1. 01-07-13 02:08 PM #1
    seaborneq
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    Post your best +EV BCS championship props

    I took a flyer on these 3

    No team scores 3 straight times +200
    First score FG or safety +145
    No score first 7:30 of game +115

    Post some more.
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  2. 01-07-13 04:20 PM #2
    seaborneq
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    Post, post, post.
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  3. 01-07-13 06:27 PM #3
    pologq
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    i also took no team scores 3 straight times

    i took the longest scoring play will not be over 39.5 yards
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  4. 01-07-13 06:28 PM #4
    shaunovery
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    More than 10 punts -110

    Mcarron less than 1.5 td passes
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  5. 01-07-13 06:31 PM #5
    sportfinny15
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    No td for nd, +1500, worth the stab
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  6. 01-07-13 06:32 PM #6
    Boxing Champ
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportfinny15 View Post
    No td for nd, +1500, worth the stab
    I found an Interesting Stat..on Neutral site/Road........Red Zone Defense

    Alabama     allowed out of 14 tries 9 scores 7 TD and 2 FG 50% TD ratio ...7 TD out of 14 allowed Red Zone posessions
    ND allowed out of 13 tries 9 scores 2 TD and 7 FG 15% TD tatio ...2 TD out of 13 allowed Red zone posessions

    Basically this means that if Alabama gets to red zone, they will most likely settle for a FG, because ND
    allows only 15% TD in the Red zone..But if ND can manage to get to Red Zone of Alabama, they will score a TD every other
    time.. That is a huge difference...Huge advantage ND..
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  7. 01-07-13 06:36 PM #7
    5mike5
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    differnce of competition makes that stat irrelevant
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  8. 01-07-13 06:36 PM #8
    sportfinny15
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    That doesn't take into account their opponents though, and with those odds ill take the shot, we just saw a no touchdown game yesterday in the indy game, it's definitely possible
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  9. 01-07-13 06:43 PM #9
    alwcb
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    These aren't +EV but they are props. Just didn't see the use in starting a new thread. Anyway, I havent bet these yet. I also also yet to post a prop on this site that has won so fade accordingly.

    TJ Yeldon Scores a TD -145.
    He has scored at least one in 9 out of 13 games. Of course Lacy will take many of the carries but I'm thinking bama might be hesitant to throw with Teo having 7 ints on the year and the team with 16 total. Thinking bama splits the work between the 2 and maybe Yeldon can put one in.

    Total FG made Over 3 1/2 +140
    I am terrible at these. I would have a better chance of winning the mega millions. None the less here I am again saying over. My thinking is Dame has trouble scoring Tds on bamas offense so they take to fgs. In a game of defense I could see each team with 2 or Dame with 1 and Bama with 1. Who I am kidding..... Fade me on this for big bucks.
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  10. 01-07-13 06:44 PM #10
    dodger33
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    differnce of competition makes that stat irrelevant
    ND had the tougher schedule
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  11. 01-07-13 06:45 PM #11
    dodger33
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    ST or defensive td +150
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  12. 01-07-13 06:49 PM #12
    Boxing Champ
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    Golson completions Under 17

    ND Road/Neutral Site completions this year 16,14,19,14,17,15,
    Alabama Road/Neutral Site completions allowed 11,11,12,16,25,19
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  13. 01-07-13 06:57 PM #13
    Boxing Champ
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    AJ MCCarron...Completions Under 17

    Alabama Road/Neutral Site.. completions 11,14,16,17,14,13..(not 1 game over 17 completions)
    ND Road/Neutral site completions allowed 14,23,18,36,27,14
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  14. 01-07-13 06:59 PM #14
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boxing Champ View Post
    Golson completions Under 17

    ND Road/Neutral Site completions this year 16,14,19,14,17,15,
    Alabama Road/Neutral Site completions allowed 11,11,12,16,25,19
    ND hasn't had to make many comebacks this year, so expect more passing from them tonight
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  15. 01-07-13 07:01 PM #15
    face
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    took the overs in lacy and yeldon's rushing yards, both plus money and one will hit
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  16. 01-07-13 07:08 PM #16
    VegasInsider
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    I'm on First Score FG or Safety (+155) for a 1/2 unit at Heritage
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  17. 01-07-13 07:11 PM #17
    dynamite140
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    Anyone that thinks they know any +EV props wouldn't be posting it to share to others.


    Which means most of the posters here are throwing darts.
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  18. 01-07-13 07:42 PM #18
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I took a flyer on these 3

    No team scores 3 straight times +200
    First score FG or safety +145
    No score first 7:30 of game +115

    Post some more.
    damn. Two props down on the first drive. Let's hope for a high scoring game.
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  19. 01-07-13 08:35 PM #19
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I took a flyer on these 3

    No team scores 3 straight times +200
    First score FG or safety +145
    No score first 7:30 of game +115

    Post some more.
    All of my props are dead already. Bummer.
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