Louisville -3.5 O/U 50....Whats the smart play here??
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12-04-13 02:07 PM #1
Louisville @ Cincinatti-Who ya go??
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12-04-13 02:14 PM #2
Tough call, but I would lean Cincinnati here. Cincinnati is praying that they can do the same thing that Louisville has done. That is to get out of the AAC. A win gives them a 10 win season, their third in a row. Now we know that no one is looking to epand right now, or are they? The Big 12-2 finally is starting to understand what it means not to have a CC game. If they make the smart decision and decide to expand, Cincy has to be a team to look at.
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12-04-13 04:11 PM #3
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12-04-13 06:19 PM #4
At 4.5, cincy for sure.
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12-04-13 06:20 PM #5
No love for a team that has played pretty damn good.
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12-04-13 11:57 PM #6
Louisville has a good team, but damn, it sure doesn't pay to back those Cards with $'s.. Then again, the Ville has never been under a TWO TD fav this year. Now 3 1/2 ? Bearcats looked strong against Cougars, but just escaped SMU.
Cards play rock solid D and Bridgewater gives them the edge, in my eyes. I really like that Card D line and ends. Should be a great game.
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12-05-13 12:05 AM #7
L8 games Cards +8 TO margin; Bearcats -1 with 8 total turnovers L3 games. With way Cards play D, Bearcats prone to turn the ball over, I like Cards laying the small number here.
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12-05-13 07:05 AM #8
Going with Cincy tonight. Ever since they squirmed away a win against Miami (OH) I've bet or picked against them and have been burned over and over again. Louisville never seems to cover. You know ole' Tubs has to have Cincy jacked up for this game at home. Weather could be REALLY ugly though, so that will be something to look at. As of now I'm taking the Bearcats +3.5
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12-05-13 09:08 AM #9
Tease cinn +10 to NIL +3.5. Good luck boys
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12-05-13 10:50 AM #10 Cincy QB out
Are you guys aware that the Cincinnati CIU-QB-Munchie Legaux-OUT ??
How good is there backup QB? Does anyone know anything about him?
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12-05-13 11:00 AM #11
Are you aware that Munchie got injured 13 weeks ago? UC Has won 7 of their last 8 and 6 straight. Brenden Kay has thrown for 2817 yards and 22 TDs with a 70% completion rate - we know plenty about him...
Originally Posted by GIVEMETHEMONEY
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12-05-13 11:40 AM #12
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12-05-13 11:44 AM #13
To be fully transparent he also has thrown 9 ints with 6 of those coming in L4 games. Should be a good game and either team can win this one. However I will go with team with better QB, better D and + in turnover margin. Cards win. Originally Posted by byrdpickem
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12-05-13 12:00 PM #14
Weather is a factor tonight. Rain/wet field. Who does that favor?
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12-05-13 12:49 PM #15
No one they are both passing teams. Originally Posted by Husker36
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12-05-13 01:20 PM #16
My point is that it's not like we got the news that Munchie was out the day of the Louisville game. We know plenty about their backup. No surprises tonight. Originally Posted by SilverTongueFox
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12-05-13 01:44 PM #17
Obviously I don't know about him but thanks for the info. Originally Posted by byrdpickem
How are you leaning on this game?
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12-05-13 01:44 PM #18
With the weather factor I say look at taking the Under points.
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12-05-13 03:42 PM #19
Market has moved from +3.5 to +2.5 at BM/Greek/Heritage. That's a significant correction, especially considering the relatively even ticket count. pinnacle still hanging +3 (-115) for the moment. Hard not to take Cincy on principle alone if Pinnacle makes the move as well.
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12-05-13 04:14 PM #20
I was leaning Cards, but...........
Going slightly against my gut and riding the Bearcats @ home +3. Ran through the stats one more time and it just seems that the Card O is in decline, ever since that UCF loss. Cards struggle on road. I believe the O line for Cincy swayed my decision. 11 sacks in 392 pass attempts. Kay@ 70.3%. Cincy has a very strong home dog record. Tuberville @ home vs ranked teams 11-9-1 ats s/01 , but 10 outright upsets incl 9 over top 10 teams. Bearcats the hotter team and I'll grab the points with the home doggie.
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12-05-13 05:27 PM #21
Current Cincinnati weather conditions: 37 degrees, light rain, wind 7 mph.
*Rain is expected to end around 7:45 with wind picking up to around 12 mph.
Smooth, to answer your question. The smart play at least for me is not to play.
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12-05-13 06:17 PM #22
Big -big game for Cincinnati - sell out crowd - the game they point to all year. Cincinnati is the play.
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12-05-13 06:35 PM #23
Cincy has automatic BCS on the line if they can defeat Louisville.
Meanwhile, Louisville's (10-1, 6-1) lone blemish remains its setback against the Knights, but the Cardinals will likely be heading to a much lesser bowl game.
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