1. #1
    Jeff Grant
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    College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions

    Picks and Predictions on Thursday's SBR Forum Radio Show: http://bit.ly/R1AcwZ


    Virginia Tech vs North Carolina


    Virginia Tech has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it comes off a 27-24 setback to the Cincinnati Bearcats as 6.5-point road favorites. The Hokies are looking to start fast this week, something they haven’t done during the 2012 college football season. “Well, we discussed that as a staff and we’re going to keep it within our staff and try to do better this week,” commented Hokies head coach Frank Beamer. Virginia Tech is 7-4 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, while the UNDER is 7-4 in that situation.

    The Hokies have a great opportunity to bounce back, considering they’ve won all 13 of their ACC games in the state of North Carolina, while also winning 23 straight road conference openers. Virginia Tech has won seven of eight meetings in this particular series since joining its current conference, including a 24-21 win as 9.5-point home favorites last year, while the UNDER has cashed in the last five overall meetings. Four of the last five games in the series have been decided by seven points or less.

    North Carolina has won three games by a combined total of 149 points, while its two losses were decided by just six points. The Tar Heels really get things going in the second half, outscoring opponents by a 99-10 margin, including a 66-0 mark in the final 15 minutes. The program is seeking its first home win in this particular series since 1938, losing all five tries since that point in time. North Carolina is 9-5 ATS as a home favorite, including a perfect 3-0 ATS this year.

    The Tar Heels have gone with a balanced approach in terms of having success on the field under first-year head coach Larry Fedora, ranking second in the league in scoring offense and second in scoring defense. North Carolina set a single-game school record for points with 66 last week against the Idaho Vandals, as it has out-gained four of five opponents on the year. Tailback Giovani Bernard is a difference-maker for this squad, scoring 21 touchdowns in 16 career games.

    -Frank Beamer is 31-14 ATS after playing a non-conference game
    -Hokies 27-9 ATS in ACC road games since 2004
    -Visitor is on a 6-0 ATS run

    Arizona vs Stanford

    Arizona will play its third straight game against a Top 25 opponent for the second consecutive season, as the program did just that in three games last September. The Wildcats will look to snap their two-game losing streak, which includes a 38-35 setback to the Oregon State Beavers as 2.5-point home favorites last week. “Losing is losing,” commented Wildcats first-year head coach Rich Rodriguez. The program is 40-99-1 all-time against teams ranked in the AP poll. Arizona is 5-14 ATS in conference action the last two-plus seasons, which is important to note when making your college football picks this weekend.

    The Wildcats have been getting tremendous offensive production from quarterback Matt Scott, who leads the Pac-12 and ranks fifth nationally with 1,608 passing yards. He has been dealing with a hip and ankle injury in recent weeks, which has limited his dual-threat ability. Wide receiver Dan Buckner was his main target versus the Beavers, finishing with six catches for 119 yards. Sophomore running back Ka’Deem Carey is also a player to watch, leading the team with a career-high 538 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. It’s imperative that this team gets off to a fast start, as its scored just 20 of its 174 points in the opening 15 minutes.

    Stanford will look to put its first loss of the season in the rear-view mirror, as it was handed a 17-13 defeat by the Washington Huskies as seven-point road favorites. “We kept the defense out there too long,” stated Cardinal head coach David Shaw. The Cardinal were unable to get their powerful running game going, finishing with just 65 yards on the ground, which was shocking due to the school-record 446 it racked up in the same matchup just a year ago. Stanford is 4-0 ATS at home with a total of 52.5 to 56, with the OVER going 3-1 in that situation.

    The Cardinal have won 16 of their last 17 home games, as it looks to even up this series in the 28th all-time meeting. Stanford has won seven of the last nine matchups, which includes convincing wins in the last two by a 79-27 margin. Defense is the name of the game in Palo Alto, with the unit ranking third nationally in allowing just 65 rushing yards per game. The program is one of just six to hold each of its opponents to fewer than 20 points in games this season, while surrendering just 10 in the first quarter.

