1. 11-09-12 12:02 PM #1
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    I'll roll with Pitt tonight

    I'm buying half a point and rolling with the favorite. Not because of how Pitt played Notre Dame last week. Pitt was outgained in that game by more than 200 yards and ND coughed up two red-zone turnovers. Pitt had no business being in that game.

    Pitt is not a good team, just average. But they have some things working for them tonight:

    -UCONN has ZERO rushing attack.
    -UCONN's coach is a joke and should not be coaching at the Division 1 level.
    -UCONN's QB Whitmer is a turnover machine, while Pitt's QB Susneri doesn't make mistakes and completes 69% of his passes.

    Pittsburgh needs to win 2 of their last three games to become bowl eligible. They have Rutgers still (probably a loss) so they need to win tonight and against USF even though they are in an emotional letdown spot tonight. Oh well, man up and get your shit together Pittsburgh! Meanwhile, UCONN knows they are not bowling this year. (still has to play Louisville and Cinci).

    I like Pitt's freshman RB Shell (#3 freshman running back in the nation). And I like that RB Graham has finally looked like his 2011 self these last two weeks. Look for them and Susneri to get this done tonight.

    Pasquoloni is 2-5 ATS this year and was 4-8 ATS last year. I look for him to be fired at the end of the year. UCONN can do better. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS overall.

    Predicted score:
    Pitt 24
    UCONN 20

    PITT -3
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 11-09-12 12:10 PM #2
    hougigo
    hougigo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-12
    Posts: 3,665
    Betpoints: 0

    No matter how I look at UConn..... I don't see a chance.
    I'm on them too, but took the ML and 3.5 spread in some cases.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 11-09-12 12:14 PM #3
    BeantownBlue
    BeantownBlue's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-12
    Posts: 248
    Betpoints: 607

    I agree. Pitt all the way.
    Pound it hard. This is a no brainer. Don't overthink this. Just hit it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 11-09-12 12:19 PM #4
    Stack-N-Chips
    Stack-N-Chips's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-05-12
    Posts: 144
    Betpoints: 0

    I agree.. PITT rolls on this one..
    I also like a small play on the UNDER
    PITT wins 27-13
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 11-09-12 12:24 PM #5
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    We've been on the same side all week. Let's cash again.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 11-09-12 12:25 PM #6
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    The road favorite has never covered in this series. Not once! While that should change tonight I just have a weird feeling about uconn. First time in awhile we are on different sides. GL man
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 11-09-12 01:07 PM #7
    whatdafuxup
    whatdafuxup's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-08
    Posts: 1,307
    Betpoints: 692

    On it!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 11-09-12 01:50 PM #8
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    PITT will start sluggish and probably flat. No worries. UCONN gave up their season weeks ago and will also play like shit. These are two teams in a bad mental place, but PITT can still bowl and they make fewer mistakes.

    PITT will pull it out in the 2h.
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 11-09-12 at 02:35 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 11-09-12 02:02 PM #9
    eeezzzz
    eeezzzz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-12
    Posts: 703
    Betpoints: 7391

    I'm gonna have to pass on Pit. I bet against them earlier in the season when they played VT and got burned. I will be rooting for you to cover though. gl
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 11-09-12 02:14 PM #10
    BlitzTheBooks
    BlitzTheBooks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-05-12
    Posts: 472
    Betpoints: 1212

    Right there with ya. Had them at close to -10
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 11-09-12 02:37 PM #11
    HatersGonnaHate
    HatersGonnaHate's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-10-12
    Posts: 876
    Betpoints: 272

    yep pitt all the way
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 11-09-12 02:48 PM #12
    Spedizzo
    Spedizzo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-11
    Posts: 1,557
    Betpoints: 158

    Pitt wins by 2 or 3 if they win at all
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 11-09-12 02:49 PM #13
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    http://boston.sbnation.com/2012/10/1...aul-pasqualoni
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 11-09-12 02:56 PM #14
    Surebet
    Utah Ute
    Surebet's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-29-08
    Posts: 691
    Betpoints: 323

    Duely Noted. I think Pittsburgh U at -3.5 is a deal. NO WAY PIT LOSES THIS GAME TONIGHT. They will pound the ground on running game, you'll just see. Also OVER looks good!!! It's Gonna be a cold one in Hartford with kickoff temp of 42 degrees. My Pick tonight: Pitt +points. Best of Luck Fellas.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 11-09-12 03:02 PM #15
    BMoreBird
    Update your status
    BMoreBird's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-26-12
    Posts: 889
    Betpoints: 0

    uconn is terrible. i just looked and its at 3.5... wasnt it pitt-1 yesterday?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 11-09-12 03:12 PM #16
    kobstopa
    kobstopa's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-11
    Posts: 2,965
    Betpoints: 3520

    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    I'm buying half a point and rolling with the favorite. Not because of how Pitt played Notre Dame last week. Pitt was outgained in that game by more than 200 yards and ND coughed up two red-zone turnovers. Pitt had no business being in that game.

    Pitt is not a good team, just average. But they have some things working for them tonight:

    -UCONN has ZERO rushing attack.
    -UCONN's coach is a joke and should not be coaching at the Division 1 level.
    -UCONN's QB Whitmer is a turnover machine, while Pitt's QB Susneri doesn't make mistakes and completes 69% of his passes.

