Current line is -1 to -1.5 UCF at most shops.
Over/Under 48.5
This Total is a red flag to begin with as this is the first time all year Tulsa has had a total under 58 a full 10 points lower!!! This is also the highest total UCF has had against a Div. 1 school this year. All UCF games at home have gone under this year and all of Tulsa's away games have gone under this year. Just alone off the Over/Under #'s its UCF or nothing. UCF has yet to allow a TD at home this year, as their SOS at home has been weak has a large part of it. UCF has been a solid team at home but a terrible road team. UCF announced that ALL students have free admision for the game as they want a rowdy crowd. Tulsa is breaking in a new defense and a new coach this year and their offensive #'s are way down compared to their past results. Defense seems to be a little better though but they lack those big offensive 30+ yardage plays Tulsa has been known for in the past. Tulsa's is +6 in turnover margin in their last two games and is +4 TOM in conference play. UCF is -1 in TOM in conference play. I already know the over in this game will flooded by the public and Tulsa will be the Public favorite here as well due to UAB upsetting UCF a few weeks back and Tulsa smashing SMU last week in which SMU help Tulsa in that game with 5 turnovers. History has shown the home team wins by 20+. This matchup is key on the UCF homefeild advantage with the crowd being involved, this is Tulsa's real conference road test with a new coach. UCF had a new game plan with their QB last week and proved to be succesful as they are letting Godfrey pull down the ball and run more as he got 97 yards off of 10 carries. UCF has a higher power ranking and being at home with the student crowd, Godfrey playing more loose, sound defense and Tulsa's lower offensive production and surviving on Turnovers I love UCF -1.