Automatic under play here?
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10-21-16 12:44 PM #1
Uh...the cal Oregon o/u is almost 90
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10-21-16 01:00 PM #2
Dane this reminds me of when the total in a kershaw / bumgarner game is like 6 and it almost always goes under.
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10-21-16 02:09 PM #3
No. This game hits 100.
Originally Posted by daneblazer
Automatic under play here?
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10-21-16 02:12 PM #4
Yes... this game only gets to 65-73
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10-21-16 02:14 PM #5
David Webb and Chad Hansen are back for Cal, Cal will throw for a million yards, Oregon will run the ball for a million yards. Oregon shouldn't have to throw one pass. It goes over 100.
That being said, I'm not laying a bet. I will look at player props tho.
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10-21-16 02:14 PM #6
Screaming Under 89 to me. There will be some stops on defense tonight, and some is all we'll need. Would love to see the totals distribution graph for these teams in the past few years...
Using the VERY small dataset of totals from each team in this season and last season, the most conservative estimate (assuming normal distribution) suggests there's a 72% probability this game will go UNDER 89 pts.Last edited by AJisKewl; 10-21-16 at 02:34 PM. Reason: adding stat analysis
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10-21-16 02:36 PM #7
I'm on the under.
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10-21-16 02:39 PM #8
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10-21-16 03:14 PM #9
i would probably never play OVER on a total that high. i seem to have a general UNDER bias anyway.
but what's the basis for the total being wrong? both these teams play very high scoring games.
i guess i'm wondering if 2 OVER teams aren't so much multiplictive in terms of very high scores as the teams' games have scoring at will - both ways - already...... i do think the opposite does work though, that UNDER teams combine for very low scores.
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10-21-16 03:17 PM #10
ESPN says it's the highest total in 15 years...... surprises me a bit although if i think about it it's 45-45 which is crazy
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10-21-16 04:06 PM #11
what are the player props you like llama? Royce over 114.5 rushing yards, juiced out, I prob. have to pass on. Oregon team passing yards at 265.5, should I go under?
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10-21-16 05:30 PM #12
89.5 is the highest total in almost 30 years. Fwiw the other highest 9 range from 82.5 to 89 and the over hit 7-2.
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10-21-16 05:48 PM #13
Byu Hawaii about 15 years ago was high 80s...I think
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10-21-16 05:49 PM #14
What about baylor last year wasnt it pretty close? Everyone on under but better off no play?
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10-21-16 08:23 PM #15
Player props unbettale. Freeman looks like a lock but he left the game early a few weeks ago in the 1st quarter with an injury, not sure how reliable he will be.
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10-21-16 08:24 PM #16
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10-21-16 08:30 PM #17
Evenly matched teams. Could mean overtime.
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10-21-16 08:39 PM #18
Baylor had a total of 89 last year. The game scored 98. 63-35
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10-21-16 08:45 PM #19
Whatre we gonna do brother? Originally Posted by HossWilbur
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10-21-16 08:57 PM #20
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10-21-16 09:00 PM #21
Isn't TCU/Baylor games always 100 pt games? They play 2 minutes offense all game and shit on each other defenses, well thats if the even played defense. They just pad their offense for stats recruits
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10-21-16 09:12 PM #22
Brother, do we look like DeGeneration X? We rep the red n yella! We're gonna cash our Temple play and live to play another day. #RedNYellaLivesMatterBrother Originally Posted by daneblazer
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10-21-16 09:27 PM #23
About to close at 90 -110 on dimes
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10-21-16 09:45 PM #24
Game will go over. I wouldn't bet this game at all. I almost took oregon +3 this morning but waited. Now I see I fukked up. So I left it period.
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10-21-16 09:47 PM #25
Under is a lock. Good call.
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10-21-16 09:53 PM #26
Well, it'd b brutal for first quarter to go over now. So that under is basically locked up, same thing with first half
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10-21-16 09:58 PM #27
There is literally no way this can go over. 0 points in first 10 minutes and likely quarter. That means 30 point quarters on out. Hmm. Anybody know what public was on
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10-21-16 10:03 PM #28
Win or lose idk how the hell anyone could take the over.
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10-21-16 10:07 PM #29
Triple shitty overtime game in 3, 2, 1...
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10-21-16 10:11 PM #30
Every time there is a big play or about to be one.. yellow.. pretty bad in this first Q
Points Awarded:
paco gave bballs84 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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10-21-16 10:12 PM #31
Was 3 tds refs called back with flag super late
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10-21-16 10:18 PM #32
Oregon turned into an absolute shit show in 2 years
fuk this game, id rather play madden.
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10-21-16 10:20 PM #33
Flag on every ducks positive play lmao
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10-21-16 10:22 PM #34
They are a fukkin hot mess. People still betting on them like it's 2010. Phil Knight should disown them. Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron
Oregon turned into an absolute shit show in 2 yearsfuk this game, id rather play madden.
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10-21-16 10:23 PM #35
Legit flags though Paco. They are very undisciplined... Originally Posted by paco
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