Nevada +21.5 Fresno keeps flirting with disaster. Nevada is no slouch on offense and I think they hang within 3 TD's.
Miami +21.5 FSU and Winston have been very impressive, but that was against lesser competition other than the Clemson game. I will take the 3 TD's in a rivalry game.
I thought the same thing, but then look at who Miami has played? UF was a good win at the time, but looking at it now, how good of a win was it. On top of that, Miami statistically lost that game. I think FSU rolls here. That said, I put a small play on 1st Q line (FSU -6.5) and FSU team total of 43. I have a hard time swallowing the -21, but I do think they cover.