1. 10-09-13 02:23 PM #1
    Louisvillekid1
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    Michigan @ Penn St (+120) Sat, Oct 12 5:00 PM ET ESPN

    Here's another Play I really like this week. Penn St is welcoming in their division rival Wolverines with a WHITE OUT in HAPPY VALLEY. These guys oversold tickets this week, it's going to be complete nuts. It's arguably the biggest game for the Nittany Lions this year, it's basically their Bowl Game. I had Indiana +3/ml last week against them, but a big part of that was because they were going to get caught looking ahead. Also they of course struggle with that style of offense (i.e. UCF).

    Michigan comes in 5-0 riding high off blow out win against Minnesota, they have only been on the road once and we all saw that performance (24-21 win) against the awful Uconn Huskies (who btw are still looking for their first win). I'll give Brady Hoke Credit for the Minnesota game-plan because he did finally take the pressure of his young cartoon watching QB Devon Gardner. When they get Toussaint going on the ground, DG can really hurt you with both his PA and running himself. However, If you make them one Dimensional, he really struggles.

    Michigan has a few key injuries on the defensive side of the ball that will make it that much harder for to stop the Penn St Offense. They also have a very bad secondary, which adds up to a long day in the Valley.

    Penn St's Quarterback Christian Hackenberg could potentially have a big day. This is going to be a physical game that plays right into the home team's hands. Look for the Penn St to pound the rock (they might not pick up a ton of yards) but they will set up some big plays down field to star WR Allen Robinson off Play Action. If they can keep Hackenberg up right, they have an excellent chance at controlling this game.

    I think they will stack the box against Gardner and force Michigan to beat them through the air. The White Out crowd will make it that much harder for DG to be effective. Flat out the Wolverines are not that good outside of the Big House, and I don't expect they leave Pennsylvania with a win.

    Look for Devon Gardner to get rattled early and most likely turn the ball over. The big plays down the field against the weak Michigan secondary will be the difference.

    Penn St +120 2x

    Injuries to report
    Michigan
    Ondre Pipkins DT Out For Season (knee)
    Jake Ryan LB Questionable October 12 (knee)

    Weather should not be an issue
    Line moving down from the opener of 3

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...ek-7-card.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...ek-6-card.html
    Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 10-09-13 at 02:29 PM.
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  2. 10-09-13 02:36 PM #2
    jjgold
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    Penn St looked bad last week

    No way I am taking them
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  3. 10-09-13 02:37 PM #3
    redsoxfreak91
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    I will bet you michigan wins

    Can we get an agreement with an admin that we bet eachother and the loser's IP address is blocked from the cite forever....

    Are you a pusssy or bet me
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  4. 10-09-13 02:45 PM #4
    reigle9
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    Quote Originally Posted by redsoxfreak91 View Post
    I will bet you michigan wins

    Can we get an agreement with an admin that we bet eachother and the loser's IP address is blocked from the cite forever....

    Are you a pusssy or bet me
    He's probably betting, ya know, real money. Those fruit sig/ban bets are for kids.
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  5. 10-09-13 02:51 PM #5
    reigle9
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    This is the biggest recruiting game probably in the history of PSU football. There's going to be 100 recruits there (including a stacked list of highly ranked 2015 stars) and coaches have been denying requests. Of course I'm biased, but I refuse to believe a night white out game isn't the best home field advantage in college football.

    That said, that game last weekend was brutal. Our D just isn't what it usually is. Going to have to count on Gardner to turn it over a couple times.
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  6. 10-09-13 02:56 PM #6
    Eejit
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    Quote Originally Posted by redsoxfreak91 View Post
    I will bet you michigan wins

    Can we get an agreement with an admin that we bet eachother and the loser's IP address is blocked from the cite forever....

    Are you a pusssy or bet me

    Why do you want another poster to leave the site?

    At least this guy posts some insight into the games, what do you contribute here?

    This site really is filled with simple minded individuals
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  7. 10-09-13 03:05 PM #7
    Wilfred
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    Quote Originally Posted by reigle9 View Post
    This is the biggest recruiting game probably in the history of PSU football. There's going to be 100 recruits there (including a stacked list of highly ranked 2015 stars) and coaches have been denying requests. Of course I'm biased, but I refuse to believe a night white out game isn't the best home field advantage in college football.

    That said, that game last weekend was brutal. Our D just isn't what it usually is. Going to have to count on Gardner to turn it over a couple times.
    Gardner is good for that. Worried about you guys being able to stop him when he gets in scramble mode though. The key Matchup is Robinson Vs Countess, I think that Michigan will roll if Countess is winning that battle.
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  8. 10-09-13 03:07 PM #8
    Pickem2win
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Penn St looked bad last week

    No way I am taking them
    Ditto. Michigan easily covers the whopping 3 pt spread.
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  9. 10-09-13 03:24 PM #9
    redsoxfreak91
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eejit View Post
    Why do you want another poster to leave the site?

    At least this guy posts some insight into the games, what do you contribute here?

