[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 3 Card:
Clemson -6 (-120) Risking .6 units to win .5 units LOSS - .6 units
Nebraska +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 u
Georgia Tech -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 u
Ole Miss +7.5 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units WIN +1 u
Ole Miss ML (+220) Risking .5 units to win 1.1 units WIN +1 u
Air Force Team Total Under 17 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.2 u
Arkansas ML (-450) + Iowa ML(-210) 2 Team ML Parlay (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units LOSS - 1.25 u
Florida -3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units WIN +1 u
USC -9.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L -1.1 u

Ncaaf Week 3 Results : 4-5 -.65 units


Pissed at myself for pulling the trigger early on ole miss ml, didnt realize their would be so many bama backers on ml as there was huge value on ole miss, ml got all the way to +320....fuuck....remind me never to bet pac 12 again, i fugging hate the pac 12

[Smutbucket]

Week 2 NFL
Texans +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Dolphins -.5 and Colts -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Packers -3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Atlanta ML (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Bills pk (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Week 2 NFL
Texans +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Dolphins -.5 and Colts -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unitsLOSS -1.1 units
Packers -3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 unit
Atlanta ML (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units WIN +1.15 units
Bills pk (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 units

Week 2 NFL: 2-3 -1.15 units

[Smutbucket]

Week 4 NCAAF:

2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Texas A&M -1.5 and Ohio State -25.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Dont Really need to talk about this one really. Arkansas defense is slow as penetrate, they were getting burned and falling flat on their faces against t. tech last week missing tackles everywhere, hopefully white is healthy so they should kick their asses. Fuk arkansas the team Ive been toasted on the last 2 weeks betting on and OSU should recoup and urban loves to cover so just feel better with an extra 6 pts as both these teams and games will be heavily bet by the public.

Tennessee +2 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Tennessee's defensive line has been very strong this season although the stats do no suggest it as they are one of the lower teams in sack% and only have 5 sacks on the year. This is anomaly when you consider the fact that they've been averaging over 5 batted down balls per game and 4 hurries per game shows they are constantly putting pressure. Baker Mayfield is partly responsible for this low sack % as hes a master of elusiveness and if you saw the tenn/okla game you would have noticed him constantly being pressured (although cfbstats only recorded 4 hurries which Im sure is wrong) and somehow evading sacks at the last second, most of the time only getting 1 or 2 positiive yards and therefore not categorized as a sack. Anyways despite me singing the praises of grier last week since I picked uf over kentucky he seemed to struggle with pressure passing and he got alot of it because of his weak inexperienced offensive line (although he did run well when he had to running for 61 yards) He still needs time to develop and despite all of tennessee injuries I will still take the experienced rocket arm of dobbs over grier and this uf team. Look for dobbs to have a big day on the ground as UF likes to bring pressure but it will open up running lanes for the speedy dobbs. Locking this one in now as Im unsure of which direction the line will move. Florida teams tend to be bet harder and more frequently but uf has been so bad for so long now it may have an opposite effect. Ill go ahead and lock in at comfortable 2 because Im unsure if it will make it to 3.

[Smutbucket]

Great situational spot for the thursday night banker special IMO

NFL Week 3:
Wash./NYG 1st Half Total Under 23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units

[oh_lol]

I wanted to take Ten when I saw your first post up the play, but wanted to see if the line would move in my favour as it was +1.5 when I checked. Checked today and they're not -1.5. Damn, will miss this play but look forward to your others

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 4 Additions:

Vanderbilt +24 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
As much as I love this ole miss team this is a home sandwich game inbetween two tough road contests coming after a huge win at alabama against a strong SEC defense. They were able to contain Georgias passing game well and only struggled to stop the beast that is chubb but still covered 17 points in their matchup with UGA.

Mississippi State +3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Im just not buying all this Auburn love on all off the forums. The only angle I see is a "must win" game and the contrarian angle. This is not a spot to take auburn in my opinion despite all of its contrarian appeal. The big ? is the new starting QB for auburn, Sean White, but I can not imagine he will be respectable as he got beat out but johnson in spring. Not to mention he is a pure pocket passer with absolutely no athletic ability to run which is not going to mesh well with gus malzhons offense.


