1. #1
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    H8ERS 2014-2015 Plays

    What's up guys. Wanted a spot to share my plays and analysis, been an active reader of the college football forum just havent ever posted on here. For the most part, seems like a lot of trolling and stupid emoticons going on here and not a lot of real football talk. Not really my style but hope that changes once the season gets started. Will be getting my lines from betdsi. Use Phil Steele and Athlon for preview mags to get ready for the season. Also listen to in my opinion a very valuable podcast on Sheainirving.com. The guy has picked over 60% the past two years in college football and has an uncensored podcast that is fuckin hilarious. It's a must listen to if you love gambling. I will probably post 5-10 plays a week. With that note, below are my week 1 Plays:

    Ole Miss -10 - 2 Units
    This line is still penetrating with my head. Not sure if im getting trapped on this game but I think Ole Miss is a far superior team. Ole miss has QB Bo Wallace returning and a lot of other remaining weapons, including Laquon treadwell who should have a massive year. They bring back both RB's (I'tavius Matthews & Jaylen Walton) so this should definitely help the running game. I'm a little worried about the offensive line but remember they are going against boise in this game (not another SEC team) and should still be able to pound the rock. Wallace is very mobile in the pocket and as long as he is smart and doesn't try to do too much, the rebels should score enough points to cover. As for Boise, they return their top QB, RB, and WR in Grant Hedrick, Jay Ajayi, and Matt Miller. Their offensive line is a major question mark and I can see Robert Nkemdiche(Possibly the best D-lineman in college football) being able to penetrate the line and get to Hedrick. Another huge factor is that long time coach Chris Petereson, who greatly overachieved, has left for washington and I see this being a big loss for the Boise program. When it really comes down to it though, Ole Miss is far more talented than boise and are bigger, stronger, and faster. Even though this game is at a neutral site it is basically a home game for Ole Miss as they are playing in the Georgia Dome. Ole Miss fans will be there in bunches and Boise fans don't travel worth shit.

    Ohio St -17
    2 Days after I got this line the Braxton news came out so penetrate me. Sucks ass but still think Ohio St. has a decent chance at covering. Been hearing good things about J.T. Barrett and ohio st always does a great job of recruiting and expect the weapons to be there. Braxton will be greatly missed with his speed and big play ability but when it came down to playing the good defenses his accuracy is below average and he is not the best decision maker. Navy defense is garbage and as long as an inexperienced ohio st o-line can do a decent job then they should be able to put up some serious points. On the other side of the ball, Navy offense is very solid, and you have to respect them. QB Keenan Reynolds was great last year and does a great job of running the triple option and is a very capable passer. However, the buckeyes have had all offseason to prepare for this triple option and should be evident early in the game whether they can stop it or not. In the past, I have done very well against betting on teams that run the triple option, like Georgia Tech, when their opponent has more than a few weeks to prepare for them. Georgia tech typically gets shit on when they face a good defense and in this situation ohio st has one of the best d-lines in the country and is very quick on the ends. Ohio St secondary was absolutely terrible last year and this still scares the shit out of me but navy lost their top 2 WRs and expect Urban to have the secondary in better shape because he is a fuckin nazi.

    Alabama -25.5
    This game is also being played in the Georgia dome. Bama has been one of my favorite teams to bet on in the past so I may be a little biased on this game. Whoever Bama starts at QB, either Coker the transfer from Florida State, or Sims who has been a back-up for a couple years and is very athletic, should be more than willing to beat the hell out of West Virignia. Dana Holgerson is a toad and should lose his starting coaching job after this season. Bama has a crazy rushing attack with Yeldon, Drake, and Henery. I guess Drake is suspended but dont care Henery is a penetrating beast and had a huge game in Bama's bowl loss to Oklahoma last year. Bama should be able to pound the rock and set up the play action deep ball to Amari Cooper, who is one of the best WR's in the country. As for West Va, their defense is garbage and while they do have a few weapons on offense, their quarterback is Clint Trickett who is a total puss. Former backup to EJ manual and weighs about 100 pounds. Bama gets a couple good hits on him and he is ******. His accuracy is average and hopefully will make bad decisions early and often. Bama will obviously have the majority of fans at this game as well and have a lot of experience playing in the georgia dome for SEC title games.

    LSU -4
    There are still a lot of unknowns in this game especially with the starting QB's. LSU will either be starting Anthony Jennings or Brandon Harris. Hoping that this is Harris who is a frosh but is extremely athletic and has big play ability. Wisconsin will either be starting Joel Stave or Tanner McEvoy. Hoping that they start Stave, who has a year of experience, because he is a bum and is not very accurate and not mobile. McEvoy played safety last year and apparently has a lot of upside with a big arm which scares me a little. LSU lost a lot to the NFL draft but they are team that reloads instead of rebuilding. LSU is going to run the shit out of the ball, as Wiscy's defense is terrible and will be able to put up points and give whichever QB's some easy throws. Wiscy's oline is very good and they will run the ball very effectively but LSU will eventually put enough guys in the box to stop them. Wiscy lost their best WR option Abberderis to the NFL and LSU corners are bigger than wiscy WRs so can't see sconnys passing game being effective at all. This game is also neutral site but will be more of home game to LSU as its in houston, which is also a spot that many new orleans residents moved after Hurrican Katrina. Will be a lot of motivation for Les Miles as this will also be a recruiting trip for him. Thinking lsu by a touchdown or more.

