1. #1
    frogsrangers
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    My own Week 1 College Football lines

    I used my own software and research to come up with these lines. Feel free to compare them to the posted lines in Vegas/Offshore to find value.

    Texas A&M +6 at South Carolina
    Wake Forest +1 at Louisiana-Monroe
    Tulane +7 at Tulsa
    Boise State +3.5 vs. Ole Miss
    Temple +17 at Vanderbilt
    Rutgers +9 at Washington State

    BYU -20 at Connecticut
    Texas-San Antonio +25 at Houston
    Colorado State -13 vs. Colorado
    UNLV +27 at Arizona

    UCF -4 vs. Ped State
    UCLA -19 at Virginia
    Ohio State -15 vs. Navy
    Western Michigan +5 at Purdue
    Troy -7 at UAB
    Boston College -16 at UMass
    West Virginia +31 vs. Alabama
    Florida Atlantic +18 at Nebraska
    California +21 at Northwestern
    Marshall -24.5 at Miami (OH)
    Rice +17.5 at Notre Dame
    Arkansas +23 at Auburn
    Clemson +7 at Georgia
    Ohio +2 at Kent State
    Louisiana Tech +35 at Oklahoma
    Idaho +33 at Florida
    Southern Miss +37 at Mississippi State
    Fresno State +17 at USC
    Florida State -26 vs. Oklahoma State
    North Texas +20 at Texas
    Texas-El Paso +7 at New Mexico
    LSU -2 vs. Wisconsin
    Washington -20.5 at Hawaii

    Utah State +2 at Tennessee
    SMU +39 at Baylor

    Miami (FL) +7 at Louisville

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    Good information here and well thought out

    I'm nowhere near that point to look at college football though

  3. #3
    leetreaper
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  4. #4
    jjgold
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    get your publications and read

    important 1st 4 weeks

  5. #5
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    I used my own software and research to come up with these lines. Feel free to compare them to the posted lines in Vegas/Offshore to find value.

    Texas A&M +6 at South Carolina...-10 1/2
    Wake Forest +1 at Louisiana-Monroe...+3
    Tulane +7 at Tulsa...-3 1/2
    Boise State +3.5 vs. Ole Miss...-10
    Temple +17 at Vanderbilt...-16
    Rutgers +9 at Washington State...-8 1/2

    BYU -20 at Connecticut...[/I]+16[/I]
    Texas-San Antonio +25 at Houston...-12 1/2
    Colorado State -13 vs. Colorado...-3
    UNLV +27 at Arizona...-23 1/2

    UCF -4 vs. Ped State...-1
    UCLA -19 at Virginia...+24
    Ohio State -15 vs. Navy...+17 1/2
    Western Michigan +5 at Purdue...-13
    Troy -7 at UAB...-1
    Boston College -16 at UMass...+14
    West Virginia +31 vs. Alabama...-27 1/2
    Florida Atlantic +18 at Nebraska...-24
    California +21 at Northwestern...-12 1/2
    Marshall -24.5 at Miami (OH)...+24
    Rice +17.5 at Notre Dame...-24
    Arkansas +23 at Auburn...-23
    Clemson +7 at Georgia...-9
    Ohio +2 at Kent State...-2 1/2
    Louisiana Tech +35 at Oklahoma...-37
    Idaho +33 at Florida...[/I]-35[/I]
    Southern Miss +37 at Mississippi State...-29
    Fresno State +17 at USC...-21
    Florida State -26 vs. Oklahoma State...+18
    North Texas +20 at Texas...-26
    Texas-El Paso +7 at New Mexico...-7 1/2
    LSU -2 vs. Wisconsin...+5 1/2
    Washington -20.5 at Hawaii...+21

    Utah State +2 at Tennessee...-6
    SMU +39 at Baylor...-31 1/2

    Miami (FL) +7 at Louisville...-3
    Current Vegas odds from CG Tech in italics. I see 8 games where the difference between your line and the current Vegas line is more than 6 points. Are you going to wager those 8 games? You like Colorado State at -3, when the actual line is +3. That looks like a ML wager plus a line wager.
    Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 07-29-14 at 12:18 PM.

