[bearmz]

Games vs D2 teams usually not used in stats.

Miss @ SCar: Dog 4-1 ATS L5 in ser. '08 USC 31-24(+2)
Mizz @ Nev: '08 Mizz 69-17(-26). Nev 0-5 ATS L5 vs BCS + Bois losing by an avg 44-26.
SMiss @ Kan: NP. KU 4-0 L4 as F. USM 1st of 3 str rdg with others as conference g. USM has been greatly o'valued so far TY.
Fres @ Cin: NP. Fres 2-4 ATS L6 rdg avg score 27'-35 with allowing 10 pts to SJSt. Cin avg score L5 H vs FBS 28-14.2.
MSU @ Wis: H 4-0 SU L4 in ser, and 7-3 SU L10. '08 MSU 25-24(+5') '07 Wis 37-34(-7). Other 8 Ws in ser L10 by 7 or more.
Buff @ Temp: Bf 3-0 SU all 3 in ser. Bf 6-1 SU L6 rdg.
IU @ Mich: UM 10-0 SU L10 in ser. W L2 34-3(-14) and 41-14(-26)
UNC @ GT: H 5-1 SU L6 in ser. '08 UNC 28-7(-5'). GT 5-0 SU L5 H in ser. UNC 1-3 ATS L4 rdg all as Fav.
USF @ FSU: NP. USF avg 14pts vs WV, Conn, Rut, Cin, in '08. FSU avg 32.6 vs equal and better opps L10.
Mars @ Mem: H 4-0 SU L4 ser. Mars 1-3 ATS L4 rdg.
SDSt @ AF: '08 AF 35-10(-10') '07 55-23(-13). SDS 1-4 ATS L5 rdD with only W as +36'. Avg score was 12.6-42.6.
WF @ BC: H 4-2 SU L6 in ser. '08 BC 24-21, '07 38-28(-6). BC 3-1 ATS L4 hg all as F. WF 0-3 ATS L3 rdg.
UNLV @ WYO: Wyo 1-5 ATS L6 hg. 0-3 ATS as hD. '08 UNLV 22-14(-5') '07 Wyo 29-24(+10'). UNLV has all. 42,24,41,20, and 42 L5 on rd.
Cal @ Ore: H 7-3 SU L10 in ser. '08 Cal 26-16(-2') '07 31-24(-6'). Ore 4-1 SU L5 hg in ser. Cal 3-0 both L3 in ser. Last time Ore was a HD was in '05 as +20 to USC, losing 45-13.
WKY @ Nav: NP. L10 g, WKY all. 63 to Tenn and 51 to NTx. Other 8 g all. an avg 25.4. Navy's highest score in L10 is 34pts. and has AF NW.
Akron @ CM: AU has all. avg 33.8 L5 rdg. CM all. 30pt/g L9g. CM 6-1 SU L7 in ser with avg W by 6.3. CM 0-3 ATS L3 as F.
Ida @ UNI: '07 UNI 42-35(+2') at IU.
ARK @ Ala: H 7-3 SU L10. '08 AlA 49-14(-8). Ark L5 Ls by avg 6 pts
MiF @ VT: '08 MiF 16-14(-4). '07 VT 44-14(-16'). VT 8-2 ATS L10 in ser with both Ls as Dogs(+6,9'). MiF L6 rdg including bowl has all. 30.8 pt/g. VT all. 11.6 pt/g L6 hg
UTEP @ Tx: '08 Tx 42-13(-26). Tx 0-4 ATS L4g. 3-7 ATS L10 g.
TCU @ Clem: NP. CU 4-0 ATS L4 HF. CU 3-7 ATS L10 non-conf g. CU 2-6 ATS L8 as F .5-3. TCU 4-1-1 as Dog + .5-3.
ILL @ OSU: Vis 8-2 SU L10 in ser. Ill 7-3 ATS L10 in ser. '08 OSU 30-20(-8') and the other OSU covers were as F -35' and 36'. In last 8g in ser only 1 g decided by more than 10, '05 OSU 40-2.
Pitt @ NCSt: Last played in '01, Pitt 34-19(P). NCSt 7-1-2 ATS L10g, 7 as dogs.
UCF @ ECar: EC 1-4 ATS L5 as F. UCF 5-2 ATS L7 as D, 4-1 ATS as rdD.