Oregon State Team Total Over 14 (-115) Risking .58 units to win .5 units
Ive already talked about the shittyness of stanfords defense this year. Despite losing last week USC was averaging 5.5 ypc and 8.5 yards per pass attempt. I only watched the first half and every play was easily a first down. Stanford also struggled containing Clayton Thorson week 1, seth collins is even faster. Only doing a half unit because of how bad I got fuked in week 2 in oregon state team total over against mich. I still dont understand how in that game they were down 2 touchdowns in 3rd qtr and decided to play their backup qb freshman to get some playing time in. Anyone following please refrain from jinxing in forum as last oregon state team total we had 7 pts in 1st 2 min of game and someone posted "looking good early" and sure enough no points were scored the rest of the game. (lol jk I dont believe in jinxs but seriously dont freaking doing that)

Texas Tech +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
His name is Mahomes. And hes freakking incredible. TCU's defense is banged up badly and lost 6 starters (and several of their fill in starters). They will struggle to defend this texas tech offense that looked very fast and very efficient last week as they scorched arkansass defense last week.

[crackerjack]

Looking good early

[Smutbucket]

Looking good early

Thanks for your witty contribution that effectively nullified the jinx theory.

[Smutbucket]

Week 4 NCAAF Additions:

Kentucky -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Kentucky has an expierenced defense with 7 starting seniors and good coverage team that doesnt make a lot of mistakes in the secondary. They have a strong goal line/red zone D holding south carolina to 1 TD in 5 trips and uf to 2 tds on 4 trips but one of those tds was a 4th down on goaline after being stuffed twice, before scoring on a really athletic play by greir. Had a blocked FG and an INT in the endzone too to stop UF twice in RZ. Mauk and this offense should obviously struggle moving the ball regardless of the return of hansbrough. 6'5 240 pound Towles is big and mobile enough to pick up some yards with his legs and make some dbs miss/struggle to take him down in the open field. He's experienced and big enough to deal with pressure effectively, but at times his accuracy struggles. I still think he's one of the better underrated QBs of the SEC, UF just has a real good pass defense and brought him a lot of pressure thats why they shut him down. Missouris defense is presumably good this year but that has all been against weak competition. Bringing pressure has not been their strong suit. Missouri has been trending overvalued this season going 0-3 ATS and thats obviously a reaction to their last 2 years of being undervalued going 21-7 ATS. Kentucky also has a strong RB in stanley williams averaging 8.05 yards per carry. Ill take Kentucky at home against a very questionable missouri team.


Washington +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jared Goff this, Jared Goff that....Sure his stats were good last year but thats because hes in the freaking PAC 12. where defense is non existent. Top NFL Prospect? hilarious analysis, Maybe if NFL defenses were as shitty and lousy as grambling state, san diego state and texas. Even with playing the God awful competition the PAC 12 consists of his starting record is 9-18. Do these experts have the ability to recall on the past? Washington is the only team in PAC 12 with a respectable defense and they shutdown CAL last year to 7 points. They have not let a passing TD through the air yet and have racked up 4 INTs while holding offenses to 5.3 ypa. All be it against some weak competition too, but I give a huge coaching edge to peterson over dykes. Although I havent watched much of either of these two teams this season, the coaching edge is solid enough for me. Plus Jake Browning looks very legit in all his films having a very accurate long ball and some good foot work, just made some early true freshman mistakes early on in the season but will probably have a field day as he will be playing a highschool caliber defense in cal.

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 4:

2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Texas A&M -1.5 and Ohio State -25.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Tenneessee +2 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Vanderbilt +24 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Mississippi State +3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Oregon State Team Total Over 14 (-115) Risking .58 units to win .5 units
Texas Tech +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Washington +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Kentucky -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

I wanted to take Ten when I saw your first post up the play, but wanted to see if the line would move in my favour as it was +1.5 when I checked. Checked today and they're not -1.5. Damn, will miss this play but look forward to your others

good call those few points ended up being the difference

[crackerjack]

Nice picks...congrats

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 4:

2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Texas A&M -1.5 and Ohio State -25.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 unit
Tenneessee +2 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Vanderbilt +24 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Mississippi State +3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Oregon State Team Total Over 14 (-115) Risking .58 units to win .5 units WIN +.5 units
Texas Tech +7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Washington +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 units
Kentucky -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units