    Remainder of the write-ups to come soon.

  2. #2
    nickeydyme
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    Joe Southwick was Boise State top qb ly

  3. #3
    wufpakman21
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    You are dead on the money with that Navy report. When teams have more than a week to prepare they usually fair pretty well against the triple option.

    I love the Ole Miss pick. I think they could be a top 15 team all season long.

    Bama will roll.

    I actually like all of your picks.
    Best of luck on the season.

  4. #4
    tennesseety
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    I thought the same thing re. the Ole Miss game. Classic Vegas trap game with my name written all over it. Haha!

    Enjoyed the write-up. Keep 'em coming.

  5. #5
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
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    Ohio State is now down to -11 1/2. Basically they lost a TD. The only thing that worries me about covering that line is this. There is no way that Meyer is going to risk losing a 2nd QB. The running game takes a major hit here because Barrett is no Miller and will not run unless he has to. Ohio State will try to develop a running game with Fr. Curtis Samuel and Soph. Ezekiel Elliott. It looks like Meyer has a lot of work to do to develop his running attack so defenses do not load up against the pass. This wil take time. Ohio State could well use the game against Navy as a scrimmage to do all of this. This could be a "let's just et this game under our belt and move on" type of situation. They will play a much tougher defense in Va. Tech the following week.

    Ole Miss is a bit of a mystery, but should cover this spread if they want to be considered as a legitimate contender in the SEC West. Boise lost their HC and simply does not have a lot of talent coming back from an 8-5 season. The MWC is way down from two years ago.

    Wisconsin now has more to play for than they did at this time last week. With Ohio State losing their #1 player, Wisky now beomes a much bigger player in the Big 10 race. Wisky's chances of getting into the playoff diminish if they win the Big 10 Championship but lose to LSU, but jump if they defeat LSU. Both offenses are basically worthless, so it will be up to the defenses to see who can stop who.

    'Bama can win by as much as they want to. They are 4-0 ATS in these neutral site openers, and 6-0 ATS in their last six openers. The only question is when will Saban cal off the dogs and play the 3rd stringers. West Virginia is really poor. 3-9 would not be a surprise for this team.

  6. #6
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Thanks Nickey .. Forgot about this because southwick missed the bowl game .. Everyone else I appreciate the responses .. More plays to come soon

  7. #7
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    BGSU +7.5 1 Unit
    Honestly, cant say I know a whole lot about this game. Just basing this bet off the Sheainirving podcast that I listen too. From my own personal standpoint, it looks like BGSU returns a great quarterback in Matt Johnson who had a 64% completion percentage last year and is pretty mobile in the pocket. This game is at WKU but Bowling Green played well on the road last year and expect them to be prepared. As for WKU, don't know a whole lot about them but know that they lost head coach bobby petrino who is an offensive mastermind. I see this being a big loss for them.

    Mississippi St -30.5 .8 Unit
    First off, I think this game is going to be an absolute blowout. The Mississippi schools are turning the corner this year and starting to compete with the top powers in the SEC. Dak Prescott is an absolute beast at quarterback and do not see Southern Miss being able to stop this offense whatsoever. He ran for 13 TDs and threw for 10 TDs last year. I expect quite a few of them in this game. Jameon Lewis returns at WR and I expect another big year out of him. The offensive line is a little shaky but dont see them having any trouble blocking Southern Miss D line who was terrible last year. The Miss St defense returns 8 startrs and the majority of their D line. They should be able to create a lot of pressure on Southern Miss QB Nick Mullens. Mullens only threw for 49% last year and is not mobile in the pocket. This should be a perfect ass-whooping game for Miss St to start off the season and really hope they come out firing on all cylinders.

    South Carolina - 10 .6 Unit
    Yea there is a lot of noise behind Mike Davis being questionable for the first game but don't buy that shit at all. Spurrier is known for his antics and messing with the other team. Also Mike Davis tweeted "Y'all really think I'm going to miss the first game? (crying laughing faces) ok". The spread hasn't moved at all since this news so don't be worried at all. This game has quite a few unknowns with Texas A&M declaring Kenny Hill as their starter. Not quite sure how Hill will do but do not see him putting up Johnny Footy type numbers. I know Sumlin has been doing a good job recruiting and has reloaded with some great talents, including Speedy Noil (fast as hell check out some of his highlight videos). This offense will have a steep decline from what it was last year though. I know there a lot of Manziel haters out there bbut losing him and Mike Evans is going to be a massive loss for their offense. The offense will probably be pretty solid as they get some experience but expect a learning curve for these guys. For South Carolina, QB Dylan Thompson has already had quite a bit of experience after filling in for injured Connor Shaw at random times throughout the season. Been hearing nothing but great things about him. This O-line may be one of the best that South Carolina has had and they are going to be able to create holes and give Thomposn enough time to make throws. Texas A&M defense was aboslute dogshit last year and while I'm sure they will improve some, they have a long ways to go. Shaq Roland is a beast and should have a great year at WR this year. As for the South Carolina defense, they lose a lot, especially from the D-line. Their linebacking core will be more experienced and hope that they can cause enough havoc on Kenny Hill and force him into some young mistakes. South Carolina will be playing behind a great home crowd and I would not want to be a new quarterback coming into South Carolina with Sandstorm blaring - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pJHL-hZOqnQ . This shit gets me hyped up haha. Also this is first game and there was no way that I wasn't going to bet on first game.

