Miami riding resurgence momentum at home today in an ESPN game. This type of high profile game is tailor-made to this showboat team. I think they will show up.
Flaky Clemson is a threat here, especially after forcing 17 sacks and 10 INTs this year. Their defense is legitimate. However, they haven't faced a receiving corps like they will see today. Wake Forests's receivers are no comparison to the likes of Hankerson and Byrd. The only issue is whether Miami will have time enough to throw. Even if they don't, we've seen Harris connect with his lanky receivers in tight spots and in hurried situations. I like Miami's talent level at receiver to make something happen. Don't forget that Harris is good scrambler.
Clemson is starting a freshman who is prone to the INT in clutch situations (Maryland game on the goal line with game on the line). He is only completing 49% of his passes this year, so that puts alot of pressure on Spliller to perform. Miami merely needs to contain Spiller in order to completely disrupt any type of offensive momentum for Clemson. In the Maryland game (important game because it was one of only two road games for Clemson), Clemson only had 14 offensive points. The other TD was a Spiller kickoff runback.
In the Georgia Tech road game, Clemson was down 24-0 before Tech's defense took their foot off the pedal in the 2d and 3rd Quarters. If Miami gets an early lead, don't expect their defense to do the same thing.
Miami is far more balanced offensively, Clemson has the edge in special teams (Spiller) and in defense. However, with an unproven QB in a hostile environment against a Top 5 team with playmakers galore, I'll take my chances on Miami to cover this one en route to the ACC championship game.
Miami is 5-1 ATS this year, and the line really should be Miami -7. That makes Miami -4 a true gift.
My play: Miami -4