1. #1
    ZBOIZ
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    ZboiZ Week 1 NCAA Leans

    Last year I had a great season capping college football. I finished over 60% and made a good profit. This year I'm hoping to do the same unlike what I do in MLB baseball. Well to start the year I been doing a lot of research and watching a lot of tape from last year so I feel as if I'm half way there to making my final decisions for week 1 . These are my leans!!

    (ALSO 1ST QUARTER PLAYS WILL BE POSTED ON GAME DAY. FINAL COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS WILL BE POSTED BEFORE THE SEASON KICKS OFF ON THURSDAY!)

    LEANS:

    South Carolina and NC State UNDER 44.5
    Oregon +5.5
    Penn St. -27
    Minnesota -6.5
    Navy +22.5
    Michigan -11
    Standford and Washington St. UNDER 56
    LSU -16.5
    San Jose St. +34.5
    Auburn -13

    These are just leans but the ones I do finalize will have a write up behind it.
    Last edited by ZBOIZ; 08-19-09 at 12:08 PM. Reason: Added Auburn -13

  2. #2
    Cougar Bait
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    What are your thoughts on that Oregon game? I was surprised to see Boise St. favored by so much.

  3. #3
    CaneDawg
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    What are your thoughts on that Oregon game? I was surprised to see Boise St. favored by so much.
    few roll out to the smurf turf and win

    line is higher than i thought

    i had em at -4

  4. #4
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    What are your thoughts on that Oregon game? I was surprised to see Boise St. favored by so much.

    I see them in a very tight game with Boise St, and pulling it out. We have to remember that Oregon had there 3rd string QB playing last year against Boise and that is a huge blow to a team on the defensive and offensive side of the ball. I see payback this year for Oregon with a solid defense and offensive showing

  5. #5
    Ralphie1412
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    Boise it is

  6. #6
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    Boise it is

    I really wish you fade me in college football. But remember Ralphie this is only a lean. But I'm leaning more not to play it

  7. #7
    Ralphie1412
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    im not gonna fade you, i make my own picks......last question. How old are you?

  8. #8
    ZBOIZ
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    24

  9. #9
    ZBOIZ
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    And how old are you ??

  10. #10
    Ralphie1412
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    23....october 1985, im glad you arent 35 which is what I thought you were going to say. At least you still have a little more time to grow up. Dont worry, you'll get there.

  11. #11
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ralphie1412 View Post
    23....october 1985, im glad you arent 35 which is what I thought you were going to say. At least you still have a little more time to grow up. Dont worry, you'll get there.

    Ralphie to for my age I have accomplished way more than the average. I have my own house that I'm financing right now. I also have rent houses that people rents out. And I'm also an assistant manager at the #1 pharmacy drug store in America.

    And to be honest people my age all the time tell me that I grew up to fast but there is no such thing. You cant judge a man through a computer screen. I also have a bachelors degree in Business Management.

  12. #12
    gremlin
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    I can tell you why people judge you through the computer screen. Your grasp of the English language doesn't seem to be too hot. You may be a great guy who's accomplished a veritable ****ton in his life, but here people can only judge you by your posts, and they can occasionally give the impression that you're 15.

    I have no beef with you personally, and certainly not over the internet, but that is why you might not get taken as seriously as you may want to be. Alternatively, you might not give a ****, in which case keep on capping and ignore the rest. Just my .02.

  13. #13
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by gremlin View Post
    I can tell you why people judge you through the computer screen. Your grasp of the English language doesn't seem to be too hot. You may be a great guy who's accomplished a veritable ****ton in his life, but here people can only judge you by your posts, and they can occasionally give the impression that you're 15.

    I have no beef with you personally, and certainly not over the internet, but that is why you might not get taken as seriously as you may want to be. Alternatively, you might not give a ****, in which case keep on capping and ignore the rest. Just my .02.

    And those all are opinions.

    You just have to know when to turn it on in life. And on a GAMBLING board whats the point of speaking a so call correct way of english. Apparently I speak it at the right times.

  14. #14
    Ralphie1412
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZBOIZ View Post
    Ralphie to for my age I have accomplished way more than the average. I have my own house that I'm financing right now. I also have rent houses that people rents out. And I'm also an assistant manager at the #1 pharmacy drug store in America.