    -Wildcats are 10-1 ATS as conference dogs of four or more points when playing with revenge
    -Cardinal 3-9 ATS before playing the Fighting Irish


    Georgia Tech vs Clemson


    Georgia Tech hits the road after splitting its four-game homestand, as it looks for its second-straight victory in this series. The Yellow Jackets earned a 31-17 win over the Tigers as 3.5-point home underdogs last year, as they managed to gain 383 yards on the ground. The program holds a 50-25-2 all-time advantage in this matchup, with wins in five of the last six meetings. Paul Johnson’s squad has rushed for more yards than any FBS team since 2008. Georgia Tech is 0-2 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite the last two-plus years, which is an important factor when making your college football predictions this weekend.

    The Yellow Jackets are looking to snap a significant two-game skid, as they suffered back-to-back losses at home on consecutive weeks for the first time since 1988. Quarterback Tevin Washington is the leader of an explosive offense, scoring seven of the team’s last eight touchdowns on the ground. With even regular season games remaining, Washington’s 11 rushing touchdowns are the seventh-most ever by an ACC signal caller. In five seasons in Atlanta, Johnson has led the team to a superb 12-5 record in games decided by five point or less.

    Clemson is listed as a double-digit home favorite in the Week 6 college football odds due to an explosive offense, as it returns home after splitting a pair of road games that saw the unit score 82 combined points. The Tigers haven’t been very good on the defensive end, which was apparent in their 49-37 loss to the Florida State Seminoles, as they allowed 667 yards. The team is averaging 40.2 points per game, which is just above Georgia Tech’s number for the year (39.2). Clemson is 4-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points, with the UNDER going 4-1 in those contests.

    The Tigers have an incredible passing game with quarterback Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins, but running back Andre Ellington deserves some praise. He has compiled 2,870 rushing yards during his career, which ranks sixth in school history. The senior gained a career high 264 all-purpose yards in last week’s 45-31 win over the Boston College Eagles as seven-point road favorites. Twelve of the last 17 meetings in this series have been decided by five or fewer points.

    -Tigers are 10-3 ATS as conference favorites of seven or more points under Dabo Swinney, 7-0 SU and ATS at home with revenge
    -Yellow Jackets 1-4 ATS in conference road games when facing a revenge-minded team
    -Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS as double-digit underdog since 2006
    -Underdog is 19-4 ATS in this series since 1990, 16 of L23 meetings by five or fewer points


    LSU vs Florida (Couple of Previews)

    Tigers have risen to the occasion before

    LSU has been a bit flat in winning its last two games against the Towson Tigers and Auburn Tigers, but failed to cover the spread by an average of 21 points in those contests. Sports bettors should be too concerned with the current number that’s listed on the college football odds page, as the Tigers have covered both of their opportunities as road favorites of seven or fewer points the last two-plus seasons.

    Gators have enjoyed a nice start in SEC play

    Florida certainly has an advantage coming into this high-profile affair due to having an extra week of rest, which could prove to be the difference as the program looks to improve its conference record to 4-0. Don’t overlook their 38-0 win over the Kentucky Wildcats as 23.5-point home favorites, as the Gators performed at a high level despite being in a classic letdown spot after road wins over the Tennessee Volunteers and Texas A&M Aggies.

    Quite a run against conference opponents

    The Tigers have compiled a solid 12-7 against-the-spread (ATS) record against SEC foes since the 2010 campaign, while they’ve won nine straight in games that actually count toward the league standings. LSU deserves to dress up as a road favorite in this contest, considering its won seven consecutive games against SEC East opponents, including last year’s 41-11 victory as 14-point home favorites in this series.

    Saturday’s home underdog needs to keep it close going into halftime

    This may be perceived as an obvious statement, but I feel the Gators need to go into halftime with a lead or slight deficit to pull off an upset in this contest. Florida has outscored its opponents by a sizable 64-13 margin in the final 30 minutes this year, as the offense has averaged 229.5 yards and 19:02 in time-of-possession in that situation.

