Tried to post this earlier but comp locked up severely:
The line opened at BG -6.5 (somebody told me this... I got it at -5) Since then line has dropped to BG -3.5.... Big line move for a small school game against a terrible offense, with 1 team being 1-6 ATS and the other coming off a good Toledo game and a win over a very good Temple team.... Here is what I wrote and some minor research tools, but Im wondering if anyone knows the reason for this drastic line move.
BG -5 vs Kent Play BG -5
Ignore the fact that Kent has won in recent history.
Consider these facts:
Kent is 1-6 ATS
Kent averages 10 points per game and 28 against
BG puts up 27 per game
Kent hasn’t played 1 team within 5pts all year
BG just played Toledo to a 7pt loss and beat Temple straight up
Common opponent is Miami Ohio who BG crushed (@ Miami) and Kent lost to @ home
Meh I think BG has this… BG -5
I mean: Kent has had a decent home defense ranking 15th against the pass and 22 against the run but their 3 home opponents have been ULL, South Alabama, and Miami (OH), they were impressive holding Miami Ohio to 9 points but... BG beat this same Miami team 37-23 @ Miami... I dont think the "under-rated" defense is the reason for the move...
Possibly this is an expected let down spot after a big win over Temple? Kent is coming off a bye week?
I mean honestly??? Kent is 1-6 ATS... I swear is this game fixed? Kents closest loss this year was that 6pt loss last week, where they racked up a stellar 244 yards of total offense and converted 3 of 17 third downs.