    And to be honest people my age all the time tell me that I grew up to fast but there is no such thing. You cant judge a man through a computer screen. I also have a bachelors degree in Business Management.
    trustafarian? nice! Dude if you were so mature you wouldnt care what gamblers on a site thought about you. You are CONSTANTLY looking for verification. I mean who brags several different times about there record? or first quarter plays that god lucky one season. Its just so pathetic.

  15. #15
    MartinBlank
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    Z, I have to ask. Where are you getting all this "tape" that you are watching?

    And Z, no offense man, but 60%? Come on. You went on that losing skid last year and then told us it was all good because you won it all back in the online casino. Remember that?

    Z---Ralphie does have a point. Unless your record is documented on your spread sheet---what's the point of reminding people?

    I mean, I could post that I hit 73.8% but it wouldn't mean squat if I couldn't prove it.

  16. #16
    Ralphie1412
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    Exactly martin.

    Im happy to hear ZBOIZ is 24, at least there is a SLIGHT reason for his immaturity. This kid just blows my mind. Even when I was 17 and lost a bet I would tell everyone I lost at the bar and take a shot. Who the **** cares? Its gambling. ZBOIZ almost aspires to be poster of the month on SBR. And yes I remember online casino save and we all know 60 percent is a joke. Zboiz constantly lies about his record, right before he "quit" baseball(only to come back and get sucker punched by the nationals) he stated his weekend record and Gs Pks copy and pasted more losses and he said something like his gambling week ends on sunday or something. Hes a total joke.
    And he was busted not putting up first quarter losses. He has honestly 15 days before college football has even started, has stated to tail his first quarter plays like ten times. All he did was take huge powerhouse home favorites and take a shot in the first quarter. I love when he says let me go "crunch the numbers" or "watch some tape" its hysterical.

  17. #17
    MartinBlank
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    I want to know where he is getting the tape. I have been doing this an awfully long time, and tape is hard to come by.....

  18. #18
    ZBOIZ
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    This year I will use the spreadsheet

  19. #19
    pags11
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    GL zboiz...

  20. #20
    ZBOIZ
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    Penn St. will be scratched from the list of leans. This team has 15 starters to replace on the defensive and offensive side of the ball. Receivers Deon Butler, Jordan Norwood, and Derrick Williams have all been starters since their freshman year, and they all possess something different that made them one of the best receiving corps in the country. All three of them will be missed greatly because of their consistent play and experience. Also they loose 3 offensive lineman which will be hard to replace. Last year offensive line was arguably one of the best ever Penn State had. Outside Linebacker Tyrell Sales, a two year starter along with everyone in the secondary’s gone. Corners Lydell Sargeant and Tony Davis never received enough praise as they should have all season long. Both at only 5’10” consistently shut down receivers with great awareness, and coverage. Both will be missed for their talent and their experience. Safeties Anthony Scirrotto, and Mark Rubin are both gone as well. There’s much work to be done here to replace this veteran group.


    PENN STATE -27 IS A NO PLAY FOR ME AS A MATTER OF FACT THE SPREAD FELL TO 26.5 WITHIN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

  21. #21
    ZBOIZ
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    Auburn -13

    This is becoming a HUGE PLAY the more I review these two teams the more I favor Auburn by 3 touchdowns. What people fail to realize is defense is what covers spreads and Auburn has a good one. When Auburn went 12-0,Chizik was the DC. Well now Chizik is the head coach, and he has received a lot of negative comments. But I cant complain about the staff he has put together. Chizik say he is leaving the offense in the hand of the GURU, Tulsa old offensive coordinator. He say he has full control of it and he is only dictating the defense. Those the words I wanted to hear. I really believe Auburn will be better than people expect. As of now I will be laying the points with Auburn a SEC team against a Louisiana Tech team that has holes to fill on offense.