Rut @ Md: '07 Md 31-24(+17'). Md 4-1 ATS L5 as D + .5-3. Rut 1-4 ATS as F - .5-3.
LaMon @ FlAt: ULM 4-1 ATS L5 in ser with all 4 Ws as Dog. Dog 5-0 ATS L5 in ser. Largest W in ser was ULM 28-21(+7'). FlAt 4-1 ATS L5 as F. ULM 6-2 L8 as D. FAU largest W in ser by 2.
Troy @ ArkSt: '08 Troy 35-9(-15') '07 27-0(-21). ASU 1-8 ATS L9g. Troy 1-3 ATS L4 as F.
CSU @ BYU: '08 BYU 45-42(-15') '07 35-16(-21). CSU has avg 30.75 pt/g L8g. BYU's all. 34.8 pt/g vs decent opps. L8g.
Fla @ KY: '08 FU 63-5(-25). From '02-'07 FU's avg W in ser by 12'. Similar trend vs Tenn LW. FU o'valued so far?
MTnSt @ NTX: MTS 3-0 both L3 in ser winning L3 by 39,20, and 35. NTX beat up after playing Ala LW?
MiO @ KentSt: Vis 5-1 SU L6 in ser. '08 KSU 54-21(+3'). MiO all. avg scor 20-42 L6 conf. MAC payback for yrs when MiO was VG?
Ohio @ Tenn: TN destoys lesser opps: '07 59-7 vs LaLa, '06 33-7 vs Mars, '08 35-3 vs UAB, and '09 63-7 vs WKY. Has Aub NW.
Tol @ FlInt: '08 FIU 35-16(+18')
UAB @ TAM: NP. Tammy @ ARK NW.
Bois @ BG: '08 Bois 20-7(-17') '05 48-20(-8') both at Boiz. Boiz 4-1 ATS L5 as rdF. BG 7-2 ATS L9 as Dog.
LaLa @ NB: NP. NB did beat ArkSt 38-9(-21) and FlAt 49-3(-23) TY.
Army @ IaST: '05 ISU 28-21(-17). Army outgained at a bad BSU team LW 375-265 and all. 8-14 3rd downs as well. BSU threw 4 INTs also.
AzST @ Geo: '08 Geo 27-10(-7). Geo 1-5 ATS L6 as F and 2-6 ATS as F >10 L8. ASU 1-4 ATS L5 non-con g. Geo vs LSU NW.
LOO @ Utah: '07 Ut 44-35(+14'). Before LW's cover, Loo was 0-5 both L5g with 1 L SU as F. UT 0-3 ATS TY with 2 as F 13' and 20'.
AZ @ OreST: OSU 9-1 both L10 in ser. '08 OSU 19-17(+3'). Only W for AZ was at OSU '05 29-27(+10) benefitting from 6 INTs and 1 fumble rec., but being outgained 654-384.
ND @ PU: '08 ND 38-21(-2). PU 3-2 SU H in ser since '99. ND W @ PU '05 49-28(+3) and other W by 6 in '01. ND 3-1 ATS L4 as rdF.
IA @ PSU: Ia 6-1 SU L7 in ser with 4 SU Ws as Dogs. Ia 7-3 ATS L10 in ser. Ia 4-1 SU L 5 @ PSU. Ia 4-1 ATS L5 rdg. '08 Ia 24-23(+7') '07 PSU 27-7(-10)
Van @ Rice: '08 van 38-21(-8') Van has avg 12.6pt/g L9g
Was @ Stan: Stan 3-1 SU L4 in ser, prior Was won 6 str SU. Stan only 2nd time F in L10 in ser. ** has beaten USC and lost to LSU by 8 TY. Stan 3-0 ATS L3g while being F by -18',17, and 28.
TT @ Hst: TT 5-0 SU L5 in ser, but haven't played since '95.
NMXST @ NMX: NMX 8-1 SU L9 in ser. winning @ H by 10, 17, 7, and 53. NMx 2-7 SU L9g and NMSt 1-9 L10g only beating Praire View 21-18.
WST @ USC: '08 USC 69-0(-42') '07 47-14(-25). USC 5-1 ATS L6 in ser and has Cal NW.

