UCF v UAB

UAB is ranked in the 100's for score for, rush for, yards for, yards against, score against, rush against and pass against. They are 77th in pass for.

UCF on the other hand is top 10 in those defensive categories.

How could they not cover 16.5? My model is off by 10.4 points in UAB's favor.


West Virginia v Syracuse

Cuse's record is decent but shouldn't WVU run away with this one? My model is off by 1.4 in WVU's favor.


Rutgers v Louisville

Should Rutgers win this one? My model is off by 16.3 in Rutgers favor.


Thanks for any help.