  22. #22
    ZBOIZ
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    UPDATE LEAN : Memphis +16.5

  23. #23
    ZBOIZ
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    Taking a look at Memphis team this year I noticed that they have a nice running core thats coming back this year. Like I alway preach. To cover big spreads you have to play defense and a nice running game would be a huge advantage. Memphis has both. There defense plays well and they have a 1000 yard rusher who is back this year. The more and more I reasearch this game the more I like Memphis +16.5 at home. Ole Miss on the other hand is returning to me the best PURE QB in the SEC and thats Snead. But I do think they are overrated. They lost some key Dlinemans and games are won up front in the trenches. I really believe Ole Miss will not live up to the hype and I would'nt be suprise if Memphis slip up and defeat them at home. I'll lean the 16.5

  24. #24
    jackpot269
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    GL Z I like your AU pick!!!!! oh I mean lean anyway good luck!!!!!!!!!

  25. #25
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by jackpot269 View Post
    GL Z I like your AU pick!!!!! oh I mean lean anyway good luck!!!!!!!!!

    Auburn will run a hurry up style offense with the spread this year. They will keep the defense on there heels with the hurry up attack. Utah ran the same style offense as far as the hurry up attack on Alabama, and even Alabama defense was'nt discipline enough to stop it.

  26. #26
    ZBOIZ
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    Update Lean:
    Oregon and Boise St. OVER 63.5

  27. #27
    ZBOIZ
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    Scratching Minnesota from my set of leans.
    I really don't trust Greg Paulus factor here. Yea I know Minnesota should blow these guys out and yea I know Paulus hasn't played a snap of college football but I still don't trust it. I rather sit back and watch them and then judge a team like Syracuse. The line is not jumping high enough for me. It actually dropped a half of point in some places. I will just stay away.

  28. #28
    THEGREAT30
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    Where is the value on any of these games?

  29. #29
    first48
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    GOOD LUCK ZBOIZ THIS SEASON....I hear you,pags, & sooner are great cappers.!

    I was thinking the same thing about the Minn game...Everyone is on them but the line has fell to 6.5 at my book... Minn should win by 17 or better with there off...having alot of returning starters.. I still might play it but a small play...Im With you 100% on Auburn..They will show up for the first game at Jordan Hare.(trust me!!)...BOL!

  30. #30
    spongerat
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    good luck this year Z

    when are the 1q plays coming out? those killed last year!

  31. #31
    ImmaBammer12
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZBOIZ View Post
    Auburn will run a hurry up style offense with the spread this year. They will keep the defense on there heels with the hurry up attack. Utah ran the same style offense as far as the hurry up attack on Alabama, and even Alabama defense was'nt discipline enough to stop it.
    Z, I would like to add some info in your consideration for this game. I've been told by friends who are BIG Auburn alum and even former players that Chris Todd is the starting QB because he's as good as they have for one. Sure he was hurt last year and anything will beat what they did last season due to the total coaching collapse on that team as well. As for the D, please understand while they are starting out with a great starting D they are not deep, at all. Just one or two injuries to the D and they are toast.

    The main thing you should find out for sure is how good La Tech is and go from there. If they are pretty solid you may want to back off this one or at least tease it a bit. In all honesty, I hope Auburn does truly do well this year and that they put things back together from the train wreck it was last year.

  32. #32
    ZBOIZ
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    ImmaBammer12 those are all good points. But I looked up La Tech and there defense isn't that great so that will be better for Auburn. Remember La. Tech is not an SEC opponent and on top of that they dont have a strong defense. I do think Auburn can beat them by 3 touchdowns. I strongly believe that defense covers big spreads. And I think ASuburn has enough to cover and just enough offense to put up the points.

  33. #33
    ZBOIZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by spongerat View Post
    good luck this year Z

    when are the 1q plays coming out? those killed last year!

    I will have them up on gameday

  34. #34
    Ralphie1412
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    spongerat- you just made his month.

  35. #35
    ZBOIZ
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    These are two BIG plays that will get locked in!!

    Mississippi St -36.5 over Jackson State
    UL Laffayette -24 over Southern University

    These are very soft lines for these two SWAC schools. Both of these schools are very very weak. They don't even believe that they can compete, so thats rule number 1 for a blowout. I look for Mississippi St. to be up by 30 plus at the half, and the same for UL Lafayette.
    Last edited by ZBOIZ; 08-25-09 at 03:38 PM. Reason: Mississippi St line dropped to 36.5

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