NCAAF Week 4: 7-1 +5.4 units

NCAAF 2015 Overall: 25-10 +15.4 units

[Smutbucket]

Will add some more NFL in the morning, locked in these few while the numbers are nice

NFL Week 3:
Wash./NYG 1st Half Total Under 23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Seahawks -9 and Bengals +8.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Colts Team Total Over 24.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 3:
Wash./NYG 1st Half Total Under 23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Seahawks -9 and Bengals +8.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Colts Team Total Over 24.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Cin/Baltimore Over 45 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Eagles +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Raiders +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Detroit +3.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[BiffTFinancial]

NCAAF Week 4: 7-1 +5.4 units

NCAAF 2015 Overall: 25-10 +15.4 units

Excellent work, my friend. Great season thus far and BOL for continued success!

[Smutbucket]

Excellent work, my friend. Great season thus far and BOL for continued success!

Thanks Biff, I owe you one too I hit a 9 team parlay by throwing in a couple of your totals with my picks as well.....have had a ridiculously good weekend.....up on cloud 9....

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 3:
Wash./NYG 1st Half Total Under 23 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Seahawks -9 and Bengals +8.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Colts Team Total Over 24.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Cin/Baltimore Over 45 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Eagles +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Raiders +4 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Detroit +3.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 units

Week 3 NFL Results: 6-1 +4.9 units

NFL 2015 YTD Results: 11-6 +4.67 units

[Smutbucket]

Total Weekend Results: 13-2 +10.3 units

on fiyahhh


just looked at next week ncaaf card....my god their are some beautiful lines....gonna probably lock some in tmrw as soon as they are released officially on my books site as I am streaking and the card has some zingers that are really standing out and Im sure theyre gonna move by weeks end

[Smutbucket]

WOW i freaking love this card....so many good games....working on a few games tonight....this ones an easy one locked and loaded.

NCAAF Week 5
Iowa +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Ive already talked about how much I love Beathard and this Iowa team. He's one of those rare college football phenoms with an insanely good "clutch" factor. Did anyone else watch that Iowa state game? time and time again there was a big down and distance or iowa pinned back on their own goalline and beathard made some seriously athletic plays either with his arm or his legs for the big play. This is a completely different team then years past with ruddock at the helm. Meanwhile on the other side of the ball, Joel Stave returns for his senior season. Unlike most QBs that show improvement over the course of their college career, last season was a significant drop off from his sophmore season, throwing more INTs than TD's, despite a weak schedule and power house rushing attack, This year his stats have shown improvement though against miami of ohio, troy, hawaii and bama (the one tough opponent they got blown out by despite bamas offensive woes). Stave's probably one of the least athletic QBs in the league standing in at 6'5 220 who shown an inability to get rid of the ball and take lots of sacks, his career rushing total is -177 yards on on 76 carries. LOL. We also have a regime change in whisky as Anderson left and Paul Chryst stepped in this year. Stave will be even more lost than last year without his potent rushing attack since gordon left and the majority of his strong offensive line. Look for a close a game as whisky struggles against their first true in conference game (bama also held them to 40 rush yards on 21 carries) Ill also be taking Iowa on the ml once its released but locking in these points now for 1.5 units as I can only see it dropping from here till gametime (and probably a significant drop to atleast 4 would be my guess)

[oh_lol]

Will be following again this week my man. Wish my books released markets early.

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 5 Addition:
Alabama +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Georgia is another one of these teams that have been relatively untested and bulldozing its weak opponents. Greyson Lambert is another shitty QB hiding behind a strong offense and a weak schedule. In case you werent aware of his career playing at virginia in the powerhouse ACC conf, he has 11 TDs/ 12 INTs, 1972 yards completing 187 of 336 (55%) This will be one hell of a game to watch and will probably come down to the wire. But not only does bama have the superior team, it has a huge coaching advantage. Mike Richt is 3-13 against top 10 competition since 2008. Ill take +2 all day and I dont think the line will get any better than 2 so we'll lock in now.

[Smutbucket]

Will be following again this week my man. Wish my books released markets early.

thanks bud. cant freaking wait so much football all day saturday, finally a couple good games at noon too....