    Winning the turnover battle

    During the Les Miles era in Baton Rouge, the Tigers have tallied a 39-4 record when winning the turnover battle, which includes a perfect 10-0 mark on their way to the BCS Championship Game a year ago. The Gators must continue practicing ball security, as they’ve lost just one fumble on the season, which is second-best among SEC teams.

    Prediction

    I’m going to suggest that readers back the Gators in this spot when making their college football predictions this weekend, as I feel the Tigers quarterback Zach Mettenberger will make a couple of crucial mistakes on the road. LSU was bailed out by having two capable signal-callers in 2011, but Miles has one guy under center this year.

    Tigers will be ready to play

    LSU’s performance last week in a 38-22 victory over the Towson Tigers as 43-point home favorites may be alarming, but college football handicappers need to realize that the team was playing in a major SEC sandwich. The Tigers earned a hard-fought 12-10 victory over the Auburn Tigers as 18-point road favorites a week before that particular contest. Expect the defensive intensity to be turned up a notch with the calendar moving from September to October, as the UNDER is 8-3-1 in the Tigers last 12 games played in this particular month.

    Gators have played lower-scoring games off a bye week

    Florida has fallen short of the total in three of its first four games during the 2012 college football season, which is important to note when looking at the current betting odds. The UNDER is also 9-4 in the Gators last 13 games following a bye week, which includes slipping under a total of 46.5 in last year’s 24-20 loss to the Georgia Bulldogs on Oct. 29.

    Miles is certainly going to dial up the run

    Les Miles has won 18 consecutive regular season games, as he often relies upon a punishing running attack and strong defense. I don’t see the game plan changing in this spot, especially with young quarterback Zach Mettenberger committing five turnovers in five games. LSU ranks second in the conference in gaining 229.6 yards per game on the ground.

    Driskel will be challenged from the opening snap

    Jeff Driskel has shown glimpses of greatness in leading the Gators to a perfect 4-0 record, which includes a 3-0 mark versus conference opponents, but he’s yet to face an opponent of this caliber. Florida has been one of the more balanced offensive units in the country, averaging 898 rushing yards and 732 passing yards, but he’s going to have to make plays in this contest. Florida hasn’t thrown for more than 154 yards in the last three meetings in this series.

    Playing in the Sunshine State has led to low-scoring games

    Sports bettors will find that the UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven series meetings in Florida, which fits nicely with the Tigers ranking fourth nationally in total defense, allowing just 217.8 yards per game. Pay attention to the second-half total when its released, considering the Gators haven’t allowed any points in the fourth quarter, while the Tigers are usually very conservative offensively in the final 15 minutes.

    -Gators 16-6-1 ATS as SEC underdogs
    -Gators 1-9 ATS versus good rush defenses (allow 120 ypg or less)
    -Tigers are 8-0 ATS as road favorites of 6.5 or less points


    Oklahoma vs Texas Tech


    -Gone 10-3 in Big 12 road openers under Bob Stoops
    -Own an 18-0 record in games immediately following a regular season loss, haven’t lost consecutive games in the same season since 2003
    -Never suffered back-to-back Big 12 Conference losses in the Stoops era
    -Stoops is 14-5 in the regular season following a bye week
    -Gone 8-5 versus Texas Tech under Stoops (2-4 on the road), lost three consecutive games in Lubbock, average margin of 36.3 to 23.7 ppg


    -Ended Oklahoma’s 39-game home win streak
    -Along with Texas, only team in the country to beat the Sooners five times with Stoops on the sideline
    -Gone 12-4 in Big 12 home openers, looking to snap a two-game skid, never faced Oklahoma in this spot
    -QB Seth Doege is taking comprehensive exams on Friday, final hurdle before earning his master’s degree in December


