1. #1
    phil_abuster
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    interesting stat on 2016 bowls so far

    6 out of 9 bowl games so far have gone OVER the 2h total

    e.mich/old D, 10 pts first half.....2h total is 28.5
    which is lower than 1/2 the pregame expectation of 63.5
    will this game have at least 4 TDs and one more score (5)
    despite only 2 scores in the first half ??

  2. #2
    phil_abuster
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    Quote Originally Posted by phil_abuster View Post
    6 out of 9 bowl games so far have gone OVER the 2h total

    e.mich/old D, 10 pts first half.....2h total is 28.5
    which is lower than 1/2 the pregame expectation of 63.5
    will this game have at least 4 TDs and one more score (5)
    despite only 2 scores in the first half ??
    so, those of us who bet the OVER 28.5 for the 2h
    combined w/the previously scored 10 pts,
    effectively hold a game total over 38.5
    31 pts have already been scored mid-way thru the 3Q

    look for something similar in the upcoming super-exciting bowl games today and tomorrow. meaning if u like an over, u could wait until game action, slow first half,
    and bet OVER on a much lower total during the first half - knowing that there is likely to be much more scoring in the 2h

    or maybe the whole thing will fail
    ball bounces funny sometimes
    Last edited by phil_abuster; 12-23-16 at 02:23 PM.

  3. #3
    phil_abuster
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    Quote Originally Posted by phil_abuster View Post
    6 out of 9 bowl games so far have gone OVER the 2h total

    e.mich/old D, 10 pts first half.....2h total is 28.5
    which is lower than 1/2 the pregame expectation of 63.5
    will this game have at least 4 TDs and one more score (5)
    despite only 2 scores in the first half ??
    yep.
    thats now 7 of 10 bowls so far which went OVER the 2h total

  4. #4
    phil_abuster
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    and w/the 38 pts in the 2h of the LT/Navy game
    that makes 8 of 11 bowls so far to go OVER the 2h total

    btw,
    only 3 favs - of at least -3pts - have covered
    and 7 have failed

  5. #5
    gojetsgomoxies
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    the games in their entirety were going UNDER very nicely for first 7 or 8 games - might have been 7-1 UNDER. i think it's slightly more OVER since.

  6. #6
    phil_abuster
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    Quote Originally Posted by phil_abuster View Post
    and w/the 38 pts in the 2h of the LT/Navy game
    that makes 8 of 11 bowls so far to go OVER the 2h total

    btw,
    only 3 favs - of at least -3pts - have covered
    and 7 have failed
    and w/Troy's failure to cover -6
    so far only 3 favs - of at least -3pts - have covered
    and now 8 have failed

    another "3/4 empty stadium" game later today
    although its tough to understand why given the
    awesome power of these two squads AND
    its a home game for hawaii and they only lost 7 games this yr!
    plus there isnt really a whole lot for folks to do on Christmas eve

  7. #7
    phil_abuster
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    so w/MTSU and Miss.st both failing to cover (but NC st. covered)
    that 2-1 for covers when favs r at least -3pts
    only 4 favs (of -3 and up) have covered
    and now 10 have failed

  8. #8
    phil_abuster
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    Quote Originally Posted by phil_abuster View Post
    so w/MTSU and Miss.st both failing to cover (but NC st. covered)
    that 2-1 for covers when favs r at least -3pts
    only 4 favs (of -3 and up) have covered
    and now 10 have failed
    and
    10 of 16 total bowl games so far have gone OVER the 2h total

  9. #9
    phil_abuster
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    after the 4 bowl games on tuesday,
    w/all 4 favs Army, Temple, Wash.st and Boise failing to cover
    so far this yr favs of at least -3 pts r just 4 - 14 ats

    today there r 2 favs of at lest -3 pts.....panthers and utes,
    although A&M and Miami could get pushed into that field too
    by stubborn fav bettors over the next few hrs, so if u r
    considering west va or ksu u may wanna wait until closer to gametime
    Last edited by phil_abuster; 12-28-16 at 09:08 AM.

  10. #10
    phil_abuster
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    so with Pitt unable to overcome several bad breaks against them
    so far this yr favs of at least -3 pts r just 4 - 15 ats

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