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 5 Additions:


Miami -6.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Cinncinnati has arguably the worst defensive line in college football. Not only are they incapable of putting pressure on opponents with a sack rate of 2.17% (ranked 118) but they are also allowing 5.2 YPC ranked 97th and ranked dead last at 128th in in adjusted line yards for defensive lines according to FO. Miami on the other had has one of stronger offensive lines in the league according to FO. They are ranked 15th in adjusted line yards and have a strong opportunity rate of 45% (ranked 21st). Their offensive lines weakness is their short yardage situations as they are ranked amongst the bottom of o lines but this shouldn't be an issue against this cinn d-line that has a 15% stuff rate (ranked 100th). The one thing you cant do to this miami team is give them time to get to ball to their playmakers. Look for miami to pull away big and not take their foot off the gas as they did against nebraska that almost cost them the game. Miami also is coming off a bye week.


Pittsburgh +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
I love pittsburghs new head coach Pat Narduzzi, I talked about him a bit in past threads and what he was able to do with michigan states defense over the years. They had a hard fought lost against a strong and underrated iowa team, and have been holding opponents to just 2.9 yards per rush attempt (ranked 12th). They are also ranked 12th in yards per pass attempt only allowing 5.2 ypa. Vtechs defense hasnt been up to usual beamers standards as they have allowed 6.3 yards per rush and 7.6 yards per pass (granted they played osu first week but since then theyve played nobody, furman, purdue, and ecu.) Pitt also had an extra week to prepare coming off a bye and vtech is real banged up losing their top CB Kendal fuller for the season as well as their starting QB brewer in the opening week (he famously boasted to the cameras "your going to have to hit me a lot harder than that to take me out of the game" 20 minutes before he was hit so hard he is now sitting out 4-8 weeks). Anyways, Love pitt and the points.

[2daBank]

really like iowa myself. already grabbed some +7 and will probably sprinkle the ml. gl this weekend bro

[Smutbucket]

Ugh. Tack on another homer loss for me. Frustrating as miami was moving ball up and down field but couldnt put up points. Meanwhile cinn was getting stuffed and 3 n outs especially in 2nd half but just a few big plays including a big punt return early and cinn won easily although should have atleast been close. very tired of al golden.


Yep Bank. Love your on it too...ML for sure as well....

No time for writeups on remainders...already talked a lot about teams Im adding anyways

Probably going to add a few totals in the morning too...

NCAAF Week 5 Card
Iowa +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Iowa ML (+230) Risking .5 units to win 1.15 units
Alabama +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Miami -6.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Pittsburgh +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Clemson ML (-130) Risking 1.3 units win 1 units
Ole Miss/UF Under 50 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 5 Adding:
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. AirForce +12 and Duke -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Washington State +17.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[2daBank]

i like af outright, any points gravy imo. no clue with duke, yardage totals in their gms dont paint great picture. they should win but think it could be a struggle..

[Smutbucket]

Another 7-1 Saturday.

NCAAF Week 5 Card
Iowa +7.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units WIN +1.5 units
Iowa ML (+230) Risking .5 units to win 1.15 units WIN +1.15 units
Alabama +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Miami -6.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.25 units
Pittsburgh +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
Clemson ML (-130) Risking 1.3 units win 1 units WIN +1 units
Ole Miss/UF Under 50 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. AirForce +12 and Duke -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units LOSS -1.1 units
Washington State +17.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units WIN +1 units

Week 5 Ncaaf: 7-2 +5.3 units


working on tmrws nfl card

[iloseagain]

killing it man wow..!

[Smutbucket]

Just locking in my early monring nfl pick...will report back in the am with the others

NFL Week 4:
Dolphins +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[oh_lol]

I followed all but the last two

Good news is that I already have Miami on the ML so good to see you on it too!

[Smutbucket]

ugh. Dolphins.....

Week 4 NFL Card:
Dolphins +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Hou/Atl. Under 47 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Raiders Team Total Over 23.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Eagles ML (-150) Risking 1.5 units to win 1 units
Jaguars Team Total Over 20 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Cleveland +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[iloseagain]

guess that streak had to come to an end