    -Tubberville 0-4 SUATS as a single-digit home underdog versus a revenge-minded foe
    -Stoops 16-5 ATS off a conference loss
    -UNDER is 9-1 in Oklahoma’s last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
    -Red Raiders held Cyclones to 189 total yards last week
    -Sooners are 7-13 ATS before Texas
    -Only second game in four weeks for OU



    Washington State vs Oregon State


    Washington State will attempt to bounce back from a 51-26 setback to the Oregon Ducks as 30.5-point neutral-site underdogs last week, as it has proven victorious in two of its last three trips to Corvallis. The Cougars know they face a major challenge in this contest, but are capable of pulling off an upset due to being picked ahead of this Saturday’s opponent in the Pac-12 preseason media poll. “They play really hard,” stated Leach about the Beavers. “They are a good team.” Washington State is 7-3 ATS in October the last two-plus seasons, which is an important betting trend when making your college football picks.

    The Cougars are only averaging 45.6 rushing yards per game, which isn’t likely to improve against a defense that’s allowing just 83.4 on the season. Wide receiver Marquess Wilson will need to be great in this affair, as he recently broke the school record with 2,893 career receiving yards. He leads the entire conference with 499 yards in that particular category in 2012. On the other side of the ball, Washington State is tied for third in the Pac-12 with 16 sacks.

    Oregon State’s three-game win streak to open the year is its longest since a four-game run during the 2009 campaign. The Beavers will need to sure up a secondary that allowed the Arizona Wildcats to throw for 403 passing yards last week, as they now rank 113th nationally in that category. “If you are not blitzing, you need linebackers to help in coverage,” stated Beavers head coach Mike Riley. It’s important to note that the program is one of just four that has played a single home game this year. Oregon State is 2-5 ATS as a home favorite the last two-plus seasons, which is something to consider when glancing over the college football odds.

    The Beavers have won eight of the last 12 overall meetings in this series, including last year’s 44-21 victory as three-point road underdogs, with quarterback Sean Mannion throwing for a then career-high 376 yards. On the other side of the ball, Oregon State has started fast in limiting the opposition, as it is one of four programs not to allow a first-quarter point. The unit is second in the nation in allowing opponents to convert just 20.5 percent of its third downs.

    -Beavers are 0-4 SUATS in their last four tries as favorites
    -Road team is 5-1 SUATS in the series
    -Mike Riley is 29-12 ATS in October
    -Favorite is 14-6 ATS L20 meetings


    West Virginia vs Texas

    -Game comes down to three phases (rushing game, time-of-possession, turnovers)
    -Eight games between ranked teams have seen one side win all three phases this year - those teams are 7-1 ATS - covering the number by an average of 19.6 ppg
    -Only loss in that situation, West Virginia’s 70-63 win over Baylor
    -Game reminds me of Kansas State vs. Oklahoma this year
    -Dana Holgorsen - head coach or offensive coordinator, WVU (2011-current), Oklahoma State (2010), Houston (2008-09), Texas Tech (2005-2007)

    -Mountaineers 9-1 ATS as conference underdogs of eight or less points
    -Mountaineers are 11-0 ATS as conference dogs of 1.5 or more points
    -Mountaineers likely facing the best defense since losing to LSU last year
    -Longhorns are 2-8 ATS in Big 12 home openers
    -Mack Brown is 23-11 ATS off two or more consecutive OVERs




    Georgia vs South Carolina


    -Since 2011 - in 23 SEC games with a line of seven or fewer points - the team that wins the rushing battle has covered 20 of those 23 games (three spread losses by road favorites)

    Betting public loves a high-scoring offense

    Georgia is certainly an attractive side to wager due to the amount of points its offense is scoring, as the unit has scored 40-plus points in all five games during the 2012 college football season. In looking at the current betting odds, it’s clear that the Bulldogs are receiving a majority of the action, as they’ve moved from 2.5-point road underdogs to a pick ‘em at most sports books. Sports bettors should continue to monitor the line, considering the program is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) as a road underdog since 2010.

