1. 08-28-07 03:56 AM #1
    sirwinzalot
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    Week 1 Plays

    Ones that I have played:

    Mississippi State +18.5
    Iowa -12
    Notre Dame -2.5
    USC -44.5
    Texas -39
    Cal -5.5
    Troy +24
    Nebraska -19.5

    Two others I am debating......one of which is more just waiting for a more optimum line.
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  2. 08-28-07 01:20 PM #2
    pags11
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    BOL this week sirwinzalot...
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  3. 08-28-07 01:25 PM #3
    Skankdog
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    here is a funny one, most people think that since appalachian state has a great team in Division II that they have a chance to cover -26 against Michigan at Michigan.

    Let me put it another way for all to think about:

    What is the margin of victory you would think, if the top 5 Div.II teams played at the home teams of the top 5 in Div.I, Now that should scare some guys off Appalachian.LOL
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  4. 08-28-07 01:27 PM #4
    pags11
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    skank,

    I believe that they are I-AA and I actually think they have a legit shot in covering in this one (especially with Lloyd Carr's conservative ways)...won't be betting it, but these guys are pretty damn impressive...
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  5. 08-28-07 02:05 PM #5
    rjt721
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    Quote Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
    skank,

    I believe that they are I-AA and I actually think they have a legit shot in covering in this one (especially with Lloyd Carr's conservative ways)...won't be betting it, but these guys are pretty damn impressive...
    Exactly. I'm a big UM fan, but pags is right - Lloyd's not going to put the ball in the air when they're up by two scores. He'll be perfectly content to hand the ball to Hart and Minor 40+ times and secure a 31-10 type win. I'd stay away from this one.

    Solid card sirwinz. Good luck.
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  6. 08-28-07 02:33 PM #6
    Skankdog
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    I just hope Hart can keep that little engine running.LOL He might be my only hope! A loss here might force me to keep out of Le Palace here in Panama for an entire week! Now, that make me Nervous!!!!!LOL
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  7. 08-28-07 03:09 PM #7
    tullamore
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    Michigan always scares me when laying big #'s because of their offensive style. They never just air the ball out, which I think they could do with Henne.
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  8. 08-28-07 03:43 PM #8
    austintx05
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    they could but Carr is an idiot
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  9. 08-28-07 05:21 PM #9
    pags11
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    exactly...
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  10. 08-28-07 09:58 PM #10
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by austintx05 View Post
    they could but Carr is an idiot


    You hit the nail on the head.
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  11. 08-29-07 06:08 PM #11
    sirwinzalot
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    Just hedged my Notre Dame -2.5 bet, and rebought it at -2. I see this game being close so I will get the best line on Notre Dame in this game that I can.
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  12. 08-29-07 06:09 PM #12
    pags11
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    I see you working sir...
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  13. 08-30-07 04:09 PM #13
    sirwinzalot
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    Hegded the Miss St. +18.5 play. Now have it at +19. Go Bulldogs.
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  14. 08-30-07 04:14 PM #14
    pokernut9999
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    how is that a hedge ?
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  15. 08-30-07 04:24 PM #15
    sirwinzalot
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    Well maybe I am using incorrect terminology, but I bought LSU -18.5 to in essence cancel out of my first bet. Then I took Miss St. +19.
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  16. 08-30-07 04:49 PM #16
    pokernut9999
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    Your picks on this thread you started says Miss. St +18.5

    Now you say this, interesting ???
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  17. 08-30-07 05:08 PM #17
    BrianLaverty
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    Quote Originally Posted by pokernut9999 View Post
    Your picks on this thread you started says Miss. St +18.5

    Now you say this, interesting ???

    umm... are you misunderstanding what he's saying?


    He's still has MSU as a pick... but instead he just cancelled out the +18.5 and got +19 instead.

    Not a big deal... he just doesnt wanna lose on the hook.
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  18. 08-30-07 05:14 PM #18
    pokernut9999
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    I see that now after rereading. Sorry
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  19. 08-30-07 05:30 PM #19
    White_Tiger
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    Quote Originally Posted by sirwinzalot View Post
    Well maybe I am using incorrect terminology, but I bought LSU -18.5 to in essence cancel out of my first bet. Then I took Miss St. +19.
    I think you lost 10% juice on this 1/2 point is -EV. How often you see the game land on 19??? very sure more than 1 in 10 shots right?
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  20. 08-30-07 10:26 PM #20
    austintx05
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    just accept it...WE ARE ****ING IDIOTS FOR BETTING ON THESE THUGS
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