Beat the Prick Record: 10-9-1 (+1.80)
Lucky week for me last week; my 2x bet needed some last-minute defensive heroics for the cover.
Alright, let's get down to business. My Week 5 Beat the Prick plays are.....
Pick 1: UCF/Houston Over 52.5
Both of these teams move the ball well. Houston's young QB shook off his miserable 1st game and is starting to gel with his receivers. UCF has had a pretty rough schedule to start out (PSU in Ireland, Missouri); only decent offense Houston's faced all year was BYU, and they put 523 yards of offense on them. Both teams should score in the 30's easily.
Pick 2: Oklahoma -5 @ TCU
I really think Oklahoma has the best team in college. They are solid in all aspects. I realize the atmosphere in Fort Worth will be insane, but this TCU team hasn't been tested yet. You're not gonna beat this Oklahoma D with just Boykin.
Pick 3: Bowling Green -6 vs Buffalo (2x bet)
My 2nd favorite play of the year so far. My favorite was Wisconsin manhandling BGU earlier this season. But this time I'm backing the Falcons. By the power rating I follow the closest, this line is off by almost 14 points. Even Sagarin has this line at BGU -11, and they're usually pretty close to Vegas lines. The only reason this line's so close is the fact BGU got mauled by much better teams so far; meanwhile Buffalo's schedule besides Baylor has been cupcake city.
Pick 4: Miami PK @ GT
Because Miami beats them every year. And GT just survived against a bad VT team. I was wrong about Miami last week; they rallied the troops and shut down Duke big time. Should keep the trend going against one-dimensional Paul Johnson.
Pick 5: Steelers -6 @ Jaguars (NFL)
Because hopefully those idiots come out on fire this week and do what they did to Carolina earlier this season. And it's Jacksonville.