    Gamecocks have covered their last four games

    South Carolina suffered a spread loss in its 17-13 season-opening victory over the Vanderbilt Commodores as 6.5-point road favorites, but the team has grabbed the cash in its last four games. The Gamecocks have also managed to out-gain their last four opponents by a triple-digit margin. Head coach Steve Spurrier has led the program to a perfect 3-0 ATS record as a home favorite of three or fewer points.

    ESPN College GameDay hasn’t been kind to the Bulldogs

    There’s no doubt that this game will receive a considerable amount of action at the betting window, especially with ESPN College GameDay invading Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia, SC. Georgia has garnered a disappointing 3-9 straight-up record when being part of the featured attractive, but all three of those wins have come in true road games. It’s important to note that Bulldogs head coach Mark Richt is 3-4 in Top 10 matchups during his time in Athens.

    Battle of Top 10 teams

    The Gamecocks own a slight 4-3 edge against the Bulldogs when both teams come in with a national ranking, which includes a 3-0 mark when playing in front of their own fan base. Don’t place too much emphasis on this statistic, considering that Saturday’s host has never won a game featuring two teams with a Top 10 ranking.

    -Gamecocks are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS versus conference teams playing with revenge
    -Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS as underdogs over the last three seasons
    -OVER is 15-5 when the Gamecocks face great offenses (average 6.25 or more ypp)
    -Bulldogs are 4-13-1 ATS versus ranked teams since 2008





    Nebraska vs Ohio State


    -Earned a come-from-behind 30-27 victory over two-time defending Big Ten champion Wisconsin last week
    -Scored the game’s final 20 points to post the second-largest comeback in school history
    -Scored 30-plus points in each of its first five games this year
    -Limited Wisconsin to 56 rushing yards on 41 carries
    -Gone 2-2 in conference road openers under Bo Pelini
    -Pelini facing his alma mater

    -Own a 7-3 all-time record in home night games
    -Gone 65-19-5 in Homecoming games
    -Led 27-6 in the third quarter in last year’s meeting, only to lose 34-27
    -Dual-threat Braxton Miller will test Pelini’s defense (UCLA as an example)
    -Scored on 15 consecutive trips in the red zone (13 TDs, 2 FGs)

    -Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS at home with Big Ten revenge
    -Meyer is 9-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog



    Miami FL vs Notre Dame
    (Soldier Field)

    -Play on the road for the fourth time in six games
    -Gone 7-16-1 all-time in this series, losing the two previous neutral site meetings
    -Gained 651 total yards versus NC State last week, third-most in history
    -In each of their wins, made up a deficit of at least seven points
    -Freshman RB Duke Johnson leads the ACC in averaging 184.0 all-purpose yards
    -Junior QB Stephen Morris threw for a school and ACC record 566 passing yards

    -10 players from the Chicagoland area, most of one metropolitan area
    -Totaled eight interceptions in 2012, equal the number of all of last season
    -Rank third in turnover margin (+9), ranked 120th at this point last year (-10)
    -Allowed zero rushing touchdowns
    -Haven’t trailed in a game this year
    -Own an 18-6-2 record when playing inside a current NFL stadium
    -Unbeaten 9-0-2 in 11 previous games inside Soldier Field

    -Fighting Irish are 8-1 ATS as neutral-site favorites of 27 points or less
    -Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS versus ACC opponents as a favorite of seven or more points
    -Al Golden is 9-0 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points


    Kansas vs Kansas State

    Wildcats may come out flat after the bye

    Kansas State came away with a 24-19 win over the Oklahoma Sooners as 15.5-point road underdogs on Sept. 22, which could lead to some trouble in this particular spot, considering the program is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) as home favorites of 21.5 to 28 points the last two-plus seasons. The Wildcats have had 18 previous mid-season bye weeks under head coach Bill Snyder, posting a 13-5 record in that situation, but they’ve failed to cover three out of their last four with extra rest.

