1. 01-07-13 02:02 AM #1
    Seaweed
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    Notre Dame/Alabama Smartest Bet

    FIRST HALF OVER 20.5

    This is the sharpest bet on the board for tomorrow's game.

    I simulated the first half with all the information and it outputted 24 points in the first half. That's a 3 point cushion.

    Good luck.
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  2. 01-07-13 02:03 AM #2
    PhillyFlyers
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    Holy shit, pound the under.
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  3. 01-07-13 02:06 AM #3
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhillyFlyers View Post
    Holy shit, pound the under.

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  4. 01-07-13 02:08 AM #4
    darrell74
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  5. 01-07-13 02:11 AM #5
    Domestic
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    Could not bring myself to bet an over in a Notre Dame game, could end up being a field goal fest.
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  6. 01-07-13 02:14 AM #6
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Domestic View Post
    Could not bring myself to bet an over in a Notre Dame game, could end up being a field goal fest.
    Notre Dame could have 3 points at half and still go over. Simulations are usually accurate, especially if it's 3 points above the spread. With most of the public on the under, it is too beautiful to pass up.
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  7. 01-07-13 02:45 AM #7
    Domestic
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Notre Dame could have 3 points at half and still go over. Simulations are usually accurate, especially if it's 3 points above the spread. With most of the public on the under, it is too beautiful to pass up.
    That kind of scenario is fine with me, I took Alabama at the spread. Hopefully we can both cash tomorrow/tonight.
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  8. 01-07-13 03:19 AM #8
    shaunovery
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    This could be a 13-10 sort of game take the under
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  9. 01-07-13 04:20 AM #9
    GoldGlove
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    Under it is
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  10. 01-07-13 04:31 AM #10
    The Giant
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    If this is the smartest bet, I would hate to see what the least intelligent bet is.

    If this play loses, Seaweed, I might have to put you on a weeklong posting restriction. You need to clear your head.
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  11. 01-07-13 04:43 AM #11
    Iwinyourmoney
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    3 point cushion on a total represents a sharp play???


    Sharp cushions on totals are 8 or more.

    Just like your redskins super playoff play write up....horrible.

    Seaweed nation down to its final few followers, the rest have gone broke quicker then betislands
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  12. 01-07-13 04:52 AM #12
    jayc88
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    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    3 point cushion on a total represents a sharp play???


    Sharp cushions on totals are 8 or more.

    Just like your redskins super playoff play write up....horrible.

    Seaweed nation down to its final few followers, the rest have gone broke quicker then betislands
    8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
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  13. 01-07-13 05:16 AM #13
    GoldGlove
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    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
    you have to read between the lines. if 8 pts difference is considered a "sharp cushion", then a 1st H bet, NO MATTER WHICH ONE, can't be considered sharp.
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  14. 01-07-13 05:17 AM #14
    GunShard
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    I have the 41.5 Under for the game. Also teased down in a teaser.
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  15. 01-07-13 05:19 AM #15
    Iwinyourmoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
    meant for a whole game obviously. The point I was trying to make is what someone caps as 3 point cushion doesn't make shit sharp, it just makes it a play
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  16. 01-07-13 05:19 AM #16
    RG3ING
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    Bama will cover it alone prolly 17-21 pts in 1st half ? Is do the Irish score
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  17. 01-07-13 05:20 AM #17
    Iwinyourmoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoldGlove View Post
    you have to read between the lines. if 8 pts difference is considered a "sharp cushion", then a 1st H bet, NO MATTER WHICH ONE, can't be considered sharp.
    Guy has a gold glove for a fukin reason.

    Sharp
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  18. 01-07-13 05:33 AM #18
    ChalkyDog
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    Couldn't imagine betting all games where I find at least a 3pt "cushion".

    Good luck, man!

    I feel these guys will start out slow, but nothing concrete to base that on.
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  19. 01-07-13 07:30 AM #19
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChalkyDog View Post
    Couldn't imagine betting all games where I find at least a 3pt "cushion".

    Good luck, man!

    I feel these guys will start out slow, but nothing concrete to base that on.
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  20. 01-07-13 07:35 AM #20
    EaglesPhan36
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    Only way this would have a shot IMO is turnovers deep inside opposition territory or for scores, otherwise this shapes up at least on paper like a carbon copy of 'Bama-LSU from last year. I'd expect 17 points tops in the 1st half.
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  21. 01-07-13 09:50 AM #21
    TheBetBuysDanK
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Only way this would have a shot IMO is turnovers deep inside opposition territory or for scores, otherwise this shapes up at least on paper like a carbon copy of 'Bama-LSU from last year. I'd expect 17 points tops in the 1st half.
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  22. 01-07-13 10:00 AM #22
    Seaweed
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    Everybody on the board and their sister are on the under. Should tell you enough
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  23. 01-07-13 10:05 AM #23
    Axis
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Everybody on the board and their sister are on the under. Should tell you enough
    It tells me that the public does win from time to time...ask Vegas how the NFL weekend went for them.
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  24. 01-07-13 10:10 AM #24
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Axis View Post
    It tells me that the public does win from time to time...ask Vegas how the NFL weekend went for them.
    Which is why they will make it back tonight
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  25. 01-07-13 10:11 AM #25
    Vegas39
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    Under for sure now
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  26. 01-07-13 10:11 AM #26
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Im on over 20 even though Seaweed is wrong alot lately....but I see 24-27 points scored 1st half
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  27. 01-07-13 10:13 AM #27
    Seaweed
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    Check the score total
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  28. 01-07-13 10:15 AM #28
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Im on over 20 even though Seaweed is wrong alot lately....but I see 24-27 points scored 1st half
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  29. 01-07-13 10:22 AM #29
    pinnacle420
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    the play is nd plus 10.5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! bama aint shit!!!! aint the same bama team as years before they cant pass for shit and they cant defend a moblie qb.... i think the irish shock the betting public tonight with a complete burial!!!!! i hope manti breaks aj's knees... oh ya F UCK SABIN TOO
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  30. 01-07-13 10:26 AM #30
    elchristo
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    right now i got in a parlay nd at +20, over 31 and under 51 what do you guys think of that
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  31. 01-07-13 10:38 AM #31
    Marigold HD
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    Under is the play.
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  32. 01-07-13 05:28 PM #32
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marigold HD View Post
    Under is the play.

    Over.
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  33. 01-07-13 08:35 PM #33
    Seaweed
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    Congratulations Seaweed Nation and all the faithful who followed our play. This was easy as projected and was the smartest play on the board.
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  34. 01-07-13 08:42 PM #34
    SportsPedagogy
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  35. 01-07-13 08:53 PM #35
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsPedagogy View Post
    If this play lost the thread would be 7 pages. The lack of appreciation saddens me.
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