WMU -13 vs E. Michigan; NO PLAY Note* I am starting this one with the preconceived notion that EMU is terribe.
WMU (31.0 / 25.9) 4-3 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 4-3 O/U
EMU (20.9 / 26.6) 4-3 SU, 3-2-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U
A brief look at the stats reveals EMU relies heavily on the run game putting up 229yrds per, and only 102 passing. Oddly enough WMU allows 217yrds per game on the ground and only 186 passing. This was a red flag I didn’t expect. Looks like it’s a good offensive matchup for EMU. WMU relies more on the pass with 281yrds per, while EMU has given up an average of 230. I wonder if looking at their opponents will help right my Western Michigan ship or if I will end up not playing this game. Sportsbook.com suggests an edge in this game showing WMU is at least a 20pt favorite, so my nerves are starting to calm. As I scroll down the page to look at their schedules I see WMU is 1-5 ATS over the last 3 seasons after a loss to a conference rival (spidey sense is tingling again) . EMU is actually 7-5 ATS vs WMU over the last 12 games. This year however WMU does seem to be the better team pasting many opponents and playing Illinois close in a 23-20 defeat, But after this most recent 51-22 pasting by NIU, coupled with their obvious problems on rush defense allowing 494yrds in their last game I can’t force myself to play them with this big of a spread. EMU has not looked good or played any decent team close losing to Michigan 31-3, PSU 34-6, and Toledo 54-16. Anyways I can’t justify a play on this game. I would take WMU on the ML, but it isn’t worth it. NO PLAY
very nice call. im afraid to bet michigan vs michigan teams right now because of the state of their economy. lotsa people there who would do anything for a buck. i thought western was going to win by 1 or 2 touchdowns. nice call.
thanks guys, wish i had more on it - it could have gone either way - my feeling with michigan football is that stats don't matter, the teams heart does
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