[bearmz]

ND @ PU notes:

PU's CB Brandon King returns to the field Saturday night against Notre Dame at Ross-Ade Stadium. King has missed the last two games because of a deep thigh bruise. King said he was close to seeing action against the Huskies but wasn't 100 percent. Without the 5-foot-11, 192-pound King, the Boilermakers have rotated players at the cornerback position.
Sixth-year senior Torri Williams moved from his free safety spot to start at cornerback during King's absence. Junior Josh McKinley has earned the start at free safety the last two games.
Senior Royce Adams and freshman Josh Johnson has also played the cornerback position.
"We had three or four different ways to manufacture that corner position and that took away from our defense not having Torri back there at safety," Purdue coach Danny Hope said.
"If we can keep the same guys in there, and get some continuity, I think we would pick up our level of play. (Brandon) coming back would be big for us."
The Boilermakers missed King's vocal leadership and his experience against Oregon and Northern Illinois. It's no secret Purdue has been plagued by numerous missed tackles in the first three games, and King said it's a glaring issue right now.

PU QB Joey Elliott knows the blitz is coming. It's just a matter if Purdue's fifth-year senior quarterback can handle what Notre Dame plans to throw at him Saturday night in Ross-Ade Stadium.
"After the first two weeks, a lot of teams came after us and we saw a lot of blitzes," he said. "I think I'll have the confidence in my offensive line and we'll be fine. Anytime they come with something different, it's my job to check us out of a bad play."

Hope hasn't heard from the Big Ten office regarding offensive lineman Zach Reckman's end-of-the-game hit on Northern Illinois' Sean Progar. If Reckman isn't available, Hope said redshirt freshman Rick Schmeig would take over.
UPDATE: Park Ridge, Ill. - The Big Ten Conference office announced that it will impose a one-game suspension on Purdue University offensive guard Zach Reckman for violating the Big Ten Sportslike Conduct Agreement during Purdue's game against Northern Illinois on Sept. 19, 2009.

The Boilermakers are 10 of 11 when reaching the red zone, scoring nine touchdowns.
Averaging 44 points and nearly 500 yards against Toledo and Oregon, the Boilermakers were stymied by Northern Illinois's defense. Purdue only had one legitimate scoring drive and struggled to sustained any rhythm.
The Huskies held Ralph Bolden, the nation's leading rusher, to 64 yards on 12 carries. The sophomore said he was limited in practice with an injury to his lower body but it didn't factor into his performance.

Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen will have two nagging problems to deal with against Purdue on Saturday: a painful right big toe and a missing receiver who was averaging 27.5 yards a catch and more than a touchdown a game.
Clausen hopes a shoe insert will help him deal with his turf toe, and that his backup receivers will help offset the loss of Michael Floyd to a broken left collarbone.
"That just means guys have to step up," the junior quarterback said.
Clausen walked a bit gingerly into his weekly news conference Wednesday, wearing high-top sneakers instead of his usual flip-flops, but that marked an improvement over the protective boot he had been wearing since injuring the toe during Saturday's win over Michigan State.
Clausen didn't practice Tuesday but planned to take part in Wednesday's practice and get in more work today.
Coach Charlie Weis said he expects Clausen, second in the nation in pass efficiency with a rating of 188.55, to play against Purdue (1-2). Clausen said the injury could affect him because he plants with his right foot to throw.
"Saturday I had to adjust that a little bit. I really wasn't using my legs too much because it was that painful," he said.
Clausen was 12-of-21 passing for 171 yards after being injured when he was sacked in the second quarter. Before that, he was 10-of-10 passing for 129 yards.
The Irish (2-1) are hoping Duval Kamara, Robby Parris or a lesser-used receiver will help fill the void left when their top receiving threat, Floyd, went down. That did not happen last season, when Floyd missed two games and most of a third with a knee injury and the Irish threw for 138 fewer yards per game.
Weis also said halfback Armando Allen both suffered a foot injury last week, however is expected to play Saturday.
Allen, the nation's 15th-leader rusher, has a gimpy right ankle and was also held out of Tuesday's practice, Weis said Allen will be eased back in on Wednesday, then amped up to a full practice Thursday with the hopes of being full-go by Saturday night.

