1. #1
    drfader
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    Kent State +22

    I'll take the points and hope this Kent State defense comes out with a tight game.
    -110. 1.1 Unit to Win 1.

  2. #2
    HockeyKid97
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    Horrible pick. Top star safety just convicted of felony kidnapping and kicked off the team. Organisation in shambles. Western Michigan will win by at least 35 points. Don't be an idiot.

  3. #3
    reigle9
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    Organization in shambles cause one player is retarded? Can't make this shit up.

  4. #4
    readytowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by reigle9 View Post
    Organization in shambles cause one player is retarded? Can't make this shit up.
    You have no clue. They will be pulling people out of the stands to play for them since they lost this 1 player.

  5. #5
    drfader
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    Line is moving back down now. It seems I got a good price. Being a degenerate, this game has the most value of the night for me. So I will take it.
    Safety being out hurts most definitely however.
    All said, I would take this bet with or without him playing.
    And if it loses, thats fine. Playing value bets over time has yielded me good results. Secret to success= money management+ consistency+EV.

  6. #6
    BigdaddyQH
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    You are correct when you state the secret to success is money management. Unfortunately this is a bad example of that. Western Michigan is 11-0 ATS away after scoring 35 or more points, and 6-0 ATS weekdays against sub .500 teams. You cannot show me one legitimate reason to take Kent State. One other thing. You obviously play for very small stakes because no true gambler would think that it is fine if a wager loses. You cannot properly manage money if you are a degenerate, as your prior post indicates. Pass.
    Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 11-08-16 at 01:35 PM.

  7. #7
    drfader
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    Here is the thing BD... I really do not give credence into trends against the spread. I look at other predictive metrics.
    Your reasoning implies either one of two illogical conclusions.
    1. That since a team has beaten the spread so much, that the coaches must be purposely beating the spread.
    2. Vegas is grossly misscalculating W Michigan spreads Over and over and cant seem to find a way to sharpen the lines.

    I find spread trends to be nonrelated to future outcomes.

  8. #8
    JayDr3am
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    lots of late action just came in on kent state..

  9. #9
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    How do you feel about the under 30.5 1st half?

  10. #10
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    How do you feel about the under 30.5 1st half?
    no bueno. i see a 24-10 first half at least. it'll come down to the wire but everything about this game says over

  11. #11
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Thks

  12. #12
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Thks
    BOL tonight hawk

  13. #13
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Not on anytbing tonight looking for a single play not sure yet just to even out tnis election night

  14. #14
    QuantumLeap
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    I have them too. GL to us!

  15. #15
    Fred The Hammer
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    Over 55....thinking WM will get 40+ but a defensive TD from Kent is pretty sweet!!

  16. #16
    Fred The Hammer
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    14-0 Kent....yeah they had no chance to cover +21.......at home and against a ranked opponent with a coach that's getting so much attention.

    Kent is ready to play tonite....if WM was 6-3 then Kent would be flat tonite

  17. #17
    JayDr3am
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    this kent state defensive coordinator group has always been impressive.. even after brian george left

  18. #18
    Aye J Mac
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    Boom!!!

  19. #19
    KANSAS24
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