1. 11-05-13 05:21 PM #1
    usma1992
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    Picks for the week...O/U College Football...

    Time Visitor Home Sprd VEGAS Proj Bet
    PM Ohio 0 Buffalo 0 -4 56.0 49.5 NB
    8:00 PM BowlingGreen 0 MiamiOhio 0 24 48.0 55.6 O
    8:00 PM CMU 0 BallState 0 -21 57.0 78.9 O
    7:30 PM Oklahoma 0 Baylor 0 -14.5 74.0 47.0 U
    7:30 PM Troy 0 LaLafayette 0 -12.5 67.0 61.5 NB
    9:00 PM Oregon 0 Stanford 0 10.5 61.0 65.0 NB
    8:30 PM Louisville 0 Connecticut 0 28 49.5 50.3 NB
    9:00 PM AirForce 0 NewMexico 0 -2.5 60.0 60.6 NB
    12:00 PM Iowa 0 Purdue 0 15 46.0 57.6 O
    12:00 PM WesternKentucky 0 Army 0 6.5 57.5 52.5 NB
    12:00 PM SMU 0 Cincinnati 0 -9 64.0 82.3 O
    12:00 PM TCU 0 IowaState 0 7 46.0 55.0 O
    12:00 PM FloridaState 0 WakeForest 0 35 54.5 60.1 NB
    12:00 PM UAB 0 Marshall 0 -23.5 66.5 56.2 U
    12:00 PM PennState 0 Minnesota 0 -2 48.0 42.5 NB
    12:00 PM Missouri 0 Kentucky 0 14.5 56.5 45.9 U
    12:00 PM Vanderbilt 0 Florida 0 -10 43.0 36.0 NB
    12:00 PM KansasState 0 TexasTech 0 -2.5 61.0 55.0 NB
    12:00 PM Auburn 0 Tennessee 0 7.5 54.0 54.0 NB
    12:20 PM Arkansas 0 OleMiss 0 -17 53.5 57.0 NB
    1:00 PM WesternMichigan 0 EasternMichigan 0 3 57.5 58.5 NB
    2:00 PM Tulane 0 TexasSanAntonio 0 -8.5 51.5 64.1 O
    3:00 PM USC 0 California 0 17 54.5 62.3 O
    3:30 PM Illinois 0 Indiana 0 -9.5 77.0 94.8 O
    3:30 PM Syracuse 0 Maryland 0 -6.5 54.0 49.5 NB
    3:30 PM BYU 0 Wisconsin 0 -7.5 55.0 37.5 NB
    3:30 PM Nevada 0 ColoradoState 0 -9 63.5 59.9 NB
    3:30 PM Nebraska 0 Michigan 0 -7 58.0 62.5 NB
    3:30 PM Hawaii 0 Navy 0 -17 52.5 72.3 O
    3:30 PM UTEP 0 NorthTexas 0 -24.5 56.5 62.0 NB
    3:30 PM MississippiState 0 TexasAM 0 -19.5 65.0 64.8 NB
    3:30 PM BostonCollege 0 NewMexicoState 0 24 61.0 60.1 NB
    3:45 PM Tulsa 0 EastCarolina 0 -17 52.0 56.0 NB
    4:00 PM NCState 0 Duke 0 -9 57.5 51.0 NB
    4:00 PM ArizonaState 0 Utah 0 7 65.0 60.0 NB
    4:00 PM Kansas 0 OklahomaState 0 -31 53.0 76.1 O
    4:00 PM FloridaInt 0 MTSU 0 -17.5 47.5 58.2 O
    5:00 PM OldDominion 0 Idaho 0 13 70.0 67.4 NB
    7:00 PM VirginiaTech 0 Miami 0 -6.5 44.0 36.0 U
    7:00 PM Texas 0 WestVirginia 0 6.5 56.0 66.6 O
    7:00 PM ArkansasState 0 LouisianaMonroe 0 -5.5 57.0 46.2 U
    7:00 PM SouthernMiss 0 LouisianaTech 0 -14.5 52.0 50.6 NB
    7:00 PM Houston 0 UCF 0 -10 65.0 61.4 NB
    8:00 PM Colorado 0 Washington 0 -28 60.5 54.6 NB
    8:00 PM NotreDame 0 Pitt 0 5 50.5 63.0 O
    8:00 PM UtahState 0 UNLV 0 13.5 56.0 84.5 O
    8:00 PM LSU 0 Alabama 0 -12.5 53.5 40.5 U
    10:00 PM UCLA 0 Arizona 0 1.5 56.5 64.0 O
    10:15 PM FresnoState 0 Wyoming 0 9.5 78.5 71.9 NB
    10:30 PM SanDiegoState 0 SanJoseState 0 -6 56.0 80.1 O
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  2. 11-06-13 02:38 PM #2
    Mako-SBR
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    Going to cherry-pick it a bit more to isolate the largest disparities both ways, just to see if there's a week-over-week ROI difference as time passes.

    Widest system calls :

    BIGGEST OVERS
    UtahState UNLV 56 84.5 O 28.5
    SanDiegoState SanJoseState 56 80.1 O 24.1
    Kansas OklahomaState 53 76.1 O 23.1
    CMU BallState 57 78.9 O 21.9
    Hawaii Navy 52.5 72.3 O 19.8
    BIGGEST UNDERS
    UAB Marshall 66.5 56.2 U -10.3
    Missouri Kentucky 56.5 45.9 U -10.6
    ArkansasState LouisianaMonroe 57 46.2 U -10.8
    LSU Alabama 53.5 40.5 U -13
    Oklahoma Baylor 74 47 U -27
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  3. 11-06-13 02:50 PM #3
    Trmeyer
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    Where do you come up with these projections? How are you 10-20 pts off of the vegas books? Either you're really good....or really bad. I guess we'll wait and see. GL
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  4. 11-06-13 06:44 PM #4
    usma1992
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    I know some of them are significantly different than Vegas. Except for the anomalies like Oregon Baylor...etc...maybe texas am and FSU...the system seems reasonably close at times. I was a little ticked off about Bowling Green game. 48 points dead on and they didn't score in the 4th quarter. Dave
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  5. 11-08-13 02:20 AM #5
    Mako-SBR
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    Off to a good start Mike, especially for anyone who got 48.5 or more on Bowling Green. The Baylor game was particularly nice, had the under parlayed with -15 on the spread and won both easily.
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  6. 11-08-13 02:53 AM #6
    usma1992
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    Solid start... Last night was fairly good...

    NBA 2-0 Both LA games under based on systems projections. Not sure if I posted the picks or not. I normally wait until at least 7 Games ... but both won. NFL 1-0 Over bet on the NFL game and was almost dead on the Baylor game. Enjoy Dave
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