Not making this post to offer you guys any kind of 80% winners, and I am no pro lol. I am simply a guy that has bet for probably about 13 years. I enjoy it, but it's truly a grind. Doing the research and breaking down games is honestly the 2nd best part of gambling for me, right behind winning (when I am fortunate enough to do so) haha. There are many more experienced and knowledgeable cappers here than myself (just got to weed through a few to find the good ones). I am simply here to keep a record for myself and to share/get info. Good luck. 5 plays to start this week off!
UCF -23 240.00 to win 200
against Akron. (buying a point) USF beat them by 42 last year and that has little bearing on this year. However, Akron was the worst team in the MAC and while I do think they will be better than last year I can't find where they will be 21 points better against a UCF team that will be really really good this year. UCF will be very strong on D and their offense will finally be able to be as good as they are on D. They return their stud QB in Burltes and 5 of their top 6 WR including their top two. They were really stingy and solid on D last year and almost all top players return on that side of the ball. The Zips QB was pretty solid last year in a pass happy O but he his gone, they haven't really seemed to find the guy they are truly confident in according to reports. Their top WR is gone as well. Their D was 107th last year and lost their top two tacklers. Their team cannot help but be better because they were one of the worst teams in college football last year.
UNC +13 (bought 1/2) 240.00 to win 200.00
Now this is coming from a SEC lover. I live in the South so I am always invested in SEC football. However, I am not sold completely on this SC team in certain games. UNC is better than a lot of people think according to what I read at times on here. Clowny will be incredible again for SC but the way to slow this guy down just a little is the fast up tempo offense. The quick passes, draws, and screens is basically the only way to get this guy off his incredibly fast and steady motor just a bit late in the game. That high powered offense for UNC (40.6ppg) last year will be good again, but they will be slowed down big time in this one. I think they have some success against SC though. SC has some injuries at WR and TE for this game so I expect them to pound the rock and try to get Connor Shaw on the edges with the option, read option, and roll out passes. SC will be incredibly tough this year, but I think they will feel their way through this one and win a close one late.
Utah State +3 (bought 1/2) 600.00 to win 500.00
I honestly think this team has a Heisman candidate at QB. He has weapons all around him on offense, a solid defense, and a good sp teams. Not to mention their well coached. Utah will be solid, but I honestly just feel that Utah State is the better team right now. What happens down the stretch this year could be another story, but I think Keeton has a HUGE game for Utah State and although revenge factor is in play for UTAH at home I still think they lose this game.
Ole Miss -3 (bought 1/2) 600.00 to win 500.00
Ole Miss is going to be one of the darlings this year in the SEC. They have put together a very solid team and they will absolutely be much improved on D this year. They return 11 starters on O and 8 on D. Vandy is 4-48 SU at home as a dog. Since 1980 the revenge seeking team from the year before is 30-21 ATS and 12-5 ATS when the spread is 3 or less. Ole Miss was one of the best teams in the Nation last year ATS going 9-3 and probably will be the same again this year. I look for Ole Miss to win by 10
Fresno -10 (bought 1/2) 600.00 to win 500.00
Bad spot here for Rutgers to travel across country to open up the season. Fresno State will be a top 25 ranked team after this game and they will be very dangerous this year. David Carr will have another great year, his top two WR are back as well. Their D was 2nd best in the country against the pass and 22nd overall last year. Rutgers will attempt to use the passing game more this year with their offense and this isn't the best spot to be attempting to work on that. Rutgers returns 4 starters on O and 6 on D. They lose their best player on D but still should have a formidable unit. The Bulldogs are one of the Nations best teams at home ATS. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home, 14-2 ATS in their last 16 at home. Look for a big game out of Fresno and a big win with big numbers being put up. They will score often putting RU in a bad spot.
I should be upset with starting 2-3 but it's hard to be. UNC had the ball at the two near the end of the game and should have covered and USU was certainly the correct betting side. Not a lot of value at all on the board tonight. Will continue to look. Leaning two dogs SMU and WMU right now.
Boy looked to see a lot more out of Telleton and Blankerchief. UL just straight dominated. Woulda been interesting to see them actually play something tougher than a junior college schedule this year.
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