1. #1
    Machine Choice
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    Newsflash to the forum

    I have a 62% hit rate in football right now through 44 plays. That means that for anyone who decides to blindly tail me, you have a 38% chance of losing. If you can do better -- and many can -- then go do better and leave me the hell alone. I was 4-0 on lock plays until tonight. If you tailed and lost, I'm sorry to hear it. But I will post other locks in the future if I see one. So if you decide to blindly tail it, then you have at least a 20% chance of losing and likely more.

    In other words, don't be going all-in and then cursing me if it loses. You know the risks.

    I have said repeatedly that blindly tailing me is not effective unless you do it every day. I tend to get hot then average, but rarely ice cold. I have an aggressive yet smart money management system that has me up $1,400 so far in football. I won 10 in a row three weeks ago but those are quickly forgotten. That's okay, I accept that.

    Just don't blame me if you tail and lose. Hey, I lost $244 tonight. But because of Heavn's Gate, there's always the chance of a new streak.

    Good night
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 10-28-11 at 10:40 AM.
    Points Awarded:

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  2. #2
    jspectyper
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    Don't let the losers get to you machine, its not like you force them to tail you. If they had started from the beginning then there would be no reason to b*tch.

  3. #3
    BobbyD914
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    You're still the man machine...you've won me lots of cash...no worries we'll get em tomorrow...keep them coming

  4. #4
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
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    I didnt go all in...so ill be here with you tomorrow budddddddy

  5. #5
    beg154860
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    Machine thanks to you I'll be eating hot pockets and jose ole frozen taquitos for 5 years. If I develop diabetes you will be paying for my insulin

  6. #6
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by beg154860 View Post
    Machine thanks to you I'll be eating hot pockets and jose ole frozen taquitos for 5 years. If I develop diabetes you will be paying for my insulin
    Go take out a loan for $4K and get serious and quit screwing around. Make an investment in this. Use money management and you won't be eating hot pockets.

  7. #7
    salvador_7764
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    Sir I ask you earlier if my bankroll was $200 and you told me to divided by 11 I didn't do what you told me what I did was to put all the $200 on the canes stupid me.but why is everyone blaming you.I'm not because I know in my heart that your a good person and just trying to help everyone else.but sir just forget everyone and just do your thing will you help me with my bankroll sir I promise to just tail you.please need your help.

  8. #8
    beg154860
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    But what if I like them

  9. #9
    Maddhatter
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    I've been on tilt before myself and I had nobody to blame but myself. A large portion of someone's bankroll shouldn't ever be played on one game anyway, especially a game on Thurs night with a weekend full of other opportunities. Of coursse, I've done it before and so have many others. Own up to your own mistakes or quit gambling. I haven't tailed you but I have a lot of respect for what you do for this forum. Keep it up bro.

  10. #10
    thfootball
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    i read your posting on miami, but then did my own research. I didn't bet on this game, but would've chosen viriginia to cover. I had money on houston to cover, even then i had doubts with the way things were going on in the 1st quarter in houston. scary shit gambling, knowing we all want big paydays.

  11. #11
    salvador_7764
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    I think that machinechoice is one of the best crapper in this site.

  12. #12
    jonathon1995
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    Is it just me but if you hit 62% then you lose 38%.....not 48..........

  13. #13
    ManBearPig
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    M...C... you should go back to the days when you posted pics and when you won it was ...Game Over. I don't remember too much drama back then when you were playing the part. I'm not going to try and understand the psychology of gambles when they lose...instead of blaming others except it and move on...jesus fukc!!

  14. #14
    paranoyd androyd
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    nothing against the OP but 100 - 62 = 38

  15. #15
    jaeguyoon
    [Too Long]
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    I can't believe someone tailed u and lost....then went to make a thread calling u out. what an idiot.

  16. #16
    jonathon1995
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    Im sure the other 10% is the juice.

  17. #17
    lesterdymond
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    Machine don't sweat it.. Your arguing with guys who are asking for advice on this forum on how to get a BJ

    Its obvious they have no confidence in themselves let alone choose their own wager.

    I will see you at Heaven's Gate

  18. #18
    MendozaLine
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    do you really think you're gonna get people to eventually start paying for your picks?

  19. #19
    Sunde91
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    44 plays and you're going to tout a % Howtobeatout101

    So I went 9-1 this means I'm a 90% capper?

    Optimus Prime what is 100 - 62? Is it 48?

  20. #20
    Balco10
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    You were way off on tonight game! Why did you think the Hurricanes would cover on a week day???

