1. #36
    drew2
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    thanks for thepick john good luck

  2. #37
    Salvatore Bing
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    John - will you be posting your Bowl selections in this thread? Also, can I ask what your record was last season?

  3. #38
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salvatore Bing View Post
    John - will you be posting your Bowl selections in this thread? Also, can I ask what your record was last season?
    Bowl plays will start being released tonight or first thing in the morning. I have hit 60% ATS with bowls, but 2 seasons ago I had a miraculous 13-1 ATS run. But, PLEASE do not expect that this year. 60% ATS is nearly always my goal. Thanks

  4. #39
    cdnicholson
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    Hi John,

    Do you have ideas for Sam Houston game and WhiteWater?

    All your input is appreciated...

    TY,
    CDN

  5. #40
    Mr stickaho
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    looking forward to your picks for tomorrow games

  6. #41
    John Ryan
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    First 5* Bowl game release is on Utah State Saturday.
    Utah State can bet bet a pick -120 at Sportsinteraction. I believe you will see other books follow suit and move the line to pick-em as the afternoon wears on. Research is posted on the site. Thanks

  7. #42
    cantpickem
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    Quote Originally Posted by John Ryan View Post
    First 5* Bowl game release is on Utah State Saturday.
    Utah State can bet bet a pick -120 at Sportsinteraction. I believe you will see other books follow suit and move the line to pick-em as the afternoon wears on. Research is posted on the site. Thanks
    Hi John, This is one of my few posts in the forum. I was wondering why your selection is Utah St. Just curious. I've been looking at lines for the past two years and have believed that if the line drops then go with the dog unless the public is dropping the line. I haven't been able to get a good feel on whether or not the public is dropping the line or if the 'sharps' are influencing the line. thanks in advance

  8. #43
    rockhardfister
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    GA Southern/NDSU OVER 51...fast track indoors. NDSU hasnt seen the triple option this year and GSU will not be able to stop NDSU offense consistently.

  9. #44
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by cantpickem View Post
    Hi John, This is one of my few posts in the forum. I was wondering why your selection is Utah St. Just curious. I've been looking at lines for the past two years and have believed that if the line drops then go with the dog unless the public is dropping the line. I haven't been able to get a good feel on whether or not the public is dropping the line or if the 'sharps' are influencing the line. thanks in advance
    check out the lead article on this game in the College Football section of SBR and it is all there. Thanks

  10. #45
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by rockhardfister View Post
    GA Southern/NDSU OVER 51...fast track indoors. NDSU hasnt seen the triple option this year and GSU will not be able to stop NDSU offense consistently.
    Triple option is hard to defend if you have never seen it. G-tech is successful simply because of that fact.. It is not till later in the year when coaches have enough film and are able to teach defending the option that Tech begins to struggle. I like your thoughts

  11. #46
    Salvatore Bing
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    Is there a play tonight?

  12. #47
    John Ryan
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    OK. for the bowl game tonight. Take Florida International minus the four points as a 5* graded play. I see FI controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and and will have a significant advantage in time of possession. This is just supporting the play produced by the sim. Marshall is just 4-16 ATS in road games after a game where they forced three or more turnovers since 1992. Yes, every year there is significant turnover in College Football, but this sort of turnover trend applies to all teams. It just seems there is a strong propensity for a reversal of fortune for teams that had a big day forcing turnovers in their last game. Again, we are making this play because fo the sim and the angle only serves to support the sim. Got it? Good.

  13. #48
    pimike
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    Maybe you will get tomorrows play right. Hang in there.

  14. #49
    5mike5
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    anything on tonights game mr. john??

  15. #50
    John Ryan
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    5* 'UNDER' TCU/LA-Tech in in the Poinsettia Bowl

    Louisiana Tech has been stout against the run and is capable of slowing TCU's ground game. It starts up front, where 340-pound NT Justin Ellis is a space-eater who can occupy multiple blockers while LBs Adrian Cole and Jay Dudley locate and fly to the football. Even the defensive backs mix it up in run support and tackle well. And don't expect the Bulldogs to wear down, even though Horned Frogs RBs Ed Wesley, Matthew Tucker and Waymon James are all productive. That trio will split carries and keep one another fresh, but Tech defensive coordinator Tommy Spangler will counter by rotating defensive linemen in and out of the game.

    more research in my article on the site.

    I also think doing a 2* money line play taking Louisiana Tech is very attractive.

  16. #51
    5mike5
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    thank you for the research and picks as always!!


  17. #52
    frostie
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    what the lowest you would take the under at john?

  18. #53
    haledamage
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    Out of curiosity, do you write for Scouts Inc. or was this just copied from their posted article?

  19. #54
    chief42
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    In his article he posted 55.5, mine is down to 54.5. He was hoping that the "public" would drive it up to 56, clearly that hasn't happened.
    Last edited by chief42; 12-21-11 at 06:58 PM. Reason: wrong info

  20. #55
    chipper13101
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    Clearly it HAS happened. I picked up 56.5 at Sports Interaction 3 or 4 hours ago.

  21. #56
    chief42
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    Quote Originally Posted by chipper13101 View Post
    Clearly it HAS happened. I picked up 56.5 at Sports Interaction 3 or 4 hours ago.
    Hey that's good for you. I was writing that post at the time I saw the line, around 730. It may not matter for either of us. Looking good so far
    gl.

  22. #57
    5mike5
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    as soon as he posted the article, i went straight to 5dimes and it was 55.5

    also took la tech +300 ML as well, figured the price was right for it too
    Last edited by 5mike5; 12-21-11 at 09:45 PM.

  23. #58
    jayfly
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    Tought start to bowl season for you. Really liked tonights play. Things just fell apart in 2nd half. What was your record in the regular season John?

  24. #59
    PeEWeEZeE
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    Under 55.5 whew!

  25. #60
    Looking4Winners
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    Thank You John. Was fortunate to get 56 from my bookman. He doesn't allow ML plays so I took La Tech plus the 11.. SWEET!!!!

  26. #61
    psufan
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    Tonight's game (TCU/Louisiana State) sliced on point. You want the game to be close the whole time , cause if it covers easily, one wishes they might have touched the game harder and considered it a more solid play. But in the end if you come out victoriously, its never unfavorable.

    Thanks again, John. I know nothing about some of the smaller conference teams but your analysis once again proves that a handicapping database holds water and is more favorable than a "gut" feeling. Just wish I had as much knowledge as you.

  27. #62
    cmle123
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    he know bullshit. lou wouldn't even cover if they didn't punt the ball on their last drive

  28. #63
    5mike5
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    thank you AGAIN mr. john ryan!!!!

    u are making this a very merry x-mas week going into huge Bowl week next week!!!!

    got the Under at 55.5 tonight...LOVE IT!!!


  29. #64
    chief42
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    glad I bought a point to 55.5 phew

  30. #65
    psufan
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    The over/under for the Boise St / ASU game went down 4 points today to 64 in Betislands. I'll take that as affirmation.

  31. #66
    Salvatore Bing
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    No play tonight?

  32. #67
    John Ryan
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    The play is/has been 5* UNDER ASU/Boise State and the research is on the front page of the College Football section. Thanks.
    Points Awarded:

    BING23 gave John Ryan 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  33. #68
    Salvatore Bing
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    Thanks John, good luck tonight!

  34. #69
    PeEWeEZeE
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    These team love airing the ball out hope your right John.

  35. #70
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salvatore Bing View Post
    Thanks John, good luck tonight!
    Thanks!

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