1. #1
    WorkHorse
    WorkHorse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 2,185
    Betpoints: 18

    Navy @ San Jose State

    If you like a contrast in teams...you got one tonight. One team relies on the run and the other on the pass. One quarterback has rushed for 884 yards and 19 touchdowns, the other has passed for 3,202 yards and 22 TDs.

    Navy will take it's #4th rated rushing attack against San Jose's #103rd ranked rush defense. San Jose State will counter with the 9th best passing attack against Navy's 33rd rated pass defense.

    Yep, nice contrast of teams. Who do you like men? Welcome your comments?

  2. #2
    Night-Tripper
    Fade Me!
    Night-Tripper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-14-09
    Posts: 3,205
    Betpoints: 3326

    ​Navy

  3. #3
    Pivotpoint
    Pivotpoint's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-06
    Posts: 1,762
    Betpoints: 3817

    I think this one comes down to the wire. I'd take Navy + 2 1/2 if I was betting. I just logged in to check what + 3 would cost and # just dropped to + 1 1/2. Might now consider Navy ML @ +110.

    SDST is a woeful team, but they did shut down the Navy attack last year. They only allowed 144 yards last year to NAVY, handing them THE FEWEST OFFENSIVE OUTPUT IN 10 YEARS!. You can bet they've watched that tape a few times, as has Navy.

    Navy hasn't fared well in long trips to West Coast. (0-4) last 3 , including bowls.

    SJST has to beat Navy if they want a chance at a bowl. They aren't beating Fresno.

    I'm going to pass on this game. I can't identify a strong edge. I need a break. My Saturday card is complete and I feel strong about my positions. Been waiting to watch a dvd that's been setting on my sub for over a week. Lean Navy. Good luck with your plays.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: WorkHorse, and cmoney11

  4. #4
    WorkHorse
    WorkHorse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 2,185
    Betpoints: 18

    You may be right Trip as the Midshipmen have owned teams from the MWC over the years going 16-5.

    Last season, San Jose State held Navy to 70 yards rushing and won 12-0. The year before that they won 27-24.

    One surprise to me because of style of play is time of possession where Navy averages 30:40 and SJ St at 30:24. I would have thought the Seaboys would have had a nice advantage.

  5. #5
    visualrealism
    visualrealism's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-11
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 684

    Take the home teams. Although David fales isnt as spectacular as last years,hes still a nfl prospect. Looks for Fales to make some big plays, as this is the only opportunity they get to be bowl eligible (not beating fresno)

  6. #6
    WorkHorse
    WorkHorse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 2,185
    Betpoints: 18

    Mr. V....think I would have some caution just betting on San Jose because they are the home team. Their last eight home games against teams with a winning record (Navy 6-4) they have only covered two. Just some info for what its worth.

    Navy losses: W. Kentucky 7-19....Duke 7-35.....Toledo 44-45 (2OT).....Notre Dame 34-38.

  7. #7
    nvrlose37
    nvrlose37's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-12
    Posts: 2,730

    SJSu has not looked good as of late, I'm not too sure what happened to their squad from a year ago other than the coach leaving.

    Take Navy at Heritage with the get out at halftime bet, hopefully they will be up 35-7 or something

  8. #8
    Night-Tripper
    Fade Me!
    Night-Tripper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-14-09
    Posts: 3,205
    Betpoints: 3326

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkHorse View Post
    Mr. V....think I would have some caution just betting on San Jose because they are the home team. Their last eight home games against teams with a winning record (Navy 6-4) they have only covered two. Just some info for what its worth.

    Navy losses: W. Kentucky 7-19....Duke 7-35.....Toledo 44-45 (2OT).....Notre Dame 34-38.
    Don't forget that Navy lost their starting QB early in the game against WKU.

  9. #9
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    All San Jose has to do is stop the run/option... the top Navy WR has 211 yards and 11 receptions.

  10. #10
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    All San Jose has to do is stop the run/option... the top Navy WR has 211 yards and 11 receptions.
    Easier said than done. I havent decided on the game yet, but I hope for your sake they win!

  11. #11
    visualrealism
    visualrealism's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-11
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 684

    SJSU couldnt stop Minneosta qb. I believed he ran 4 td in. However, they were able to stop wyoming qb.

  12. #12
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by visualrealism View Post
    SJSU couldnt stop Minneosta qb. I believed he ran 4 td in. However, they were able to stop wyoming qb.
    You cant conpare a scrambling QB vs an option QB

  13. #13
    WorkHorse
    WorkHorse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 2,185
    Betpoints: 18

    Just for informational purposes...San Jose in 103rd nationally against the run.

    Last week in their 38-16 loss to Nevada...they were outrushed 311 to 58 yards.

  14. #14
    fried cheese
    Update your status
    fried cheese's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-17-13
    Posts: 4,400
    Betpoints: 17012

    Quote Originally Posted by visualrealism View Post
    SJSU couldnt stop Minneosta qb. I believed he ran 4 td in. However, they were able to stop wyoming qb.
    stopping the wyoming qb in a zone read doesnt mean much if you are letting the running back get 13.8 yards a carry.

  15. #15
    tennesseety
    tennesseety's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-13
    Posts: 262
    Betpoints: 1817

    Pivot, forgive my ignorance, but do you post your picks somewhere? I tailed you on a couple this week and appreciate the input.