    Jayhawks will need to force turnovers to pull off the upset

    Kansas has dropped three consecutive games heading into this in-state rivalry, including a 30-23 loss to the Northern Illinois Huskies as seven-point road underdogs last time out. The Jayhawks have been out-gained and the UNDER has cashed in all three of those contests. In making your Week 6 college football predictions, I suggest taking a long look at the road underdog in this affair, considering it leads the Big 12 in forced turnovers. Kansas ranks ninth nationally with a turnover margin of plus-1.50, which also leads the conference.

    Scoring first is important for Saturday’s host

    Dating back to last season, the Wildcats are a perfect 8-0 when scoring the game’s first points, which is a statistic that college football handicappers should write down if the participate in live-betting during games. Due to Kansas State’s 135-26 record when hitting the scoreboard first since the 1990 campaign, I suggest looking at a proposition wager in this category. Snyder’s team has drawn first blood in the last three meetings in this series.

    Falling short on the road

    The Jayhawks have lost 14 consecutive road games, which is certainly one of the main reasons why their large road underdogs on the college football odds page. Kansas has compiled a disappointing 3-6-1 ATS record away from Lawrence over the last two-plus seasons, which includes spread defeats in three of four tries when getting 21.5 or more points.

    Klein is making a case for the Heisman Trophy

    Collin Klein is one of the better dual-threat quarterbacks in major college football, entering this week with 758 passing yards and 289 rushing yards. The senior is currently the fourth-choice (+800) in the betting market to capture the 2012 Heisman Trophy. He amassed 287 total yards in last year’s 59-21 win over the Jayhawks as 10.5-point road favorites.

    -Wildcats are 9-1 ATS as conference favorites of 15 or more points
    -Wildcats are 14-4 ATS in the last 18 series meetings


    Michigan vs Purdue

    Michigan had a week off after suffering a listless 13-6 loss to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as six-point road underdogs, but it’s important to note that the squad actually won the statistical battle in that contest. “We know what we have to do,” commented Wolverines offensive tackle Taylor Lewan. “This team’s got a lot of character.” The Wolverines are 43-14 all-time in this series, including a 20-5 mark in the last 25 meetings. Michigan is 5-12 ATS after the first month of the season the last two-plus years.

    The Wolverines have won eight of their last nine games following the bye week, which includes a 36-14 win over the Boilermakers as 14-point home favorites last year. Michigan was unable to overcome five first-half turnovers against the Irish, especially with star quarterback Denard Robinson totaling just 138 yards through the air and 90 on the ground. There’s no doubt that the team needs to continue running the football, totaling over 150 yards rushing in the last three games. Robinson plays a major part in that statistic, leading the Big Ten Conference in total offense.

    Purdue opens conference play after going 3-1 against non-conference foes, as the team is averaging 51 points per game when playing inside Ross-Ade Stadium. The Boilermakers have a legitimate chance of winning the Big Ten this year, considering Ohio State and Penn State are both ineligible to earn that honor. “We can’t worry about anyone else,” stated Boilermakers receiver Antavian Edison. The entire roster is playing with great confidence, especially with the program winning back-to-back games for the first time since 2010. Purdue is 3-3 ATS as a home underdog over the last two-plus seasons, while the “under” is 3-2-1 in that situation.

    The Boilermakers own a disappointing 47-64-5 record in Big Ten openers, but have won 12 of 15 since the 1997 campaign. Offensively, the team has been incredibly balanced in front of its fans, gaining 238.7 rushing and 283.3 yards passing. On the other side of the ball, Purdue has demonstrated the ability to get after quarterbacks, entering 25th nationally in averaging 2.8 sacks per game.