  8. #8
    Urbanwildlife
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    Very nice contribution. Good luck to ya and hope to see you at the pay window!

  9. #9
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Rice +20.5 1 Unit
    Really like this game. May be upping this to 2 Units before it starts. It looks like Notre Dame is vastly overrated yet again (big shocker). Athlon posted a great saying ND hasnt average 30 points per game in any of Brian Kelly's four season at head coach and now they are expected to be covering 20.5 points after losing 3 key platyers including their best receiver DaVaris Daniels and best corner KeiVarae Russel. Get the hell out of here this team barely has any seniors so leadership may also be an issue. This Rice team is nobody to look past, they won 10 games last year and the conference USA tiltle. Driphus Jackson will be the QB for rice this year and is mobile and should be able to create some plays. He has some previous experience so wont be coming into this game completely blind. The Rice defense should be pretty solid as they return a lot. To be honest, Everett Golson still scares the hell out of me in this game. Apparently last year while suspended Golson was working out in Cali with QB specialist George Whitfield and improved his throwing a lot. Some say he put on 20 pounds of muscle which is effin scary, not sure if I believe that but if ND covers this game it will be because of him. Hoping hes a little shaky in his first game back. Notre Dame seems to play everyone close and plays down to the level of their competition. This should continue for week 1, go Owls.

    Northwestern -10. 1 unit
    Not sure why I'm making this play. Definitely think im getting trapped on this but don't have enough discipline not to bed it. At least im honest right? This game has really got my head spinning as I figured it would open up around 20 or so. Opened around 14 and now down to 10 after Venric Mark decides to transfer and Christian Jones has season ending knee injury. Northwestern still has a very able back up in Treyvon Green and some solid WR's in Tony Jones and Mike Shuler(slot transfer from Rutgers. Both teams return quite a few starters with the slight edge to Northwestern. Northwestern beat Cal at their place 44-30 last year but the score was much closer than it looked - tied in the 4th quarter. Trevor Simien is the QB for Northwestern after running that 2 QB system with Cain Colter for two years. Siemien has a pretty solid arm but is not near as mobile as Colter was. Expect the offense to click a little better behind 1 QB (that 2 QB shit is effin stupid in my mind and completely messes with the flow of the surrounding players). As for Cal, they should be improved from last year. They have a good QB in Jared Goff and two great receivers in Chris Harper and Bryce Teggs. However, Northwestern secondary should be pretty solid this year and they return a lot on defense. Hoping that Northwestern can limit Goff and put up some serious points on Cal's mediocre defense. NW had a shat load of distractions in the offseason with the NCAA bullshit, but should be motivated after getting completely dumped on by the entire big 10. They lost a lot of close games including this one which I bet on that still haunts me to this day: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MFfnyDPOx8 .. fast forward to 1:30 to see the heartbreak. A lot of people talk about the travel for Cal being an issue but I'm not even going to try and speculate and think this means anything. Really dont think any team will have a hard time getting amped up for the first game of the season. After all my points, still thing im getting trapped on this game so dont trust me on it.

  10. #10
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Louisville -3.5 - 1 unit
    Making this short and sweet cuz I'm tired of typing. Making this bet entirely based off Bobby Petrino. Dude is a mastermind on offese. Will Gardner is a legit QB. Duke Johnson is a beast for Miami but they lost Jacoby Harris and and now have lost backup Kevin Olson for 1 game due to suspension, who failed a drug test, shocker, these college kids are fuggin idiots. Good lord blows my mind how many of these kids get in trouble for the dumbest shit. Rapeis winston stilling crab legs and that dumbass receiver from Michigan blind siding a guy at the bar and getting caught on camera. Yea nice self defense. Sorry, mini rant. Looks like th most probably quarterback for Miami now is Jake Heaps, already sounds like he sucks.

  11. #11
    nickeydyme
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    Nice writeups. ..bgsu is -7.5 though but I'm sure that's just typo...that is one of my favorite games. Gamecocks is another great play.

  12. #12
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Yea that was meant to be -7.5

  13. #13
    nickeydyme
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    Louisville #1 wr might not play

  14. #14
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Yea I saw that this morning .. Would be a huge loss if they don't have DaVante Parker vs Miami. He is one of top wideouts in country. Spread has only dropped half a point though but these injuries after my bet being locked in pisses me off. When it rains it pours.

  15. #15
    H8ERS GONNA H8
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    Ole miss came through big tonight .. Will update my record and units at the end of the week ..I'm adding the following plays for this week

    Penn st/UCF under 46 1 unit

    Rice +21 .. Adding 1 unit to this from my previous bet

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