I want to take a stab at medium sized parlay to try and hit a big payday and wanted to get the forum's take on the chances of it hitting. Granted, I'm not thinking larger than 50% as I know parlays have little chances of hitting, but I guess I'm trying to figure is it worth the risk or am just wasting $100 bucks.
CFB:
Florida ML
UGA ML
Miami FL ML
NFL:
Patriots ML
Cardinals ML
Broncos ML
Obviously, these are some close matchups and a lot of road teams so that does put a lot of risk into it. I feel the ones that will probably cost me are:
Miami FL (tough to beat KState at home and Miami's defense is a shell of what it was and there offense may not be able to move much against Kstate. However, at +220ish, I feel there could be a chance if they can get some early points)
Florida ML (line movement suggests that they could lose this one and maybe I'm playing Florida on name, but this is still SEC football and Florida knows how to win these type of road SEC games)
Broncos ML (my goal is to get to this game; if I can be alive at this stage of the parlay, I could easily hedge out and make some profit and would gladly take the chances of I can make it this far)
Any thoughts would be appreciated as always.
BOL to everyone today and tomrrow.