Originally Posted by
Machine Choice
MACHINE CHOICE FOOTBALL: 28-23
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, so that sort of negates the huge homefield advantage for UCF that I am hearing from people. And Tulsa becomes bowl eligible with a win tonight.
I have watched every UCF game except two, and I've wagered on three of them. UCF's offense looks god awful this year, and their defense has been exploited against an offense with a pulse (SMU), and even one without a pulse (UAB).
Tulsa destroyed a good SMU team, and I was impressed. And UCF has lost alot of last year's team that went to the bowl game.
I know UCF is going to be extremely motivated tonight, they see this as their chance to regain some swagger against the conference bully, but I just don't see how they match Tulsa score for score in this.
UCF hammered Boston College and Marsall at home, but both of these teams have horrible offenses (#102 and #108). Tulsa's is ranked #40 and that's despite the tough-as-nails schedule they've faced.
UCF needs to be able to run the ball or they will have no shot to cover. Problem for them is that Tulsa has only allowed 3.3 ypc in the last three games vs conference opponents.
Tulsa 28
UCF 18
TULSA +2