any thoughts?
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11-21-06 01:13 PM #1
Bowling Green Toledo Over/under
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11-21-06 04:23 PM #2
On the surface you look at these teams and see that they both give up over 28 ppg. It would be easy to lean towards the OVER in this one. If you dig into the numbers a little deeper, something else comes out that makes us feel just the opposite. Bowling Green gave up 35.3 ppg in their first four games this year. Since then, they are giving up 24 - a full 11 point drop. They also scored 24.5 ppg in those first four contests but since, as league play has become established, just 16.5 ppg. A team that was seeing an average of nearly 60 ppg has spent the bulk of their league play at a much lower 40 ppg. Toledo has met a similar fate. They gave up 39 ppg covering their first six games, and since have improved remarkably on defense as they have yielded just 17.5 ppg in their last four. The last three the average offense they faced was ranked #60, exactly where Bowling Green sits! Toledo in their last seven games has average only 17 ppg, while giving up just ! 17.5 ppg in their last four. The result is similar to Bowling Green as games that averaged 56.5 ppg early have turned into games that have scored 34.5 ppg lately. Toledo has held 3 of the last 4 opponents to under 330 yds. while in the previous 6 just one below that! Bowling Green has held 7 opponents to 330 yds or less. This game one the surface looks like it will be higher scoring than it will be, and we will play the UNDER here
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11-21-06 04:42 PM #3
I'm on the under and Bowling Green on the ML on a small parlay.
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11-21-06 04:46 PM #4
I am leaning the same way BG and the under!!!!
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11-21-06 04:56 PM #5
Another whacky MAC game tonight. I think I would go with the over in this one if i had to bet it.
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11-21-06 05:01 PM #6
I am hear you Dan I might just tease both up 7 points.
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11-21-06 08:15 PM #7
haha doc js takes the info from wunderdogs email. lol
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11-21-06 09:34 PM #8
Just passing along information, boys...
Originally Posted by pickwinners
That unfortunately wasn't a winner tonight!
Doc JS
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