1. #1
    Machine Choice
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    Machine Choice: Ariz State at Oregon

    MACHINE CHOICE FOOTBALL: 21-10

    Last year when these two teams met in Tempe, ASU outgained the National Title contenders by 212 yards but lost the game due to 7 turnovers. Consider that last year's ASU team only had 8 returning starters for that matchup. This year's team is clearly better, not only as seen by their record but also by the fact that they returned 17 starters this year. In contrast, Oregon's team was dismantled in the offseason and now tonight: no LaMichael James. The loss of James is obviously serious, and let me just point out that he was averaging 8.7 ypc!! He is not replaceable.

    Tonight's Game: Osweiler regrouped after the rough start at Utah last week and ended up throwing for 325 yards and 3 TDs! The dirty little secret is that Utah actually has a better defense than Oregon's. I'm expecting Osweiler to erupt again tonight, as he has become better with each passing week. ASU's defense will give up some scores but they are far superior to Oregon's D-unit. ASU will cover on the strength of Osweiler and Gerrell Robinson, as well as at least three timely defensive stands.

    Concerns: Oregon had four additional days to prepare, ASU is down one OL and the center is gimpy, ASU has no rushing attack. However, the loss of LaMichael James and ASU's far superior defense means that 14 points is way too many.

    Predicted score:
    Oregon 33
    ASU 29

    ARIZONA STATE +14

  2. #2
    numismatist
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    I love it, and was leaning on ASU myself. Best of luck Machine, looks like a really solid choice.

  3. #3
    Tanko
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    Thanks. Great analysis. Can't argue with your pick.

  4. #4
    figue
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  5. #5
    brahmabull117
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    no way in hell will it be that low scoring



    if it's a close game, it will be more like Oregon - 45, ASU - 38

  6. #6
    tokio
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    No James = No running up the boards.

  7. #7
    Machine Choice
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    One final thought on this game: after seeing USC blast Cal, which win was more impressive: ASU over USC, or Oregon over Cal?

    $761 to win $692

  8. #8
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by tokio View Post
    No James = No running up the boards.

    James' backups barner and thomas are both awesome....

  9. #9
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    James' backups barner and thomas are both awesome....
    They may be. Talk to me after they average 8.7 ypc.

  10. #10
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    They may be. Talk to me after they average 8.7 ypc.

    barner has averaged around 7.5 in 2 games against Cal and Arizona...


    not much of a drop there really at all. If anything, it will be a more emotional loss

  11. #11
    ZBOIZ
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    This game will be wierd

  12. #12
    WoopTdo
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    If this was being played in Tempe I'd be on it, and be smart about it (took the ML last year) but there in Oregon. I think there going to hang with them but I think Oregon is going to take it to them late in the game. Might see a backdoor cover but I'm putting my money on ASU +8 at the half so I can "enjoy" and hopefully watch them skewer the ducks with my money already won.

  13. #13
    Stevedore
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    Do you like ASU first half +7.5?

  14. #14
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    Do you like ASU first half +7.5?
    I don't like these kinds of plays. No opinion.

  15. #15
    Lunatikz
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    Got it at 14.5
    BOL!

  16. #16
    WoopTdo
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    Got my money, although ASU is still lookin good, may do some live bets

  17. #17
    Glitch
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    oregons going to win for sure. theyve gotten some favorable calls and now ASU is about to get ed hockelied on what should be a fumble recovery.

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