Fresno is -3.5 at home in Mountain West Championship Game. That seems like an overreaction to the loss at San Jose, I still expect Carr to be his usual self and Utah State lacks the firepower to keep pace. Yes the Aggies won their last five games without Chuckie Keeton, but they had a ridiculously easy schedule during that stretch in fact being double-digit favorites in all five games, and only one of those games was on the road, which was a narrow non-covering 28-24 escape at UNLV. Perhaps most disconcerting is Utah State is averaging just 314.0 total yards over the last three weeks on 3.3 yards per rush and 6.4 yards per pass attempt despite the easy schedule (especially relative to Fresno State). I know Bulldogs have been dreadful ATS, but they have not been this small of a favorite much either.