1. #1
    LT Profits
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    CFB Plays - Week 4

    CFB Plays - Week 4

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)



    YTD: 21-23-1, -2.95

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    CFB Saturday Additions

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 21-23-1, -2.95

  3. #3
    bballs84
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    LT you are still rolling with Fresno even tho their QB situation a mess? Virgil gone for year and Greenlee arrested for public intoxication while under age... Next up either Childress transfer from WV or Anderson who has no experience.. Couple all that with a D that can't stop a nosebleed up front or on the back end.. Just wanted to hear your thoughts on the play.. Thank you bud

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by bballs84 View Post
    LT you are still rolling with Fresno even tho their QB situation a mess? Virgil gone for year and Greenlee arrested for public intoxication while under age... Next up either Childress transfer from WV or Anderson who has no experience.. Couple all that with a D that can't stop a nosebleed up front or on the back end.. Just wanted to hear your thoughts on the play.. Thank you bud
    I am looking from the opposite perspective, San Jose State defense not good enough to be giving this many points. Don't go by the raw stats, Jose's defensive numbers are skewed from holding FCS New Hampshire to around 180 yards. I expect typical back and forth between these two, I only have line SJST -3. Fresno actually has a respectable running game this year and they ran decently vs. very good teams the last two weeks, that should take the pressure off of QB.

  5. #5
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    1 CFB Addition Saturday

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
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    I have so many questions lol...

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    I have so many questions lol...
    ...and yet you asked none. lol

  8. #8
    BaronVonSlick
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)
    Hey LT pretty new here. Any thoughts on BYU or Miss st?

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaronVonSlick View Post
    Hey LT pretty new here. Any thoughts on BYU or Miss st?
    See that I am on Auburn AGAINST MSU.

    I do lean BYU but will not bet them barring major line move past 7.

  10. #10
    funnyb25
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    good luck to you as always LT....loving the red raiders

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    Now at 12 CFB Plays Saturday

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    LSU / Syracuse UNDER 46 -105 (Heritage)
    Boston College -4.5 -105 (Heritage)

    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Virginia Tech -8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    TCU / Texas Tech OVER 80.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    Do not adjust your sets, that DOES say Over 80.5 on Texas Tech.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    It now looks like Gunner Kiel is playing, Memphis is down to -7.5.

    I still like then though, Bearcats have not been all that impressive even with Kiel.

  14. #14
    LT Profits
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    13th CFB Play Saturday

    THURSDAY, 9/24
    Memphis -9.5 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 9/26
    Georgia Tech -9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Syracuse +24 -105 (Heritage)
    LSU / Syracuse UNDER 46 -105 (Heritage)
    Boston College -4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Buffalo -2 -105 (Heritage)
    Virginia Tech -8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Texas Tech +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    TCU / Texas Tech OVER 80.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Arkansas +7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Texas-San Antonio +8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Missouri +125 ML (5 Dimes)
    Auburn -3 -105 (Heritage)
    Fresno State +5 -105 (Heritage)

  15. #15
    Biff41
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    See that I am on Auburn AGAINST MSU.

    I do lean BYU but will not bet them barring major line move past 7.
    Would Miss St win this if they were home team? Predictions?

  16. #16
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    Memphis playing like they're sleep

  17. #17
    drfunkmaster
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    both teams played no defense..

  18. #18
    aortega521
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    LT I know I'm just being nosey and you stay with the same amount wagered per game but how much is it. I'm just curious as hell.

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by aortega521 View Post
    LT I know I'm just being nosey and you stay with the same amount wagered per game but how much is it. I'm just curious as hell.
    I bet you are.

    And technically, it is the same % of bankroll (2.5%) 99% of the time and not the same "amount". How much I bet is nobody's business but the 2.5% can be scaled to anyone's bankroll.
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  20. #20
    PorkChop
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    Why didn't you shop around for Auburn and get them under 3?

  21. #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Why didn't you shop around for Auburn and get them under 3?
    Not available for less than -125

  22. #22
    mikefan1034
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    Hey LT that Memphis pick was awful not like u man

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikefan1034 View Post
    Hey LT that Memphis pick was awful not like u man
    Meh, its just one game and still just three games under .500 early on. I'll be fine.

  24. #24
    daneblazer
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    I'm on the other end on 4-5 of these...good luck, mostly

  25. #25
    aortega521
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I bet you are.

