[ChalkyDog]

It is what it is, I throw a bunch of relevant numbers into a few different formulas, and it shits out the following lines:

101 ARK ST
102 ULL -5.5
105 CLEMSON
106 WAKE FOREST +15
107 CINCY
108 LOUISVILLE -9.5
109 NEVADA
110 AIR FORCE +5
111 NAVY
112 E CAR -6.5
113 UMASS
114 VANDY -31.5
115 OHIO
116 MIAMI OH +11
117 BALL ST
118 ARMY +8
119 AKRON
120 C MICH -5
121 E MICH
122 B.GREEN -9
123 NO ILL
124 W MICH +7.5
125 TEMPLE
126 PITT -9.5
127 INDIANA - PK
128 ILL - PK
129 PURDUE
130 MINN +3
131 IOWA
132 NW -7.5
133 DUKE
134 FLA ST -22
135 MARYLAND
136 B. COLLEGE +1
137 MISS ST
138 ALABAMA -21.5
139 UTAH ST
140 UTSA +24
141 HAWAII
142 COLORADO ST -5
143 BAYLOR
144 IOWA ST -2
145 TEXAS A&M
146 AUBURN +9
147 CAL
148 UTAH -1.5
149 TEXAS
150 KANSAS +20.5
151 MICH ST
152 WISC -6.5
153 COLORADO
154 OREGON -53
155 NC ST
156 N. CAROLINA -4
157 BOISE ST
158 WYOMING +21.5
159 UTEP
160 HOUSTON -10
161 BYU
162 G.TECH -6
163 FLORIDA
164 GEORGIA +9.5
165 KENTUCKY
166 MISSOURI -15.5
167 UCLA
168 ASU -10.5
169 USC
170 ARIZONA +3.5
171 KENT ST
172 RUTGERS -13.5
173 TEXAS ST
174 SJ ST -15.5
175 WASH ST
176 STANFORD -29
177 OHIO ST -4
178 PENN ST
179 OREGON ST
180 WASH +5
181 TEXAS TECH
182 KSU -11.5
183 SYRACUSE
184 USF -3
185 TCU
186 OKLA ST -12.5
187 UCF
188 MARSHALL +2
189 TOLEDO
190 BUFFALO +10
191 TENN
192 SOUTH CAR -14
193 MISS
194 ARK -6.5
195 LA TECH
196 NEW MEX ST +29
197 NOTRE DAME
198 OKLAHOMA -13.5
199 UAB
200 TULANE +10
201 MEMPHIS
202 SMU -21
203 SO MISS
204 RICE -3
205 MICH
206 NEBRASKA +4
207 UNLV
208 SD ST -18
209 FRESNO
210 NEW MEXICO +15
211 S ALABAMA
212 UL-MONROE -24
213 WKU
214 FIU +8
215 NO TEXAS
216 MID TENN ST -3
217 TROY
218 FLA ATL +10

Good luck this weekend, Gents!

[M.W.]

Good luck.

[bane]

You create your own lines & then what? How many games do you end up playing, on average?
I create expected lines Sunday & compare to Vegas Monday. Only for 5-10 games. Practice capping. Play whatever matches or is a better value than my lines.

Just curious. BOL

[ChalkyDog]

You create your own lines & then what? How many games do you end up playing, on average?
I create expected lines Sunday & compare to Vegas Monday. Only for 5-10 games. Practice capping. Play whatever matches or is a better value than my lines.

Just curious. BOL

Basically all I do is compile the data in an excel sheet, so as it is rather automated by formula at that point - and then find value between my line and the ones being offered (which is also automated via conditional formatting).

Before I used to do this, I had anywhere around 20 plays on a given weekend, and more when basketball became part of the equation.

On average this season, I have maybe 7-10 value lines, which gets sorted to maybe 5-6 plays per week in football after I start doing some situational capping.

The trick is figuring out which data you think you need to find an edge, be it a power rating, or an average of power ratings, or the usage of physical stats, or a combination of them all. Once you got that, it takes a few hours to make a workable spreadsheet.

Last season, I didn't automate it like I do now, and used to do exactly what you are doing. Find matchups I like, then run the numbers just for those games - because capping every game individually would take all week long.

This way, you are much more likely to find hidden value in games you would have never looked. Takes anywhere between 1 to 1.5 hrs to do the whole card to include NFL now.

If you have any working knowledge of excel or access to a degree, you are more than likely to do it much more efficiently than I did. It took me about a week to figure out this fukking sheet - and I bet if I showed someone versed in excel what I go about on an average week - they would have a shit fit.

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice work....

Makes all my bets look good...

Oklahoma, ASU, Wiscy, Louisville...

[D Med]

This is very interesting. Your Florida line is close to what I was expecting for the game this week. When I saw a lower line, I pounded it. Good luck to you this week .