This week was a bit difficult, but after much deliberation, I am going with this play:
New Mexico -450 @ New Mexico State.
Los Lobos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Las Cruces and 5-1 ATS in the first of back to back away games. Davie got this team to a bowl game for the first time since 2007 last season with 7 wins. They return both starting QB's and RB Gipson back from last years offense, and 10 starters from a much improved defense last year. State is in a difficult situation, losing it's standing in the Sun Belt Conference in 2017. They have a huge grudge, but that is aimed at the Sun Belt teams. Davie and the New Mexico defense go to 2-0 in their quest for a 2nd straight bowl game.
Last week: 1-0
YTD: 1-0. +100