turkey day bet
lsu tigers -6.5 __ qb trevor knight is one good hit to his injured shoulder away from leaving the aggies in a deep sinkhole and the tigers defense must surely b aware of that. pressure (or lack thereof) on the aggie qb may b the key here. tigers r more than capable of that. of course the aggies offense knows this too. backup hubenak will b available but hurting too. knights effectiveness includes his running ability but they cant afford to lose him so i dont expect him taking off much. they may b w/o star rb williams too, as well as an ailing secondary. meanwhile tigers being w/o fournette is no biggie since
guise is putting up terrific numbers in his place!
of course anything can happen
black friday bets
daabears -5.5 __redraiders suffered an embarrassing 10-66
beat down last week against lowly iowa state.
humiliating! bowl eligibility now gonzo!
very depressing! but still must drag themselves to the bus for a 4.5 hr drive away to arlington for a neutral site match vs a bowl eligible opp. of course tech will have some diehard loyal fans make the 4.5 hr trip to watch their 4-7 team finish their LOSING season. but i would expect baylor fans - only 1.5 hr drive away - will outnumber the tech fans, ohh, maybe 20 to 1. so there's that. then the fact baylor (6-4) is a better team and still w/ a shot to finish 8-4 and possibly 9-4 after a bowl win! there is reason for motivation for baylor despite losing their mobile starting QB 2 games ago. yes, they lost by 21 pts last week.
but it was excusable, as 3 turnovers hurt badly and to a quality opp (ksu), unlike tech's demoralizing faceplant to a 2-8 team.
and baylors groundgame was hampered by the absence of their top RB and best backup RB - both of whom return for this one! plus it was freshman qb zack smith's first start - following russell's departure in the game before. while we cant expect a freshman to set the world on fire here, clearly he should be better prepared for this one and he's
facing a weaker defense than ksu - now even more questionable w/ injuries to their front 7!
tech's offense will b w/o their top RB!
i expect both teams to put up quite a few passing yards and points as the line total of 85 seems accurate - but tech has nothing to play for.
blowing bowl eligibility is a HUGE let down. while baylor is motivated and has a better D. i expect baylor to win, likely by a td, maybe cutting it close but i will make adjustments w/ live betting if need b. added black friday bets
hawkeyes -2.5 __ would b an even matchup but husker qb is limping and mobility is his game
mustangs -7
sundevils -1.5
razorbacks -7 __missouri has nothing to play for; not much pride in a 3 win season - one of which was against 0-11 delaware state and another win to east.mich. tigers have lost AT HOME to "mediocre opps" georgia, middle tenn, and ky- and the razorbacks r better than all of those! missou was beat down by 26 pts to tennessee last week and in the razorbacks they r facing an equivalent rated opp! razorbacks have had 3 true road games before this. an early win at tcu, a forgiveable beat down at a very strong opp (auburn) and then last week - a full-value 14 pt win at miss st - a much better squad than missouri. arkansas finished last regular season 7-5 - an improvement they have hoped for in their rebuilding - before winning a bowl game. this yr they sit at 7-4. a win over lowly missouri would make it 8-4 and another step forward in their march up the sec ladder. they NEED a win in columbia - and convincingly - and they know it!
added bets
i dont see the woeful missou tigers mounting any comeback from being outplayed badly in the first half. they arent competitive enough and lack motivation. arkansas wants to keep foot on gas pedal.
2ndHalf razorbacks -3 +100