    And technically, it is the same % of bankroll (2.5%) 99% of the time and not the same "amount". How much I bet is nobody's business but the 2.5% can be scaled to anyone's bankroll.
    I understand well right now I' got a BR of 2300. Worked it up from 500.... completing a RO and I've got all the patience in the world to do so. At 2.5% that's about 57 dollars. Is it really possible to increase my BR at that rate. So far I've been undisciplined and honestly have gotten lucky. I'm ready to turn that luck into $$ with patience.

  26. #26
    leetreaper
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    Betting 2.5% is clearly retarded unless you bet for fun.

  27. #27
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Betting 2.5% is clearly retarded unless you bet for fun.
    It is the exact opposite. Guys that bet for fun bet 50% or more on one game and just keep reloading when they bust out. Some real pros bet as little as 1-1.5% of their BR per play, especially the ones that bet high volume.
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  28. #28
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It is the exact opposite. Guys that bet for fun bet 50% or more on one game and just keep reloading when they bust out. Some real pros bet as little as 1-1.5% of their BR per play, especially the ones that bet high volume.
    I completely disagree but what do I know...Gl this week.

  29. #29
    daneblazer
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    Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.

  30. #30
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.
    When i was betting $10 a game i almost wanted my bet to lose so i could be happy i didnt bet more...

  31. #31
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    I completely disagree but what do I know...Gl this week.
    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Depends on if you are living off your bankroll or if it's all you have for a long period of time. If you have to use it to live off of be conservative. Otherwise be aggressive and take shots within reason. Nobody wants to bet $10 a day forever.
    I am talking about real pros with banks of $100K+. 1.5% of 100K is $1500, that is not peanuts per game.

  32. #32
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I am talking about real pros with banks of $100K+. 1.5% of 100K is $1500, that is not peanuts per game.
    So perhaps you are sitting on 100k+ in your bankroll solely for betting purposes

  33. #33
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    So perhaps you are sitting on 100k+ in your bankroll solely for betting purposes
    No, I AM peanuts next to those guys.

  34. #34
    Buffalo Nickle
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    Quote Originally Posted by aortega521 View Post
    I understand well right now I' got a BR of 2300. Worked it up from 500.... completing a RO and I've got all the patience in the world to do so. At 2.5% that's about 57 dollars. Is it really possible to increase my BR at that rate. So far I've been undisciplined and honestly have gotten lucky. I'm ready to turn that luck into $$ with patience.
    You have totally screwed up. To bet 2.5% of BR, you would bet $12.50 per game because you have $500. You need to be a 55% handicapper to bet 2.5% long term successfully which is not you. You are betting over 10% per game. But when you've got a 1Vice bonus, you've got to bet through so you've got to get on with it because nobody has that much patience.

    But you don't count bonus money as bankroll and you don't increase bankroll due to a hot streak. But there is always another another bonus with free plays for announcing 1Vice bonuses so fire away.

    If you are a good bettor, you will absolutely build bankroll with 2.5% bets because you will keep the entire 1Vice bonus and compound your money long term at huge rates of return. But if you bet 10% per bet, you are going bust even if you are Billy Walters.

    With a 1Vice bonus, you want to bet about $55 per game because your chances of beating the bonus betting a reasonable amount are pretty much zero. But with $55, you might bet lucky and you can win by not having to bet thousands of games and letting your lucky streak work for you. Once you are way ahead, you want to dial it back or you will probably lose it all.

    Don't win too much or no more bonus for you.

  35. #35
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buffalo Nickle View Post
    You have totally screwed up. To bet 2.5% of BR, you would bet $12.50 per game because you have $500. You need to be a 55% handicapper to bet 2.5% long term successfully which is not you. You are betting over 10% per game. But when you've got a 1Vice bonus, you've got to bet through so you've got to get on with it because nobody has that much patience.

    But you don't count bonus money as bankroll and you don't increase bankroll due to a hot streak. But there is always another another bonus with free plays for announcing 1Vice bonuses so fire away.

    If you are a good bettor, you will absolutely build bankroll with 2.5% bets because you will keep the entire 1Vice bonus and compound your money long term at huge rates of return. But if you bet 10% per bet, you are going bust even if you are Billy Walters.

    With a 1Vice bonus, you want to bet about $55 per game because your chances of beating the bonus betting a reasonable amount are pretty much zero. But with $55, you might bet lucky and you can win by not having to bet thousands of games and letting your lucky streak work for you. Once you are way ahead, you want to dial it back or you will probably lose it all.

    Don't win too much or no more bonus for you.

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