1. #1
    saints1856
    saints1856's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 1,189
    Betpoints: 4707

    Louisville team total vs Duke

    So my buddy and I have been really focusing on team totals in CFB this year. If you look at the line and O/U, you can get to a pretty good idea of what the o/u on Team Totals will be.

    We think the team total for Louisville on Friday will be hung at 50-52 range. If so, I really like the Over.

    Louisville offense has been on fire this year, as nobody has had an answer for Lamar Jackson. They've scored at least 59 in every game, and two weeks ago in Clemson they had their toughest game of the year and scored 36. Off a bye week, I think Lou comes out at home and makes a statement.

    I see a 56-17 type game. How do yall see it playing out?
    Last edited by saints1856; 10-12-16 at 10:29 AM.

  2. #2
    saints1856
    saints1856's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 1,189
    Betpoints: 4707

    My guy's site doesn't post Team Totals until the day of the game. Does anyone's site have that out already? Just curious

  3. #3
    KSmooth4U
    KSmooth4U's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 2137

    Mines the same way... sometimes only hours before games... idk why its like that... ive taken Louisville and Texas Tech TT the last 3 games and am 6-0 so far

  4. #4
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Add half of the line to half of the game total to get the implied team total for the favorite. Subtract half of the line from half of the game total for the underdog's team total. Using that I get an implied team total of 53 for Louisville. While certainly doable (all 5 of their team totals have gone over), over 53 is a bit high for my liking. Good luck to you if you play it!

  5. #5
    KSmooth4U
    KSmooth4U's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-01-13
    Posts: 588
    Betpoints: 2137

    Yeah... anything over 50 is risky... last week Texas Tech TT was 29... I should of put way more on it but didnt for some reason... it seems like you can find a very easy TT to hit every week... Looking at Ohio St's O/U and spread there TT should be under 28 this week... very tempting

  6. #6
    Louisvillekid1
    LAMAR MVP!
    Louisvillekid1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-07
    Posts: 52,044
    Betpoints: 553

    Sure wouldn't bet the under

    just remember you most likely won't be getting them for 60 minutes... hate betting a team that won't fight for your bet for 60 min

  7. #7
    Igor_1965
    200 Independence Avenue
    Igor_1965's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-18-15
    Posts: 2,435
    Betpoints: 142

    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Sure wouldn't bet the under

    just remember you most likely won't be getting them for 60 minutes... hate betting a team that won't fight for your bet for 60 min
    The idea behind betting -30 (or whatever) is that Louisville now need 'style points'. Doesn't that mean they will want to run it way, way, WAY up?

  8. #8
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by Igor_1965 View Post
    The idea behind betting -30 (or whatever) is that Louisville now need 'style points'. Doesn't that mean they will want to run it way, way, WAY up?
    true but I wouldn't expect Lamar to play but MAYBE half of the 4th quarter if Louisville is up by 28+ points.

  9. #9
    saints1856
    saints1856's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 1,189
    Betpoints: 4707

    The 1st H Team Total Over may be a better play. Stay tuned fellas

Top