keenum is usually good for outscoring his opponent by a significant amount. just remember that the loss to a team as bad as UAB was an anomaly (southern miss). They have been successful and highscoring at many times this year and that is a big number houston would have to cover.
texans would be a nice underdog pick But TJ Yates is from georgia and very likely a Falcons fan.
Will it be windy? If so, hurts Houston wide open passing game.
Also, strong rumors AZ State is taking Houston's coach... that can really wipe out a teams morale... plenty of cases where teams fold when they hear their leader will betray them and will not admit it publicly.
I lean to taking the pts.
love houston laying the points. took a big parlay with the over. southern has a legit receiving core. both will put up a bunch of points. houstons backup cotton is a senior as well as keenum. once lead gets comfortable cotton will continue to put points on the board as they cover.