Fullback James Aldridge, out since the second half of the season opener with Nevada (Sept. 5) with a shoulder injury, will miss at least two more games, Weis said.
An MRI Monday revealed that Clausen suffered turf toe in the Irish’s win against Michigan State Saturday. He missed two plays, but finished the game. Clausen initially hurt the foot in the second quarter Saturday while being sacked for the first time this season. He alluded to playing in considerable discomfort for the rest of the game.

Reports have said Clausen was seen walking around campus in a protective boot this week.
“I’ll probably hold him from practice today because when you get a turf toe, one of the things you do is they get one of these plates put in their shoe that kind of lifts your toe up so that you are not getting pressure on your foot when you are there,” Weis said. “We’re getting that plate in today. Our plan is to give Jimmy some of it on Wednesday, all of it on Thursday, and see how it goes from there.”
　
As far as who might test the Irish defense the most this season, here are where all 12 of ND's opponents rank nationally in total offense Purdue 25th, Michigan 28th, USC 34th, Michigan State 38th, Stanford 40th, Washington 56th, Pitt 59th, Nevada 71st, Washington State 79th, UConn 92nd, Navy 97th and Boston College 107th.
Bottom line: Michigan scored 38 points and had 430 offensive yards; Michigan State had 30 points and 459 yards.
Troublesome numbers that aren't skewed. Numbers that have to be fixed in time for this week's prime-time visit to Purdue.

Oddity:
Outing themselves
The Purdue University athletic department is declaring a “Black-out” for Saturday night's game with the Irish, in which Boilermaker fans are not only being coaxed to wear black, but encouraged to spend just $18 for the privilege.
The Purdue bookstore is selling glow-in-the-dark black shirts featuring Purdue-Notre Dame over a football field with the Boilermakers' "P" logo in the center on the front, and the words "Boiler Up!" on the back.
Notre Dame typically hasn't done well in these “-out” games.
The Irish lost to Michigan on Sept. 12 in a Maize-out in Ann Arbor, and at Penn State in 2007 in a White-out that was Irish quarterback Clausen's first collegiate start.

Squib:
Notre Dame, in three games so far this season, has recorded seven touchdown drives of 75 yards or more. In all of 2008, the Irish had 15. In 2007, they had six.

　
　Well, all things point to a shootout as both D's are pretty porous. ND's loss of Floyd is huge, but Tate's had two very good games vs PU. CB Pender has defended Tate both times, so maybe 3's a charm. Throw in Clausen's turf toe and RB Allens' ailments, coupled with the return of PU's CB King, trifected with ND just 7-5 SU L12 in series, quadruplified(?) with Pags' pick on PU+8'( now +7), and quintuplified with game at Ross-Ade....takin PU+.


　

[pags11]

good stuff bearmz, one of the best write-ups of the entire year...

[bearmz]

Thanks pags. Although I appreciate your comment, I don't feel my contributions are near the class of yours and others on this forum. I'm just gathering info for better football minds to turn into winning picks.

September 24. 2009 8:09PM
Notre Dame quarterback Jimmy Clausen got the green light Thursday to play in Saturday night's matchup at Purdue.
Running back Armando Allen is still looking at a yellow one.
“Game-time decision,” ND head coach Charlie Weis said of Allen's ankle injury that kept him out of Tuesday's practice and slowed him in Wednesday's and Thursday's
Weis said sophomore Jonas Gray and junior Robert Hughes took the bulk of the snaps in practice at halfback with Allen out. The nation's 15th-leading rusher, has run for 325 yards on 59 carries with three TDs for ND's resurgent rushing attack. Gray is ND's second-leading rusher, with 74 yards on 16 carries.

Clausen sat out Tuesday's practice, was eased in Wednesday and had a full session Thursday. A plate inserted in Clausen's right shoe helped ease the pain and discomfort.
Weis said sophomore Dayne Crist was impressive in filling in this week in practice and may see some snaps Saturday night. The sophomore from Canoga Park, Calif., has thrown just four passes in his college career, completing three for 16 yards with one interception.