  16. #16
    Urbanwildlife
    Urbanwildlife's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-11
    Posts: 5,958

    It is Navy or nothing, as San Jose State cannot stop the running game, and if they cannot stop the running game, they cannot control the clock, and what that amounts to is a loss for San Jose State.

  17. #17
    GoBlue77
    GoBlue77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-11
    Posts: 9,166
    Betpoints: 19052

    betting $250 on heritage get out of bet free at haltime promo

    San Jose should be more motivated as they need this to be bowl eligible but something tells me Navy squeaks this out. Navy...

  18. #18
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    I don't think either team can stop the other

  19. #19
    Pivotpoint
    Pivotpoint's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-06
    Posts: 1,762
    Betpoints: 3817

    Quote Originally Posted by tennesseety View Post
    Pivot, forgive my ignorance, but do you post your picks somewhere? I tailed you on a couple this week and appreciate the input.
    Tennesseety, no but thanks for the kind words. I thought about starting a thread, but you can win 10 and then lose 2 and lynch mob at the door, here. Been around here a long , long time.

    If I really,really like a play, I will start a thread. When I do, I don't get a ton of hits or discussion happening. Takes a bunch of time. Easier to pop in and out of threads. I will say I'm on Houston - 2 1/2 and Mizzu - 2 1/2 pretty large. 2nd tier is Wisky and Baylor. Sorry Workhorse, not trying to hijack thread. Wanted to respond, gl boys with your plays.

  20. #20
    dzuke155
    dzuke155's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-12
    Posts: 260
    Betpoints: 1435

    Anyone have any lean on the over/under?

  21. #21
    Urbanwildlife
    Urbanwildlife's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-11
    Posts: 5,958

    Hijacker!

  22. #22
    Pivotpoint
    Pivotpoint's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-06
    Posts: 1,762
    Betpoints: 3817

    Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife View Post
    Hijacker!

    Ha, you know what I'm saying more than anyone. You were crushing them with those parlays. Have a bad week or two and you can almost hear the wolves at the door. Good luck this weekend, my friend. Keep the wolves at bay.





    Name:  thread-hijack.jpg
Views: 589
Size:  28.5 KB

  23. #23
    ramones951
    ramones951's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-08
    Posts: 2,356
    Betpoints: 891

    Over.... What's going to stop either team from scoring...

  24. #24
    Mike Huntertz
    Mike Huntertz's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-19-09
    Posts: 11,166
    Betpoints: 22592

    Over is my only play.

  25. #25
    WorkHorse
    WorkHorse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-10
    Posts: 2,185
    Betpoints: 18

    The wonderful thing about good/solid/knowledgable CFB people who actually care about winning games is information. I could care less about a play I make and someone getting their panties in a wad. Hell, I lose....I'm sure as hell not paying them and if I win....I ain't going to see a penny from those dirtbags.

    Veteran guys here know who to lean on for a play....most others are just throwing crap against the wall. Point is I guess if you are a serious player......water off a duck with amateur clowns criticism.

    Open forum here at SBR.............LEARN or PAY!


  26. #26
    THATSRIGHR7
    THATSRIGHR7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-13
    Posts: 107
    Betpoints: 363

    I think i will go with san jose st & under -2 & u61 navy will run run run & san jose st will deff try to get there running game in gear, i just like the home team in this situation. If they get there running game going san jose st will win a close 1. I like -2 more than the under. Its just a long trip & i hope there just tired & have had a long season, yes there looking for revenge but that could work against them.
    Not that anyone cares what i think, lol.

  27. #27
    Aces
    Aces's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-05
    Posts: 1,278
    Betpoints: 133

    Navy 1st qtr + 1/2 -140 is where I'm jumping on GL all

  28. #28
    Indy5
    Indy5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-13
    Posts: 259
    Betpoints: 495

    Right on!

  29. #29
    cmoney11
    cmoney11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-13
    Posts: 773
    Betpoints: 1269

    Let's go Middies!

  30. #30
    visualrealism
    visualrealism's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-11
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 684

    Spartans need to stop the run!!

  31. #31
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife View Post
    It is Navy or nothing, as San Jose State cannot stop the running game, and if they cannot stop the running game, they cannot control the clock, and what that amounts to is a loss for San Jose State.
    You sure about that?

  32. #32
    ZIPPER HEAD
    ZIPPER HEAD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-13
    Posts: 2,592
    Betpoints: 5106

    Now killer you no better than to f with urban.. The good news is Fresno will eat San Jose next Friday any idea of what the spread will be?

  33. #33
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Quote Originally Posted by ZIPPER HEAD View Post
    Now killer you no better than to f with urban.. The good news is Fresno will eat San Jose next Friday any idea of what the spread will be?

    21 at least

  34. #34
    visualrealism
    visualrealism's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-11
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 684

    21? More like -10.5 max

  35. #35
    Killer_Demo
    209 Street-Tough
    Killer_Demo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-08
    Posts: 8,409
    Betpoints: 4201

    Quote Originally Posted by visualrealism View Post
    21? More like -10.5 max
    Obviously you dont watch MWC football.

12 Last
Top