1. #1
    CappinTerp
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    Duke / louisville

    ​I realize that 10 TD's is a lot of points,but for some reason,this total of 70.5 looks a tad low to me.Yes, the Cards can score,but they do run a lot and Blue Devils defense not that bad!.......................A SMALL PLAY!!......................DUKE / LOU. - UNDER 70.5..............1 UNIT...............................GL

  2. #2
    DOM-Ganador
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    Unders can look great in these big line games.....until they put up a 35 quarter...

    Don`t see why Ville would lay off the gas with a loss. So even in a blowout, Petrino might play to the end for
    "Committee".

    I am looking for any angle to bet small on this game because I will be watching it.

  3. #3
    sportsfan9698
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    Personally I was shocked to see the Ville favored by 34.5... I know they are good, but this is not your grandfathers Duke team. I don't know if that means there is value for the dog here - for sure Petrino will keep his offense floored the entire game. I'm just very surprised to see that number... I was expecting something closer to 24

  4. #4
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM-Ganador View Post
    Unders can look great in these big line games.....until they put up a 35 quarter...

    Don`t see why Ville would lay off the gas with a loss. So even in a blowout, Petrino might play to the end for
    "Committee".

    I am looking for any angle to bet small on this game because I will be watching it.
    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    Personally I was shocked to see the Ville favored by 34.5... I know they are good, but this is not your grandfathers Duke team. I don't know if that means there is value for the dog here - for sure Petrino will keep his offense floored the entire game. I'm just very surprised to see that number... I was expecting something closer to 24



    Yes Vill can score in bunches.....but their "D" nothing great....Duke will run the ball a little more than usual to eat some clock.....And I think Duke can do this......Don't forget with these high totals , just 1 drive of 6-7 min. and a team comes away with just 3 or zero points....puts the UNDER bettors in a very good position...............​Bottom line....anything can happen.....so for me , just a 1 unit bet......................Hope all have a profitable weekend!!!

  5. #5
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post


    Yes Vill can score in bunches.....but their "D" nothing great....Duke will run the ball a little more than usual to eat some clock.....And I think Duke can do this......Don't forget with these high totals , just 1 drive of 6-7 min. and a team comes away with just 3 or zero points....puts the UNDER bettors in a very good position...............​Bottom line....anything can happen.....so for me , just a 1 unit bet......................Hope all have a profitable weekend!!!

    Louisville's D is nothing great?

    The same defense that COMPLETELY shut down FSU?

  6. #6
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Louisville's D is nothing great?

    The same defense that COMPLETELY shut down FSU?
    That was one game !! Ville gives up an avg.of 26.4 points per game, there are 70 teams better in the FBS, IN Defense points given up. Yes, real good teams...? Above them.....​Ball ST., U CONN,DUKE,WAKE ,TROY, S.CARO.....ECT.

  7. #7
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    That was one game !! Ville gives up an avg.of 26.4 points per game, there are 70 teams better in the FBS, IN Defense points given up. Yes, real good teams...? Above them.....​Ball ST., U CONN,DUKE,WAKE ,TROY, S.CARO.....ECT.
    Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

    That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!

  8. #8
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

    That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!
    Thanks for the extra info. ......It helps all...............................BOL

  9. #9
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

    That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!
    You're reading too much into the game. Louisville vs Duke is an easy UNDER game.
    My plays are:
    Louisville vs Duke UNDER 69.5
    Brigham Young vs Mississippi St. OVER 57 AND MSST +7

  10. #10
    NostraDanUS
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    Louisville 46 to 20

  11. #11
    Husker36
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    I watched Duke match ND point for point..... that game was 38-35. I expect more points tonight.

  12. #12
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by Husker36 View Post
    I watched Duke match ND point for point..... that game was 38-35. I expect more points tonight.
    This game will not go over.

  13. #13
    O's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    This game will not go over.
    Brilliant insight at HT......

  14. #14
    CappinTerp
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    How about going ​over 31 2nd half??...........That gives one a 22.5 middle!! ??

  15. #15
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by O View Post
    Brilliant insight at HT......
    I guess you're BLIND. So let me help you, take a look at Post #9.

  16. #16
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    How about going ​over 31 2nd half??...........That gives one a 22.5 middle!! ??
    I would still go UNDER.

  17. #17
    O's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    I guess you're BLIND. So let me help you, take a look at Post #9.
    Touche... my apologies

    Why would anyone middle in this position?

  18. #18
    CappinTerp
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    Quote Originally Posted by oe473034 View Post
    I would still go UNDER.
    Looks like it will,17-7 end of 3rd Q......But Ihave seen stranger things happen! (do not think it will happen here)......game goes into,4-5 OT's. With such a big cushion,IT would be stupid to middle...just pointing it out..........................Like they say: Bulls,Bears and Pigs.............just take the $ and run.

  19. #19
    oe473034
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    Quote Originally Posted by CappinTerp View Post
    Looks like it will,17-7 end of 3rd Q......But Ihave seen stranger things happen! (do not think it will happen here)......game goes into,4-5 OT's. With such a big cushion,IT would be stupid to middle...just pointing it out..........................Like they say: Bulls,Bears and Pigs.............just take the $ and run.
    It still ended UNDER.

  20. #20
    TPowell
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    That sucked, would have hit this game both ways if Radcliffe hangs on to the ball and puts Louisville up 17. Had Duke +35.5 pregame and took some back on Louisville -13.5 for 2H.

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