[Lazy-Man]

Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?

[Lazy-Man]

My system has 2 categories of net value; the higher the value, the less plays are available, but higher winning %.
5-0***
11-3*
Here are my remaining plays:

TxAM *
Utah ***
Illinois*
Van***
Hou***
SC***
Fl*
Or*
WVU*** (play changed due to ratings error)
KsSt*
LSU***

[betplom]

Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?

prolly not a good idea.

you can copy/paste the details though.

[Lazy-Man]

OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
Find what works best for you.*

[streak1234]

Very interesting. After the mini-bowl bash I've been taking, I would have wished to find you earlier. I wish you good luck because I will be riding with you.

[floridagolfer]

OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
Find what works best for you.*

Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.

[Prospects_]

Lang is on Clemson, so I hope this system is correct. Everyone is on Clemson, so WV may be the play.

[dom75]

Sounds interesting.... I'll be watchin this system

[DrStale]

Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.

Doubt he can explain further since he didnt write it

[Sniperpicks]

this comes out when there is like 6 of 35 games left?


comeon man !

[ttwarrior1]

the favorite? oh yeh great system

[StackinGreen]

Yes, systems that pick games that have already been played are generally pretty "good" ... what I can't figure out is how you missed even one, let alone 4?

[statnerds]

I actually do have a system that is 10-2 LY,

9-3 so far this season

and is 57-25 from 2005-2010

And there is no way in hell I would share it with any of you fukks or ever post it in a public forum.

[Landscaper]

I have a system that has a system

[Lazy-Man]

West Virginia covers. Unreal

[spankie]

lazy man

[Grits n' Gravy]

The Sagarin rating and strength of schedule system is nothing new. Had a few solid years and tanked badly 2 years ago if I recall correctly.

[Lazy-Man]

Again this ain't my system. Go on covers and under systems and strategies forum there's a guy that posted all the plays well before game time

[Grits n' Gravy]

jbragg at rx used to post them. People begged and when they hit rough patch he got shit on for just providing info people wanted.

[tony_come]

Smart money is on KSt

that's all I'm going to share

[Ace_of_Spades]

Oh boy

[NeverBackDown]

[raydog]

Smart money is on KSt

that's all I'm going to share

wrong so far... but hey, you had a 50/50 chance of looking like you had a clue

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Love this!!!!!

[flocko76]

so does the system like k state straight up or ats? I have arkansas -.5 in a teaser I have.

[Lazy-Man]

It's ats. And its only a 1* play. Again not my system and not taking any credit for it

[tony_come]

Raydog

Please take Arkansas

[frostno98]

Fading any of your posted plays would be a good system as well.

[the h man]

Does the play change to more stars now that the line has moved from +7.5 to +9.5?

[EddieMunster]

Interesting, but I think u should go back and look at at least last 2-3 bowl seasons to see if this years bowl results on that system might be an anomaly.

[khaden]

Smart money is on KSt

that's all I'm going to share

Who are you referring to-Lang? He is on KState

[tony_come]

whos lang

[thebestthereis]

if you ever bet the same pick as lang it is because of 1 of 2 things. you have dog shit for a brain or you want to lose money...or both. you don't have to fade him but you cannot be on the same pick.

[statnerds]

could not find my data at time of posting, so here is my 'system', which isn't really a system.

since 2004, Bowl Games only

70-21 SU

67-24 ATS

[Ace_of_Spades]

It was good until Lazy found it