I know this is a huge rivalry game, but Army just flat out sucks this year. Bobby Ross just doesn't have the talent level to compete with this Navy team IMO.
I really don't think Army has anything that will enable them to keep up with Navy in this one... 20.5 is a lot to lay, but Navy has shown that they can blow opponents out that are not up to their caliber... Who knows though with the rivalry in this one...
Exactly my point KDM. Even in a big time rivalry game like this I don't feel it will be that close.
This game actually ment something in the 90's. Those games every year were barn burners it seemed like, but now there all one sided blow out type games and it's sad really
Army is pitiful, and will only score probably 14 points or less, which leads to the deciding question, will Navy score less than 35? Probably not. Navy -20'
in their most recent preformances i used/capped the air force, notre dame game for army and i used/capped the duke, temple game for navy.
navy would get a score of 36.33 to 8.75 over army making navy -27.60 however in overall preformances i used 6 games to handicap army and 8 games to handicap navy and came up with the score navy 38.09 to 18.71 for army. navy -19.40
it looks like the choice would be in the most recent preformance's for eace team. navy beat up on temple and duke while army got wipped in the same fashion by air force and norte dame. still, in balancing out the strength of the 2teams that army and navy each played the nod can and does go to navy.
the combined average strength rating for af and nd is 78 and navy is rated at 78 strengthwise
overall the spread is right there at dead even or pretty much close to it but navy then extends to take over the spread on the recency issue. tough call for me but if i had to bet it i'd like navy
going back over my numbers i saw that i had made a mistake in my calculations and this is the way my corrected numbers read
in using 6 games to handicap army's overall preformace and using 8 games to handicap navy's overall preformace i get navy 38.09 and army 14.62. navy -23.50
in using 2 games each to handicap army and navy's most recent preformance i get navy 36.33 and army 9.87. navy -26.50
averaging out to navy 37.69 and army 13.56. navy -24.10
I remember years ago this and just a couple other games were played this weekend, so you almost were obligated to make a play. But with the title games in a couple conferences, plus a few other nice games, it's easy to pass on this game.
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Is Army +20.5 enough?
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