    This site really is filled with simple minded individuals
    My posted record on here is better than yours (if you even have one). Come back at me when you actually have facts to throw my way. I would bet money on this with him but there isn't a way...
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  10. 10-09-13 03:38 PM #10
    Bet10Heinekens
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    This game is either the trap of the day or early Christmas for the squares....I'm personally staying away...who has Penn St. beat this year, they don't have an impressive win
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  11. 10-09-13 03:39 PM #11
    Lion4Life
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilfred View Post
    Gardner is good for that. Worried about you guys being able to stop him when he gets in scramble mode though. The key Matchup is Robinson Vs Countess, I think that Michigan will roll if Countess is winning that battle.
    Linebackers are banged up except Carson, He'll have a field day if he scrambles.
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  12. 10-09-13 03:44 PM #12
    reigle9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lion4Life View Post
    Linebackers are banged up except Carson, He'll have a field day if he scrambles.
    Hull said he's 90% and idk who else you'd be talking about.
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  13. 10-09-13 03:47 PM #13
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lion4Life View Post
    Linebackers are banged up except Carson, He'll have a field day if he scrambles.
    Quote Originally Posted by reigle9 View Post

    Hull said he's 90% and idk who else you'd be talking about.
    This, you have inside info?
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  14. 10-09-13 03:49 PM #14
    cankid
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    looking forward to the game, wish Penn St defense was better and id take them but its a pass for me, probably watch 1st half and go from there
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  15. 10-09-13 03:52 PM #15
    Lion4Life
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    Heard on another site that Wartman is nursing an injury and Kline has been banged up all season along with Hull. Not much depth behind them either.

    Edit, here's a link to some talk about the linebackers

    http://blogs.mcall.com/nittany_lines...tight-end.html
    Last edited by Lion4Life; 10-09-13 at 03:58 PM.
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  16. 10-09-13 04:19 PM #16
    easyliving
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    hoping line moves to 3 so i can pound Penn state.
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  17. 10-09-13 06:41 PM #17
    redsoxfreak91
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    hoping line moves to 3 so i can pound Penn state.
    You gonna pound em' harder than Sandusky against his son?
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  18. 10-09-13 07:09 PM #18
    ChalkyDog
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    Kid, in games like this where the play is on the home team in part because of the crowd, the home team 1h has been good.

    Not playing full game myself, so good luck.
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  19. 10-09-13 07:42 PM #19
    reigle9
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    Kid, in games like this where the play is on the home team in part because of the crowd, the home team 1h has been good.

    Not playing full game myself, so good luck.
    Outside of last game's debacle, PSU has been this year and historically a 2H team.
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  20. 10-09-13 08:28 PM #20
    Huckleberry Pig
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    it actually sounds like we are actually breakin down games in here.

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  21. 10-10-13 01:25 AM #21
    GoonSquad
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    Obviously the atmosphere is gonna be insane in happy valley...but after watching psu vs UCF and Indiana, their linebackers and secondary look like swiss cheese...Their D-line will hold their own up front. Also Bill O briens play calling in the last 2 games has been horrific....As a penn state fan who thought they would beat ucf and indiana, this line scares me alot...
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  22. 10-10-13 08:49 AM #22
    Louisvillekid1
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    I had both UCF and ind , just love this spot for them
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  23. 10-10-13 09:11 AM #23
    Vinnie Paz
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    Only +105 ML right now
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  24. 10-10-13 10:51 AM #24
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Penn St looked bad last week

    No way I am taking them
    They just havent had the recruits since the reports
    of shower rape by the D-Coordinator
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  25. 10-10-13 11:02 AM #25
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    They just havent had the recruits since the reports
    of shower rape by the D-Coordinator
    They done an amazing job recruiting, IMO...

    Not to many universities / coaching staffs could do what they are doing right with this situation
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  26. 10-10-13 11:03 AM #26
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Only +105 ML right now
    Sbr moving #'s lol
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  27. 10-10-13 12:42 PM #27
    sweep
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    5 years ago Game Day would be there this week, how things have changed for PSU
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  28. 10-10-13 01:21 PM #28
    Dutch
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    Betting against small home dogs in conf. games has killed my bankroll in the past. Add in that the public will be all over Michigan and Vegas doesn't give away money...This smells like a Penn St. cover.

    I'm not fuking with it tho'.
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  29. 10-10-13 02:02 PM #29
    reigle9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    They done an amazing job recruiting, IMO...

    Not to many universities / coaching staffs could do what they are doing right with this situation
    I'll be paying attention to your posts since you're one of the rare breed of people on the internet that actually know wtf they're talking about. I'm still in shock OB and the coaches were able to hold together the core recruits last year.

    PSU will have a top 15 recruiting class next year (2015) for sure and a solid chance at a top 10 if we get fit in some early enrollees.
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  30. 10-11-13 11:17 PM #30
    ChalkyDog
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    Going with Penn St. 1h.

    Locked in.

    Good luck, gents!
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  31. 10-12-13 02:51 AM #31
    kobstopa
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    no way wolves will lost this one
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  32. 10-12-13 05:13 PM #32
    Louisvillekid1
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    No matter what, you gotta love this coaching staff/environment
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  33. 10-12-13 05:54 PM #33
    k13
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    Shitty 2nd half start....
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  34. 10-12-13 05:56 PM #34
    Louisvillekid1
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    GTFO with that start , sometimes you got the game capped perfectly and something like that happens... The air has lifted from the crowd...

    Oh well,
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  35. 10-12-13 06:08 PM #35
    Louisvillekid1
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    Rip this ticket up, what kinda play calling is that making your freshman Qb
    air it out with the way your defense has been playing..,

    fukk, chalky was right, shoulda played 1h
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