  21. #21
    DanzeM
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    Machine, dont dignify those idiots with a reply, keep up the good work

  22. #22
    NoHero
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    Haters gon' hate.

  23. #23
    hydrosmak
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    Quote Originally Posted by DanzeM View Post
    Machine, dont dignify those idiots with a reply, keep up the good work

    This!

  24. #24
    spladle08
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    Keep it up machine!

  25. #25
    Polly Juice
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    Machine, this is my first year to bet college football. I'm very careful with my picks and don't bet often. This year, I am 8-2 and have more than doubled my initial bankroll. I only bet teams I feel I know, and whenever you and a few others make this same pick, I feel pretty good about it.

    Keep up the good work, and I'll keep watching. Thanks.

  26. #26
    spladle08
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    Polly Juice.. be careful betting 17%+ of your Roll per game.. GL though whoop whoop.

  27. #27
    jonathon1995
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balco10 View Post
    You were way off on tonight game! Why did you think the Hurricanes would cover on a week day???
    Maybe because they were undefeated on Thursday nights in the past 10 years.

  28. #28
    SugarDaddy
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    No sweat, u do a great job. I do my own research then see where others(including u Machine) and I like to see when certain folks are on the same page as me. If people are too afraid to lose money Don't freakin bet!!!!!!

  29. #29
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    I have a 62% hit rate in football right now through 44 plays. That means that for anyone who decides to blindly tail me, you have a 48% chance of losing. If you can do better -- and many can -- then go do better and leave me the hell alone. I was 4-0 on lock plays until tonight. If you tailed and lost, I'm sorry to hear it. But I will post other locks in the future if I see one. So if you decide to blindly tail it, then you have at least a 20% chance of losing and likely more.

    In other words, don't be going all-in and then cursing me if it loses. You know the risks.

    I have said repeatedly that blindly tailing me is not effective unless you do it every day. I tend to get hot then average, but rarely ice cold. I have an aggressive yet smart money management system that has me up $1,400 so far in football. I won 10 in a row three weeks ago but those are quickly forgotten. That's okay, I accept that.

    Just don't blame me if you tail and lose. Hey, I lost $244 tonight. But because of Heavn's Gate, there's always the chance of a new streak.

    Good night
    Learn some math. If you are hitting at 62%, that means that there is a 38% chance at a loss, NOT 48%. Frankly, if you think losing $244.00 on a game is a big deal, you are playing with amateurs to begin with. I agree that people should not blame you because you came up with a loser. They should blame themselves for blindly following you. Still, you did shoot your mouth off, and you have to expect this when you lose. Remember you are dealing with a lot of losers in here who can ill afford to lose their $100.00 wagers. Those are the worst kind of players.
    Last edited by BigdaddyQH; 10-28-11 at 10:14 AM.

  30. #30
    mabst38
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    44 plays and you're going to tout a % Howtobeatout101

    So I went 9-1 this means I'm a 90% capper?

    Optimus Prime what is 100 - 62? Is it 48?
    Please tell me what your percentage is if its not 90% for those 10 games Cumde91.

  31. #31
    mp5070
    The Michael Scott Company
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  32. #32
    BigdaddyQH
    BigdaddyQH
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    Quote Originally Posted by mabst38 View Post
    Please tell me what your percentage is if its not 90% for those 10 games Cumde91.
    I think he was trying to say that just because you hit a hot streak, that does not mean it will last the entire season. You can go 9-1, and then 1-9.

  33. #33
    flocko76
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    how do i divide my 10 betpoints by 11 if my minimum wager has to be 6 points?

  34. #34
    mabst38
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    I think he was trying to say that just because you hit a hot streak, that does not mean it will last the entire season. You can go 9-1, and then 1-9.
    Is a hot streak 44 plays at 62%?
    Yes, if he goes 9-1 for 10 plays he is 90%. If he goes 10-10 for 20 plays he is 50%. Either way, its just expressing a percentage for a win/lose ratio.
    I think he was trying to say that he is only 62% so act accordingly, not "howtobeatout101"...

    Now, lets see how many people can correctly subtract 62 from 100 and make a big deal about it. What are we at so far?

  35. #35
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by jonathon1995 View Post
    Is it just me but if you hit 62% then you lose 38%.....not 48..........
    LOL, you make a good point. If I can't do simple head-math I surely shouldn't be posting on a handicapping site. It was midnight when I typed this last night. I edited the correction.

    Anyway, I don't like the stupid threads about me, including this one.

    I'm gonna get back to football...TCU vs BYU ... and I hope everyone else can too.

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