  6. #6
    SamDiamond
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    I'll tell you what retard.

    You give me South Carolina -6... for every dime you and Lonathan can come up with. Deal?

  7. #7
    BigdaddyQH
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    A&M has no offense to speak of, and has already lost three defensive starters. That really hurts this team. 6 points is a gift. But what do you expect from a Texan? I would take South Carolina -6 any day for any amount.
    Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 07-29-14 at 01:00 PM.

  8. #8
    James Marques
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    Utah State, for the record, opened at -2 against Tennessee. Now, +7 or +7.5 in some books. SEC! SEC! SEC!

  9. #9
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by James Marques View Post
    Utah State, for the record, opened at -2 against Tennessee. Now, +7 or +7.5 in some books. SEC! SEC! SEC!
    Which book did Utah State open at -2 1/2? The line opened at Tennessee -6 to -7, depending on what book you are looking for. It is the same, with most of the action between 6 and 6 1/2.

  10. #10
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamDiamond View Post


    I'll tell you what retard.

    You give me South Carolina -6... for every dime you and Lonathan can come up with. Deal?

  11. #11
    James Marques
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Which book did Utah State open at -2 1/2? The line opened at Tennessee -6 to -7, depending on what book you are looking for. It is the same, with most of the action between 6 and 6 1/2.
    Looked at the wrong column. That was Howell's prediction.

    http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfpred.txt

  12. #12
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by James Marques View Post
    Looked at the wrong column. That was Howell's prediction.

    http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfpred.txt
    How much do you think that guy Howell had to drink before making those predictions?

  13. #13
    frogsrangers
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    A&M has no offense to speak of, and has already lost three defensive starters. That really hurts this team. 6 points is a gift. But what do you expect from a Texan? I would take South Carolina -6 any day for any amount.
    I hate Texas A&M but my model predicts a close game here for some reason. I didn't like the -6 line it put out either and thought about shading it. My model put out Boise State +2 but I shaded it to +3.5 for example

  14. #14
    frogsrangers
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Current Vegas odds from CG Tech in italics. I see 8 games where the difference between your line and the current Vegas line is more than 6 points. Are you going to wager those 8 games? You like Colorado State at -3, when the actual line is +3. That looks like a ML wager plus a line wager.
    I love Colorado State no idea why they are dogs

    Also love Florida State at -18 they will win by 21+

    Those are the only 2 I have committed to so far

    Thinking about Boise State

  15. #15
    teaserpleaser
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    Lsu should crush wisky -2?

  16. #16
    badgerguy
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    Lsu should crush wisky -2?
    Ummmm no. Not crush

  17. #17
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    I love Colorado State no idea why they are dogs

    Also love Florida State at -18 they will win by 21+

    Those are the only 2 I have committed to so far

    Thinking about Boise State
    The reason why Colorado Stae is a dog is because last season a 7 win Colorado State was absolutely crushed by a 4 win Colorado team. You are talking the MWC against the Pac 12 here. Obviously the Pac 12 has much better teams (as Fresno State found out playing against USC last season in the Vegas Bowl), so the Pac 12 is going to be favored in most of those types of match-ups.

  18. #18
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by badgerguy View Post
    Ummmm no. Not crush
    What's crushing to you they'll beat wisky by double digits on a neutral field(that's not so neutral)...easy

  19. #19
    frogsrangers
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    Lsu should crush wisky -2?
    A lot of people thought this last year with LSU-TCU, line was LSU -4 and people were all over LSU

    LSU ended up covering but TCU had multiple chances to cover in the end

  20. #20
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    A lot of people thought this last year with LSU-TCU, line was LSU -4 and people were all over LSU

    LSU ended up covering but TCU had multiple chances to cover in the end
    won $$$ on LSu ML was never really in doubt ....lsu never tailed in that game if I remember right #20 tcu in Texas is a little different animal than wisky in Texas....basically will be a home crowd for lsu or should be as close to home as this is.

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