Found this stat..."Historically, college football underdog teams of +32 or higher have covered to the tune of 67%"
Week 1..
Buffalo +37.5 / Georgia
North Tx +43 / LSU
Hawaii +39.5 / USC
Tx St. +36.5 / Houston
Ark. St. +35.5 / Oregon
I can see all these teams getting their ass handed to them.