[ANDTHEWINNERIS]

OVERTIME AND NCAA FOOTBALL:



Yesterday the newsletter talked about extra innings games in MLB, and how
there has been an influence on totals. Today we are going to take a look at, if,
and how, overtime influences college football.



Taking the lead from the NFL, the NCAA decided to institute overtime in
NCAA Football games back in 1996. That has led to a lot of games getting
extended, and eliminating the possibility of a tie.



Remember, these are young impressionable college kids, and while they may
certainly have the physical stamina of playing a lot of extended minutes, they
may not have the same mental confidence, as to not be subjected to a bad
outcome, in a game that they fought hard, but in the end came up on the short
side of the scoreboard.



Putting those thoughts to the test, leads us down this interesting road, as
we can demonstrate powerfully, that such influence is the case, and these teams
do suffer mentally, and face a letdown in their next game.



What we are looking for, is to play against a team that played in a 2 or
more overtime game in their last contest, and lost. That is a pretty simple
premise, but one with credibility, and results. These teams have gone:



54-84-3 ATS covering just a woeful 39.1% of the time. That certainly is a
strong indication that these teams, do indeed struggle the next time they take
the field.



We can also note, that if this is a weak team, one that is under .500 they
have an even more difficult time getting off the canvas and delivering their "A"
game in their next contest as these losing teams have delivered a:



21-43 ATS mark for just a cover rate of 32.8%!



That means we should keep an eye out for these multiple overtime teams,
that came up a bit short, because we can certainly prosper by playing against
them when they take the field for their next game.

[husky]

Good stuff there winner