    -Denard Robinson has scored one TD, three INTs in three games in this series
    -Wolverines rank 114th in TO margin
    -Home team is 9-3 ATS L12 meetings
    -Wolverines 1-7 ATS road favorites


    Vanderbilt vs Missouri

    Vanderbilt will face Saturday’s opponent for the first time since 1958, as it looks to bounce back from a humiliating 48-3 loss to the Georgia Bulldogs as 14.5-point road underdogs last week. The Commodores still have reasons to be optimistic, especially considering the team’s health at this stage of the season. “We’re pretty much injury-free,” stated Commodores head coach James Franklin. “Yeah, we’re healthy.” Three of the team’s early-season opponents are 5-0 heading into Week 6. Vanderbilt is 3-9 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, which is important to handicap when making your college football picks this week.

    The Commodores have one of the better running backs in the Southeastern Conference, with Zac Stacy ranking eighth in gaining 341 rushing yards. He sits fifth on the school’s career list with 2,343 yards, while also hitting pay dirt 21 times. Stacy’s 5.6-yard career average easily ranks as the highest mark in Vanderbilt history. Saturday’s game may come down to execution in the red zone, as the program ranks 102nd-nationally in efficiency in that category, scoring just four touchdowns in 15 tries.

    Missouri returns home after splitting a two-game road trip, as it picked up a 21-16 victory over the Central Florida Knights as 1.5-point underdogs last week. The Tigers will not leave the state until the calendar flips to November, which makes this stretch a crucial part of their 2012 campaign. Head coach Gary Pinkel has to be happy to see left tackle Elvis Fisher back in the fold, who has started 42 games during his career. “It helps us,” commented Pinkel this week. Missouri is 8-6 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons.

    The Tigers will be playing their second of three straight games against opponents coming off a bye, which could play an important part due to potential fatigue. Missouri has enjoyed quite a home field advantage at Faurot Field, posting a 51-19 record in that situation during the Pinkel era that started in 2001. Quarterback James Franklin will need to build off last week’s performance, as he completed 19-of-30 passes for 257 yards.

    -Commodores 2-10 ATS away, but 10-2 ATS in second of BB road games
    -Tigers are 5-12 ATS at home versus conference opponents


    UCLA vs California

    -RB Johnathan Franklin ranks fourth in the nation in averaging 139.4 rushing yards per game
    -Lead the Pac-12 and rank fourth nationally in turnovers gained (nine INTs, five fumbles)
    -13th in rushing offense, 19th in passing offense, join Oklahoma State as the only other school to rank in the top 20 in that category

    -Perfect 5-0 at home against UCLA
    -Facing their fourth consecutive opponent that has at least been receiving AP Top 25 votes
    -Despite a 1-4 record, all five games Cal has played has been within one score in the fourth quarter
    -No bye week on the schedule - follows regular season finale (season could get very long)

    -Bruins were listed as underdogs the previous eight meetings
    -Tedford is 6-21 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
    -Home team is 10-3 ATS in the series
    Last edited by Jeff Grant; 10-05-12 at 10:06 AM.

  2. #2
    og4667
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    great info thanks.

  3. #3
    Eric22174
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    I'm glad someone agrees with me on Florida, South Carolina and Texas. Since I been getting ripped for having them tied up in a parlay. Wasn't sure where what side you like with the Texas Tech game. GL.

  4. #4
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
    I'm glad someone agrees with me on Florida, South Carolina and Texas. Since I been getting ripped for having them tied up in a parlay. Wasn't sure where what side you like with the Texas Tech game. GL.
    We really didn't come up with a sure-fire pick on Thursday's radio show in the OU-Texas Tech game: http://bit.ly/R1AcwZ

  5. #5
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by og4667 View Post
    great info thanks.
    Appreciate the support - Good luck today

  6. #6
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
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    Capperspicks.com. That's a good site u got the info from, thanks

  7. #7
    BiffTFinancial
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    BOL, Jeff, good stuff and thanks for sharing your info.

  8. #8
    Jesse6878
    Need money for trip to Vegas
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    Thanks Jeff

  9. #9
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    BOL, Jeff, good stuff and thanks for sharing your info.
    You're welcome

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