1. 04-09-21 07:07 PM #1
    Orbison
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    5 steamed sides in Saturday's College Football

    Monmouth opened +7 >>> currently -2.5

    Missouri State opened -2.5 >>> currently -6.5

    Citadel opened +10 >>> currently +7

    Weber State opened -7.5 >>> currently -10

    Southern Utah opened -3 >>> currently -6


    anyone here get down on any of these sides before the movements?
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  2. 04-09-21 07:09 PM #2
    johnnyvegas13
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    Maybe just hungry but steamed sides sound good right now
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  3. 04-09-21 07:20 PM #3
    Emily_Haines
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    BOL has put up some bad openers this year

    They opened Monmouth +13
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  4. 04-09-21 07:24 PM #4
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Emily_Haines View Post
    BOL has put up some bad openers this year

    They opened Monmouth +13
    Who’s accurate
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  5. 04-09-21 07:41 PM #5
    pavyracer
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    Be careful. What you call steamed sides could be line managers opening lines were wrongly calculated. Not enough data with these teams.
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  6. 04-09-21 07:42 PM #6
    jjgold
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    Blindly bet big underdogs they’ve been coming in
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  7. 04-09-21 07:53 PM #7
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Emily_Haines View Post
    BOL has put up some bad openers this year

    They opened Monmouth +13
    the openers i quoted were from CRIS

    according to SBR Odds line history, BOL opened Monmouth +3 but you could be right too
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  8. 04-09-21 07:55 PM #8
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Be careful. What you call steamed sides could be line managers opening lines were wrongly calculated. Not enough data with these teams.
    the bigger issue is low liquidity in these markets thus inefficiency. of course this heavily favors anyone who has a good read on these teams
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  9. 04-09-21 08:01 PM #9
    Emily_Haines
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    You got to get to the number within minutes after it gets posted on the BOL openers

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Orbison
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  10. 04-09-21 08:09 PM #10
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Blindly bet big underdogs they’ve been coming in
    Del St
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  11. 04-09-21 08:10 PM #11
    Orbison
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    i'm getting the urge to fire on some of these games tmrw

    some blind leans i need to research..

    Bucknell +7
    Northern Iowa +9
    Nicholls -5
    Mercer -1.5
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  12. 04-09-21 08:15 PM #12
    Jowframs
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    Kenn st+2.5
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  13. 04-09-21 08:16 PM #13
    hubie69
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    Those are some giant swings. I need to start looking at some of these Div 2 football lines
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  14. 04-09-21 08:19 PM #14
    Emily_Haines
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    Quote Originally Posted by hubie69 View Post
    Those are some giant swings. I need to start looking at some of these Div 2 football lines
    Well you don't have long.

    Next Saturday is the end of the regular season.
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  15. 04-09-21 08:25 PM #15
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jowframs View Post
    Kenn st+2.5
    yeah they're looking pretty tempting now, both teams undefeated but Monmouth has played 2 fewer games
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  16. 04-09-21 08:30 PM #16
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    yeah they're looking pretty tempting now, both teams undefeated but Monmouth has played 2 fewer games
    They can have that steamed oyster
    Kenn st ML..maybe
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  17. 04-09-21 08:31 PM #17
    Orbison
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    only thing i'm wondering is if Kennesaw has a big injury, illness, or suspension that hasn't been reported
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  18. 04-09-21 08:32 PM #18
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    only thing i'm wondering is if Kennesaw has a big injury, illness, or suspension that hasn't been reported
    That’s a good ?
    Hmmm
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  19. 04-09-21 08:36 PM #19
    Orbison
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    will let ya know if i find anything out, gonna cap tmrw's CFB later tonight
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  20. 04-09-21 08:39 PM #20
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    will let ya know if i find anything out, gonna cap tmrw's CFB later tonight
    Yeah
    me too.....compare
    gl
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  21. 04-09-21 08:49 PM #21
    Orbison
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    another thought that just came to mind is if Kennesaw already has their playoff seed locked in so they may play backups for a good portion of the game? they're off next weekend before the playoffs start the following week.
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  22. 04-09-21 08:57 PM #22
    pavyracer
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    Gun to my head I'd take Kennesaw St to win. The roster is full of local GA kids. Football in GA is way more advanced than New Jersey. Point is Kenn St most likely has the better athletes.
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  23. 04-10-21 04:20 AM #23
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    i'm getting the urge to fire on some of these games tmrw

    some blind leans i need to research..

    Bucknell +7
    Northern Iowa +9
    Nicholls -5
    Mercer -1.5
    only considering Bucknell and Mercer of these unless UNI moves to +10.5 or better by kickoff

    passing on a side in the KSU/Monmouth game.. the extra 2 games KSU played came against bad competition and i'm not confident something isn't up with KSU here. that said, KSU runs the triple option and Monmouth only had 1 week to prepare for it. KSU also looks to have the better defense. based on those two things alone, i would take KSU if i knew everything about the game was going to be kosher but this line movement bothers me and i couldn't find any concrete info about player personnel for this game

    other sides i'll wait to see gameday line movement on before deciding.. Morehead, Lafayette, Bill & Mary, Mizzou St, IW, Murray, Tenn Tech
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  24. 04-10-21 08:20 AM #24
    Jowframs
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    Taking
    Davidson(early game)
    Small number
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  25. 04-10-21 08:57 AM #25
    Otters27
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    Wow. That's Crazy on the Monmouth game
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  26. 04-10-21 09:50 AM #26
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jowframs View Post
    Taking
    Davidson(early game)
    Small number
    Davidson down to -3.5, they beat Presbyterian by 17 the first time they played so not too sure what to make of this line movement outside of maybe a revenge angle? game starts in 10 mins
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  27. 04-10-21 09:53 AM #27
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    Davidson down to -3.5, they beat Presbyterian by 17 the first time they played so not too sure what to make of this line movement outside of maybe a revenge angle? game starts in 10 mins
    Played against line movements first couple of weeks
    Did ok
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  28. 04-10-21 10:08 AM #28
    jjgold
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    I bet every game on the board plus the points
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  29. 04-10-21 10:16 AM #29
    Orbison
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    Davidson's triple option manhandled them on the opening drive, they've got a big size advantage along their OL
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  30. 04-10-21 10:27 AM #30
    Orbison
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    PC answers back on a long TD drive of their own, they run an uptempo spread offense so it's a big contrast in styles between these teams. both defenses on their heels early
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  31. 04-10-21 10:27 AM #31
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    Davidson's triple option manhandled them on the opening drive, they've got a big size advantage along their OL
    Where you watching?Link
    Last edited by Jowframs; 04-10-21 at 10:31 AM.
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  32. 04-10-21 10:32 AM #32
    Orbison
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    it's on ESPN+ but i'm streaming here.. https://buffstreams.tv/live-davidson
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  33. 04-10-21 10:36 AM #33
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    it's on ESPN+ but i'm streaming here.. https://buffstreams.tv/live-davidson
    Thanx
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  34. 04-10-21 12:46 PM #34
    jackpot269
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    Jax st +3

    Jax st +130
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  35. 04-10-21 01:09 PM #35
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    Jax st +3

    Jax st +130
    just to be clear, you're taking Jackson State +3 vs. Alabama A&M and not Jacksonville State who's -9.5 and doesn't play until tmrw?

    reason why i ask, as you probably know, people traditionally refer to the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (in basketball and football) as Jax State
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