Either I'm blind as a bat or it is not there.

Please revise. Thanks.



E

[nep1293]

nep,

What does the chart have to say about Bama/Fla State? I do not see that game in your listing for this week. Either I'm blind as a bat or it is not there.

Please revise. Thanks.



E

Alabama and Florida St is not listed because it is a neutral site game. I originally had it listed when I thought FSU was the home team, then I removed it.

I like Alabama in the game, I'll probably play the ML. That is just my pick though. There is no chart data for the neutral sites

[nep1293]

I had Memphis +4.5 tonight. It goes down as a push for the chart though. Kind of a shame.

Another thing. Last Week's Northern Illinois/Idaho game was messed up. I had my records for PICK games reversed. PICK were supposed to be for the road team but I had Idaho listed.


I am going to update the records of the chart to reflect that game.

[pags11]

GL this week nep...

[EBone]

Alabama and Florida St is not listed because it is a neutral site game. I originally had it listed when I thought FSU was the home team, then I removed it.

I like Alabama in the game, I'll probably play the ML. That is just my pick though. There is no chart data for the neutral sites

I am sure that you had posted that before about neutral site games. Sorry for the repeat.

Good luck to you this weekend.



E

[nep1293]

Another solid week. 14-10-1 on the recommended picks

My actual record was 15-10. I won Memphis at +4.5 and Minnesota at +24, but lost New Mexico at +4.


This is pretty much what The Chart is designed to do. No real bad weeks, just build a solid profit over the entire season. I'd be happy just plugging along like this the whole year.

I should have Week 6 up tonight once the lines come out.