    Pittsburgh needs to win 2 of their last three games to become bowl eligible. They have Rutgers still (probably a loss) so they need to win tonight and against USF even though they are in an emotional letdown spot tonight. Oh well, man up and get your shit together Pittsburgh! Meanwhile, UCONN knows they are not bowling this year. (still has to play Louisville and Cinci).

    I like Pitt's freshman RB Shell (#3 freshman running back in the nation). And I like that RB Graham has finally looked like his 2011 self these last two weeks. Look for them and Susneri to get this done tonight.

    Pasquoloni is 2-5 ATS this year and was 4-8 ATS last year. I look for him to be fired at the end of the year. UCONN can do better. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS overall.

    Predicted score:
    Pitt 24
    UCONN 20

    PITT -3
    wooho. Megatron
    l am down with you too, I had Pittsburgh -3.5
    parlay 4 unit on Pitt -3.5 x zalgiris +5.5. To win 14 unit
    zalgiris have just won.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 11-09-12 03:15 PM #17
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    Quote Originally Posted by BMoreBird View Post
    uconn is terrible. i just looked and its at 3.5... wasnt it pitt-1 yesterday?
    No! Opened at 3.5 and hasn't moved, even with 90% on pitt
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 11-09-12 03:25 PM #18
    Surebet
    Utah Ute
    Surebet's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-29-08
    Posts: 691
    Betpoints: 323

    Quote Originally Posted by Bbfromgpt View Post
    No! Opened at 3.5 and hasn't moved, even with 90% on pitt
    Wynn Vegas opened at -4.5 Pitt;
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 11-09-12 04:21 PM #19
    Ron29301
    This is What I Do Do...
    Ron29301's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-11
    Posts: 2,311
    Betpoints: 364

    Lets get it Machine.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 11-09-12 04:32 PM #20
    DennisT
    DennisT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-11-09
    Posts: 2,010
    Betpoints: 4946

    So Be It, Pitt -3 is the play, Luck to all!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 11-09-12 04:40 PM #21
    Aaron Stasko
    Aaron Stasko's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-12
    Posts: 335
    Betpoints: 712

    lets hear some predicted scores on game...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 11-09-12 04:45 PM #22
    BennyFang
    BennyFang's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 10582

    Pitt 17
    UConn 9
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 11-09-12 04:49 PM #23
    Aaron Stasko
    Aaron Stasko's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-12
    Posts: 335
    Betpoints: 712

    pitt 20
    uconn 17
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 11-09-12 05:23 PM #24
    kobstopa
    kobstopa's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-11
    Posts: 2,965
    Betpoints: 3520

    23-13 Pittsburgh
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 11-09-12 05:26 PM #25
    WinningIsKeY
    WinningIsKeY's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-11
    Posts: 1,200
    Betpoints: 1

    28-7 pittsburgh
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 11-09-12 05:40 PM #26
    BlitzTheBooks
    BlitzTheBooks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-05-12
    Posts: 472
    Betpoints: 1212

    24-20 Pitt
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 11-09-12 05:48 PM #27
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    17-16 Uconn
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 11-09-12 06:39 PM #28
    Pivotpoint
    Pivotpoint's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-06
    Posts: 1,762
    Betpoints: 3817

    Well Machine, went against you last night. Same side tonight.

    I bet Pitt earlier and just logged into SBR.

    Live in Ct and UCONN offense is horrible.

    I'll contribute some brief stats from my earlier work that helped me make my decision.

    Huskies 14 ppg last 8 . Shocking 8 ppg last 4

    Huskies 49 rushing yards per game last 4.

    Huskie QB Whitmer is horrible. 7 int 's vs 13 td.

    Home team usually wins these, but I'm on the visitors tonight. Series host (9-2)

    Sunseri lit those huskies up last year.

    Last year Pitt - 10
    Pitt won 35-20
    Pitt 529 -316 yd edge, Sunseri 29 of 42 for 419 PYs.
    Uconn has a good trend as a home dog. I see nothing else
    that warrants backing them with $'s

    Score guess.

    Pitt 24 Uconn 13


    gl
    Last edited by Pivotpoint; 11-09-12 at 06:42 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 11-09-12 08:01 PM #29
    kobstopa
    kobstopa's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-11
    Posts: 2,965
    Betpoints: 3520

    Pittsburge is already drawn dead. Oh well there go my 4 unit. on to next the bet.
    Last edited by kobstopa; 11-09-12 at 09:41 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 11-09-12 08:05 PM #30
    falconticket
    falconticket's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-05-10
    Posts: 3,413
    Betpoints: 1762

    Good night to ya
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 11-09-12 08:06 PM #31
    ColdBeerHere
    Tailing Wilson
    ColdBeerHere's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 3,626
    Betpoints: 8151

    Op...i see you with different threads all over but do you have a daily thread somewhere ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 11-10-12 02:06 AM #32
    Machine Choice
    Machine Choice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-12-08
    Posts: 3,997
    Betpoints: 2736

    I didn't get to watch the game but I just read about it. Looks like Pitt didn't give a shit until the fourth qtr and then it was too late. Hangover worse than I expected.Pitt just cost me almost $600
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 11-10-12 02:15 AM #33
    Urbanwildlife
    Urbanwildlife's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-11
    Posts: 5,958
    Betpoints: 0

    You are absolutely correct Machine Choice. No worries, as I am sure you will be going to the pay window tomorrow many times!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | College Football Betting | Next Thread »