[NeilV]

These 2 teams were even last year with ULL (-4.5) took a close win 31-27 at home. In that
game QB T. Broadway had a big day against the Toppers with 258 passing and 145 rushing
Coming in 2013 both teams lost about the same amount of key players on both sides of the ball,
but advantage to ULL with the return of their QB while Toppers has a new starter at QB


ULL feature a balanced offense with 217 yards on the ground and 242 yards per game through
the air. Defensively they still struggled allowing 167 rushing and 219 passing yards
So far ULL have played 5 games, avg. 38.8 points per game and allowing 28.6 points per game.
QB T. Broadway has been on fire over the last 2 games versus Akron and Texas St, accounted for
640 yards while completing over 70% of his passes, 7 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Biggest Win: 35-30 at Akron
Bad Loss: None (2 losses to Arkansas and Kan St)


This year Hilltoppers is a well rounded team ranked 29th in total offense and 30th in defense,
nationally. In 6 games they averaged 31.2 points and allowed 23.8 points per game.
The Hilltoppers two losses this season have come at Tennessee and South Alabama in which
QB B. Doughty threw 8 combined interceptions.
In the current 3-game win streak Toppers out-gained their opponents by a combined 644 yards.
Biggest Win: 35-26 over Kentucky (neutral site)
Bad Loss: 24-31 at S. Alabama (another loss to at Tenn)


Keys to the games:
ULL needs QB Broadway rush-production (70+ yards) and Defense improves their pass-rush
W. Kentucky needs QB Doughty plays without stupid Interceptions (1 or even 2 int. still OK)


Prediction:
QB Broadway has slowed down his effectiveness quite a bit this season (unknown injury?)
as he has avearaged only 30 rushing ypg at a paltry 3 ypc versus 59 ypg and 6.5 ypc last year
W. Kentucky is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS this season at home, winning by 20.7 points per game.
New HC B. Petrino is a great game planner and adjust well on the fly.
Can’t go against B. Petrino at Home. He will have his team ready for this game on national TV
Hilltoppers by at least a TD


Interesting trend: Since 2009 road underdog that averages 450+ ypg and in the previous game
had 7.25+ yards per play is 34-7 ATS or 83% (which is the case for ULL)


P.S. Over 62 looking good as the last 3 match-ups avg. 66 points but with the weather concern
and both teams have almost 2 weeks to prepare for defense, I would avoid the Totals as
these 2 teams are also capable of putting a ton of points.

[RavensFan2k3]

Just clarifying...you're on WKU?

[NeilV]

Just clarifying...you're on WKU?

" Can’t go against B. Petrino at Home. He will have his team ready for this game on national TV
Hilltoppers by at least a TD"

Yes I am. Thanks

[jaykarrels]

2 units on WKU

[RavensFan2k3]

" Can’t go against B. Petrino at Home. He will have his team ready for this game on national TV
Hilltoppers by at least a TD"

Yes I am. Thanks

I apologize, I completely missed the section that said prediction

[NeilV]

Thanks jaykarrels and ravensfan. BOL to you guys this week.

[RavensFan2k3]

Im almost ready to pull the trigger with you man, BOL to you aswell

[TiredPro]

Pretty strong trend you are betting against if I understood it correctly. Good luck.

[mid10]

WKU -3

[NeilV]

Pretty strong trend you are betting against if I understood it correctly. Good luck.

Thanks for your comments.

When I pick a game, unlike many other people always biased toward their pick, I tried to put both positives and negatives on both teams then chimed in my thoughts so anyone can intelligently pick out the team they like (in case they do not have time to do research on their own) For that trend, I do not believe in it personally but I still put it out there. BOL to you this week TiredPro.

[rake922]

looks like most people are on the home team (which happens to have more wins) with a tiny 3 pt spread..... INTERESTING... VERY INTERESTING

[NeilV]

looks like most people are on the home team (which happens to have more wins) with a tiny 3 pt spread..... INTERESTING... VERY INTERESTING

Actually the money is on ULL and that's why the line dropped from -4.5 early today to -3 before kick-off.
Thanks for inputs and BOL to you this week.

[grease lightnin]

Actually the money is on ULL and that's why the line dropped from -4.5 early today to -3 before kick-off.
Thanks for inputs and BOL to you this week.

The most money and the most people are two diiifferent things.

[NeilV]

The most money and the most people are two diiifferent things.

You are right. And thanks

[NeilV]

WKU -3

Good luck to us. THanks