1. 01-09-12 04:54 PM #1
    Ch Br
    Ch Br's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-11
    Posts: 425
    Betpoints: 349

    Bama/LSU the real question ? ? ? ? ?

    Is it just me or everyone betting on the play of the last meeting between these two only??

    ALL the media does is say Bama dominated the O-Line but couldnt convert FG's.....

    If this is true where where were the TD's.....

    Now suddenly the top two defenses are supposed to give up a cumulative 40pts???? and everyone is looking at the over like its a gimme....

    call it LAST-BOWL-GAME-MANIA but I think Vegas simply auto inflated the line by ~7-8 pts to rake in money for the over, and that was when it started at 40...... so now@ 41.5 its practically 9, almost 10 pts over where it should be

    IMO the real line is closer to 3 and 3-4 fg's.... which would put it 30 lowest and 34 highest

    I currently dont have a fav side..... but when i look at it statistically this is the case:

    ________________________________________ __________

    LSU_____37 sacks, 18int, 3 tds on D ___ 16fg [3/4 over 40] & 62/63 xpts

    [of the 56 offense tds, 35 are rushing with 4 players having 7 or 8tds, Ware, Ford, Blue and Hilliard]

    Bama___26 sacks, 12 int, 3 tds on D allowed ___ 16fg [0/2 over 40] & 52/53 xpts

    [of the 49 offense tds, Richardson has 23.... so in essence stop him stop half the pts]

    ________________________________________ __________

    Translation: both teams are gonna attack primarily on the ground, because that is WHAT THEY KNOW and gonna chew up clock.... aka UNDER

    anyone agree with this any of this??? or u all caught up in the media scorefest ????
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-09-12 04:59 PM #2
    mikeewyn
    mikeewyn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-08-11
    Posts: 74
    Betpoints: 2651

    agree
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-09-12 05:03 PM #3
    letsgo
    letsgo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-10
    Posts: 2,204
    Betpoints: 30330

    I just watched ESPN for 3 hours and most people think it is going under, where are you hearing a media scorefest? Plus, I think 65% of bets are coming in on the under.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-09-12 05:05 PM #4
    Ch Br
    Ch Br's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-11
    Posts: 425
    Betpoints: 349

    Quote Originally Posted by letsgo View Post
    I just watched ESPN for 3 hours and most people think it is going under, where are you hearing a media scorefest? Plus, I think 65% of bets are coming in on the under.
    the line keeps going up and up and up ...... it takes a LOT of WEIGHT to move a line of this magnitude 1/2 a point

    plus many 'expert' cappers are saying OVER with the farm lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-09-12 05:06 PM #5
    Mikail
    Fader of GOY'S
    Mikail's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-09
    Posts: 21,689
    Betpoints: 0

    I think we will see defensive TD's tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-09-12 05:17 PM #6
    mikea33
    Why Canucks, why?
    mikea33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-11
    Posts: 2,149
    Betpoints: 287

    I am defiently leaning under....but all line movement makes it seem the sharps are on the over which worries me. they lose sometimes too. I think 1H over might be the play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | College Football Betting | Next Thread »