Missouri/North Carolina under 53.......5 units

The Carolina defense had struggled for parts of the year, but they really turned it on down the stretch as they allowed just 19.3 ppg and 320.3 ypg in their last 3 games. Missouri comes in 57th in passing (236.8 ypg), but their bread and butter is their running games that ranks 11th putting up 236.5 ypg. The Tarheels can stop the run as they have allowed just 106.2 ypg on the ground (14th) and they have allowed just 3.3 ypc (15th), so i don't expect the Tigers to get those big explosive running plays they had this year, also the Tigers se the run to set up the pass and if they don't get the running game going then they may have to start throwing on first down more and that is not their game. The Tigers did put up 32.2 ppg on the year, but just 24 ppg in their last 3 games. The Heels also had problems scoring down the stretch, as they put up just 19.3 ppg in their last 3 games. The Heels can throw the ball (249.2 ypg), but this Missouri Defense has been tough of late vs the pass, allowing just 184 ypg through the air in their last 3 games. Overall this is a tough Missouri defense that started the year on a good note and ended on a good note, but they did have a 3 game stretch in the middle of the year vs Texas A&M, Oklahoma State and Baylor, in which they allowed 39.3, but the Heels do not have as strong an offense as those teams do. Both of these teams really pride themselves on defense and while they have struggled at times this year, I see both units stepping up big and keeping this one Under the total.